Top

BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026

Markets·October 07, 2023, 12:39 AM

In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Finite supply to drive price dynamic

Hayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.

The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”

 

ETF potential

Hayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.

However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”

 

Geopolitical factors

Geopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.

However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.

Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”

Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.

 

$1 million BTC by 2026

While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.

This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.

While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.

More to Read
View All
Web3 & Enterprise·

Jul 27, 2025

OSL raises $300M to finance expansion

OSL Group, a Hong Kong-based publicly listed digital asset exchange platform, has raised $300 million to finance further expansion of the business.Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on UnsplashLargest publicly disclosed crypto equity raise in AsiaIn a press release published on July 25, the company claimed that it has completed the largest publicly disclosed equity raise to date within Asia’s digital asset sector. It suggested the funding signaled market confidence in the digital asset business model that the firm is pursuing.  OSL intends to allocate the funding across three primary areas. Acquisition opportunities are one core area the company plans to home in on. It says that it will continue its “aggressive global expansion drive” through a combination of licensing, partnerships and acquisitions.  As part of its global expansion strategy, last month the company acquired a 90% stake in Evergreen Crest Holdings, an Indonesian crypto exchange operator. In February, it rebranded CoinBest, a Japanese crypto exchange, as OSL Japan after acquiring it late last year. Stablecoin initiativesOSL plans to pursue new global business initiatives, including initiatives related to stablecoins and payments. It stated that it will accelerate its “build-out of global business and payment networks, integrating fiat currencies, stablecoins, and major digital assets.” The company feels that investment in infrastructure of this nature will facilitate its institutional and enterprise clients, giving them access to “secure, efficient, and seamless cross-border payment solutions.” The third core area it will allocate funding to is working capital. OSL believes that enhancing the strength and depth of its working capital will give the firm a competitive advantage over its rivals in terms of reach, coverage, scale and volume. The company’s Chief Financial Officer (CFO), Ian Wong, commented on this latest development, stating: "This US$300 million equity raise marks a major milestone in our journey and reflects strong conviction in OSL's digital asset strategy and execution.” OSL is already well established as a key player in the digital assets space in Hong Kong. Founded in 2003 as BC Technology Group, it later rebranded and in 2018 the company expanded its services to cater to the digital assets sector. In 2023, OSL, alongside rival HashKey, became the first digital assets companies in the Chinese autonomous territory to be licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). Supporting spot crypto ETF issuersOSL supports asset management firms that have listed Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX), through its staking and digital asset custody infrastructure. In April, the company was approved by the SFC to offer Ethereum staking services. In July 2024, the company claimed that 88% of spot digital asset ETF trading in Hong Kong had been carried out by firms that it has partnerships with. The timing of the announcement of this latest development is interesting, given that one of the focuses for the funds raised is to develop stablecoin-related business, against a backdrop of Hong Kong’s new Stablecoins Ordinance coming into effect in less than a week from now.Bloomberg reported last week that around fifty companies have expressed interest in obtaining stablecoin licensing in the city, with the local regulator and central banking institution, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), likely to issue ten licenses. 

