BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026

Thailand's government has recently secured approval for a $14 billion digital handout program as part of its economic recovery strategy. The program hasn’t come about without considerable debate and a backdrop of concerns expressed about the Southeast Asian nation's sluggish economic growth. According to Reuters, the decision was confirmed by Deputy Finance Minister Julapun Amornvivat, who stated that the Office of the Council of State, an advisory panel, found no legal obstacles to utilizing state budget funds for the initiative.Photo by Oleksandr P on PexelsDigital handout programThe digital handout program, a key policy of the ruling Pheu Thai party, involves distributing 10,000 baht (approximately $300) to digital wallets set up for each of the 50 million Thai citizens. This financial injection aims to stimulate spending within local communities, providing a much-needed boost to the economy. While the program has faced concerns about potential inflation risks due to Thailand's slow economic growth, the government has argued that it will ultimately benefit the economy. Julapun emphasized that the government plans to proceed with the scheme in May, funded through borrowing. Council of State and opposition party concernsEarlier reports had indicated that the Council of State had initially advised against the government's plan to enact a loan bill for the digital wallet scheme. Concerns were raised about potential violations of constitutional articles, including Article 140, which requires the government to offset any loans outside the budget bill in the next fiscal budget. In addition to inflation worries, the opposition expressed concerns about a potential breach of Article 53 of the 2018 State Fiscal and Financial Discipline Act, which permits off-budget borrowing only in urgent situations. Despite these concerns, the Office of the Council of State ultimately found no reason to prohibit the cabinet from borrowing to fund the program. Thailand's move towards a $14.3 billion cash handout program, termed the "digital wallet" program, is expected to commence by May. Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin affirmed this timeline after the Council of State's approval. The program, allowing Thais to receive funds via a mobile app, aims to spur consumption and overall economic growth. Election campaign giveawayThe idea of the digital asset giveaway was first floated by the Pheu Thai Party (PTP) in April of last year as part of its election manifesto. Subsequently, the party won the election in August, with Srettha being installed as Prime Minister. That appointment was interpreted as being a positive one by crypto advocates, given that Srettha had worked with crypto and blockchain-related technologies in his previous business dealings. Critics, including some economists and former central bank governors, argue that the handout plan could be fiscally irresponsible and fuel inflation. Prime Minister Srettha, who is also the finance minister, plans to discuss the stimulus plan and related matters with the central bank governor. The Thai Chamber of Commerce anticipates a 3% year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2024, with an annual growth rate of 3.2%, driven by tourism and exports. The digital wallet scheme, if implemented as planned, could potentially add 1.0-1.5 percentage points to this year's growth, according to the chamber. 

Vietnam moved ahead with its digital asset strategy on Jan. 20, as the Ministry of Finance opened applications for crypto exchange operators. The step puts the government’s broader regulatory framework into effect, allowing qualified firms to apply for approval to operate trading platforms.Photo by Jakub Żerdzicki on UnsplashDecision No. 96/QD-BTC of the Finance Ministry establishes three administrative procedures governing the sector, The Investor reported. The rules set out processes for issuing operating licenses, handling changes to existing permits, and revoking authorization from firms that fail to comply. 10 banks and brokerages signal interestAbout 10 securities firms and banks have already indicated plans to take part. The institutions are preparing to file applications in a bid to become the country’s first licensed crypto operators under the new rules. The groundwork for this week’s licensing phase was laid last June, when the government moved to legalize digital assets, paving the way for their formal recognition as an asset class on New Year’s Day. The shift was put into practice in September with the launch of a strict five-year pilot program aimed at keeping the emerging market under close monetary oversight. Under the pilot, all crypto transactions must be carried out exclusively in Vietnamese dong. Companies seeking to be licensed as crypto exchange operators must show two years of profits and at least 10 trillion dong ($380 million) in capital. The rules favor domestic players, allowing only Vietnam-registered firms to issue cryptocurrencies and requiring foreign investors to enter the market through ministry-licensed intermediaries. G-Group teams up with TetherThe regulatory push comes as private sector deal-making accelerates. Earlier this month, Hanoi-based tech firm G-Group signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with stablecoin issuer Tether to share technical expertise and international best practices, according to another report by The Investor. The agreement followed an October meeting between Deputy Prime Minister Ho Duc Phoc and Tether executive Marco Dal Lago. Dal Lago said the company was eager to work with Vietnamese partners to help develop the country’s crypto market. G-Group has also moved to build out its domestic infrastructure, collaborating with blockchain ecosystem Ninety Eight to form a joint venture. The new company, G98 Digital Asset JSC, will develop compliant crypto products, offer end-to-end blockchain services such as custody, and integrate those solutions into corporate systems. At the institutional level, Vietnam has also partnered with South Korea. In August, Military Bank, one of the nation’s five largest lenders and a subsidiary of the Ministry of National Defence, signed an agreement with Dunamu, the operator of South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, Upbit. The partnership is designed to support upgrades to Vietnam’s financial system, with Dunamu providing expertise on exchange operations, regulation, and investor protection. 

