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BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026

Markets·October 07, 2023, 12:39 AM

In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Finite supply to drive price dynamic

Hayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.

The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”

 

ETF potential

Hayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.

However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”

 

Geopolitical factors

Geopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.

However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.

Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”

Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.

 

$1 million BTC by 2026

While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.

This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.

While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.

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Apr 24, 2023

Abu Dhabi Puts Forward Legal Framework for Decentralized Tech

Abu Dhabi Puts Forward Legal Framework for Decentralized TechAuthorities in Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as well as an individual emirate within it, have published a proposed legislative framework for distributed ledger technology.©Pexels/redouan khoulassiThe consultation paper, titled “Proposal for a legislative framework for distributed technology foundations” was published earlier this month by the Abu Dhabi Global Market’s (ADGM) Registration Authority.Promoting investor protectionThe document covers a broad spectrum of aspects relative to digital assets and crypto entities, including corporate governance, insolvency and restructuring considerations, and data protection. The ADGM’s objective with the proposed policy is to advance investor protection, improve market integrity and efficiency, and build towards a comprehensive regulatory framework.Specific proposalsMore specifically, the policy would implicate an enhancement in the protection of whistle-blowers who report misconduct relative to ADGM-regulated companies. Under the proposal, new rules would be introduced to ensure that digital asset platforms operate in a fair and transparent manner. A requirement would be placed on regulated companies to disclose detailed information in relation to beneficial ownership and control structures. Furthermore, the policy seeks to bring about an improved dispute resolution process between the stakeholders involved in ADGM-regulated transactions.Building upon an existing frameworkThe Abu Dhabi regulator’s current legal framework is built upon English common law. It has its own financial services regulator, the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) which operates independently and is responsible for supervising and licensing financial institutions and market participants. The FSRA takes a principles-based approach, regulating those market actors attempting to maintain financial stability and integrity, promote market competition and innovation and ensure customer protection.ADGM has sought to act on an international basis by signing agreements with regulatory bodies in the UK, Hong Kong and Singapore, in an effort to enable information sharing and cross-border cooperation.Regulatory activityAt a national level, earlier this year the UAE enacted a digital assets regulatory framework. Earlier this week, the UAE also revealed a federal licensing system for crypto companies. In February, work began on a $2 billion initiative to nurture blockchain and Web3 startups via Hub71, the emirate’s tech ecosystem. The initiative provides startups with access to a broad range of support services as well as potential collaborations with government and investment partners.According to the document, “this Consultation Paper is of interest to any persons operating or planning DLT projects, persons engaging in digital asset-related activities and their legal advisors, as well as DLT participants, associations, and stakeholders.”With that, the ADGM is inviting comments and feedback from members of the public on the proposed changes contained within the consultation paper. To aid public comment, the policy document includes a number of questions that it invites stakeholders to consider as they work towards submitting their feedback.Those interested have until May 12 to take the opportunity to submit their comments and views relative to the Abu Dhabi regulator’s proposed framework.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

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