news
Policy & Regulation·

Feb 17, 2024

Ethiopia may be embracing Bitcoin mining with new data mining partnership

Ethiopian Investment Holdings, the largest sovereign wealth fund in Africa, has announced the signing of a memorandum of understanding (MoU), which is suspected to involve a deal on Bitcoin mining. Deal uncertaintyTaking to LinkedIn on Feb. 15, the sovereign wealth fund outlined details of a partnership with Data Center Service, a subsidiary of Hong Kong’s West Data Group. Separately, Kal Kassa, CEO of Ethiopian operations at Hashlabs Mining, posted on the X social media platform, outlining that it was a stakeholder in the project and that it involved Bitcoin mining. The matter lacks full confirmation however, given that Kassa subsequently deleted his post while the sovereign fund’s statement falls short of mentioning Bitcoin mining. Once verified, the project would signify a substantial investment of $250 million. It’s understood that the investment would be directed towards the establishment of state-of-the-art infrastructure tailored for data mining and artificial intelligence (AI) training operations within Ethiopia.Photo by Kelly on PexelsExploiting abundant energy resourcesA key component of this venture may involve the setup of Bitcoin mining operations utilizing Canaan Avalon miners. This initiative would align with Ethiopia's broader strategy to capitalize on its abundant energy resources to attract international investment and stimulate economic growth.Ethiopia has about 5,200 MW of installed generation capacity, 90% of it coming from hydropower and the remainder from wind and thermal sources. While the official confirmation from the government is pending, the ambitious project has sparked both excitement and skepticism within the industry. Concerns linger regarding the energy-intensive nature of Bitcoin mining and its potential strain on the local electricity supply, an issue of particular relevance in a nation where energy accessibility remains a pressing challenge for many. Bloomberg reportEarlier this month, a report from Bloomberg highlighted Ethiopia as being a new haven for Chinese crypto miners. Following the imposition of a mining ban in China in 2021, many operations were redeployed overseas. Kazakhstan in particular was a popular choice. The Eurasian country wasn’t prepared for the influx, leading to power blackouts.Hashlabs Mining co-founders Jaran Mellerud and Alen Makhmetov both featured in the article. Mellerud outlined the difficulty, stating:“Firstly, countries can run out of available electricity, leaving no room for miners to expand. Secondly, miners can suddenly be deemed unwelcome by the government and be forced to pack up and leave.”Makhmetov outlined that he had a 10 MW facility in Kazakhstan which still sits idle today as curbs and taxes enforced in Kazakhstan on miners “basically killed the industry.” Despite these difficulties in Kazakhstan and China's official ban on cryptocurrency trading, the legalization of Bitcoin mining in Ethiopia in 2022 has spurred a notable influx of Chinese miners seeking new investment avenues. Ethiopia will need to be mindful of the difficulties experienced in Kazakhstan. With that, the Ethiopian government's move towards regulating cryptographic products, including mining activities, reflects a measured yet optimistic approach towards harnessing the economic potential of Bitcoin mining. This regulatory framework aims to strike a balance between fostering sector growth and safeguarding the country's energy security and environmental commitments.  

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Nov 22, 2023

BIONES partners with Bithumb Burrito Wallet for integrated service development

BIONES partners with Bithumb Burrito Wallet for integrated service developmentBIONES, the developer of Bio Passport, a blockchain-based medical record and healthcare data management service, announced Wednesday that it has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Rotonda, the operator of the cryptocurrency wallet Bithumb Burrito Wallet. Burrito Wallet’s services are expected to be integrated into Bio Passport to expand accessibility and grow the blockchain ecosystem.Photo by Julia Zyablova on UnsplashRevolutionizing healthcare with blockchainBio Passport is notable for its blockchain-based features. This includes secure management and storage of personal healthcare information, built on distributed identification technology; a token reward system; and a decentralized application (dApp) service that allows users to contact their healthcare providers remotely, among other functions. The company’s ultimate goal is to provide telemedical services so that patients can receive consultations without having to visit a hospital or clinic in person.Simplifying crypto transactions across the worldLaunched in February, Burrito Wallet’s primary functions include convenient chat-based cryptocurrency transfers and crypto swapping. It is the largest multi-chain wallet in Korea that supports 11 mainnets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as over 1,000 token currencies.It was also recently launched in Latin America, accelerating its global expansion. Notably, users of the service in this region will have access to on- and off-ramp functions for buying and selling crypto.Strategic collaborationThrough this agreement, BIONES said that it would work with Rotonda in blockchain-related business endeavors and participate in various activities for joint development, such as user acquisition, blockchain ecosystem expansion and marketing projects.“Burrito Wallet has a variety of functions, from storing and managing crypto assets to transfers and swaps. Users can take advantage of increased safety and convenience while enjoying user-friendly wallet services,” BIONES said. “By integrating Burrito Wallet into the Bio Passport app, we aim to make it easier for more users to use our Web3-based dApps, and we plan to expand the blockchain ecosystem to create synergized effects through active marketing and technical cooperation.”

news
Loading