Strategic Shift Sees Wintermute Expand Singapore BaseCrypto market maker Wintermute is making a strategic shift towards Asia, specifically in Singapore, following the digital asset industry’s growing interest in the region’s growth opportunities.Photo by Hu Chen on Unsplash4% of staff moving to SingaporeIn an interview with Bloomberg last week, Wintermute Co-Founder Yoann Turpin said he will move from London, where the company is currently headquartered, to Singapore in the coming months. Additionally, approximately 4% of the company’s workforce, which currently comprises around 85 staff members, will also relocate to the city-state, where Wintermute conducts its derivatives business.At the time of publication, the company was also actively recruiting for an open position in the city-state. In further publicizing Wintermute’s developing presence in Singapore, Turpin took to social media recently to invite people to meet Wintermute’s Singapore-based team in September at Token 2049 Singapore. Evgeny Gaevoy, Wintermute Co-Founder and CEO, is scheduled to appear as a speaker at the event.Turpin emphasized the company’s focus on Asia and highlighted the significance of having a co-founder based in the region to drive the business forward. The move comes as the crypto industry faces the aftermath of a crackdown in the United States, triggered by bankruptcies at platforms like FTX and Celsius Network.Exploring global opportunitiesIn response, crypto businesses are exploring opportunities in Asian markets, with countries like Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan, and the United Arab Emirates vying to attract companies while ensuring robust regulatory frameworks in the wake of the market turbulence in 2022.Although tokens like Bitcoin and Ether have partially recovered from the crash experienced last year, spot digital-asset trading volumes and volatility have remained low, indicating reduced investor engagement. That said, demand for crypto futures and options has proven to be more resilient.Possible Dubai expansionWintermute established an office in Singapore in 2021, adding to its existing base in London. Turpin also confirmed to Bloomberg that the company is weighing up the possibility of establishing a third office in Dubai as part of its expansion plans. Dubai, like Singapore and Hong Kong, has been actively trying to attract crypto businesses over the course of the past twelve months.During the 2021 crypto bull market, the company reported trading volume worth $1.5 trillion and generated $1.05 billion in revenue. However, the market maker also faced challenges during the market turmoil, including exposure to around $55 million of assets on FTX. Moreover, in September of the same year, Wintermute experienced a hack that resulted in a loss of about $160 million from its decentralized finance operations.Despite the hurdles faced in 2022, Turpin expressed confidence in the company’s resilience and stated that they do not have immediate plans to raise funds. The company just celebrated six years in business, and has executed 8.4 million OTC trades over the course of the past twelve months.By relocating key personnel and expanding its presence in Singapore and possibly Dubai, the company aims to strengthen its foothold in the Asian market and navigate the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.