Suspects emerge in Taiwan in ongoing JPEX scandal fallout

China Makes History by Settling Cross-Border Oil Deal with Digital YuanThe digital yuan, China’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), also known as e-CNY, was used for the first time to settle a significant oil transaction.Chinese state-owned media outlet China Daily reported on Saturday that the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Exchange (SHPGX) revealed on October 20 that PetroChina International, a subsidiary of the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), successfully acquired 1 million barrels of crude.Photo by engin akyurt on UnsplashAdvancing e-CNY use internationallyThis transaction is a response to the call by the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government to incorporate the digital yuan into international trade, marking a noteworthy stride towards the broader adoption of the digital currency.The exact seller and price details for the deal were not disclosed. This historic crude oil transaction signals not only the increasing use of the digital yuan in global trade but also a noteworthy step in the movement towards de-dollarization. Reports from China Daily suggest that the use of the yuan in cross-border settlements experienced a remarkable 35% year-on-year increase in the first three quarters of 2023, reaching a total of $1.39 trillion.This milestone isn’t the first time the yuan has been utilized in the energy sector. In March, the yuan was first used in a liquefied natural gas (LNG) purchase on the SHPGX, as French TotalEnergies reached an agreement to sell LNG to the China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC). Recently, another LNG deal was executed between CNOOC and French Engie, although these transactions did not involve the digital yuan.In parallel developments, First Abu Dhabi Bank announced on October 19 that it had established an agreement on digital currency with the Bank of China during the third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation. China and the United Arab Emirates, including Abu Dhabi, are participants in the mBridge platform designed to facilitate cross-border transactions using CBDCs. The mBridge platform is expected to launch as a minimum viable product in the coming year.Furthering mass adoptionThe Chinese authorities are taking several distinct approaches in furthering mass adoption of the e-CNY. The Chinese subsidiaries of both Singapore’s DBS Bank and France’s BNP Paribas have recently partnered with the People’s Bank of China to enable their international clients operating in China to use the digital yuan.A long list of initiatives have been taken within mainland China by regional governing authorities to further the use of the CBDC. To further enable mass adoption at home, a new offline SIM card-based digital yuan wallet was developed and launched earlier this year.The successful use of the digital yuan in settling this oil deal represents a significant step forward in the internationalization of China’s currency and the growing influence of CBDCs on the global economic stage. As the world watches these developments unfold, the digital yuan continues to make strides towards becoming a crucial means of exchange in international trade and finance.

Despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, a South Korean analyst says investors’ trust in the market remains intact. He added that a U.S. crypto market structure bill, which Congress could approve as early as December, may give investors a chance to buy the dip ahead of a potential rebound. According to Etoday, Hong Sung-wook of NH Investment & Securities, one of South Korea’s major brokerage firms, noted that the crypto market has given back all gains made since mid-October, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $100,000. Most altcoins also saw steep declines, erasing the advances they posted following roughly $19 billion in liquidations around Oct. 10. In this environment, Solana’s year-to-date performance has turned negative despite the recent launch of spot Solana ETFs in Hong Kong and the U.S., while Ethereum has similarly surrendered its earlier gains.Photo by Michael Förtsch on UnsplashContext from past declinesHong framed the latest pullback in a historical context. Since 2018, Bitcoin has recorded a daily closing price drop of more than 20% on seven occasions. The latest decline of about 21% from peak to trough, he said, is broadly in line with previous downturns. He added that Bitcoin is now less likely to experience the extreme volatility seen in earlier years, citing growing institutional participation and its increasing use in so-called “debasement trades,” or hedges against fiat currency inflation. Building on this, Hong attributed the recent weakness primarily to the liquidation wave and the temporary hit to sentiment. However, he argued that confidence could recover faster than in past stress events, emphasizing that trust in the market has not been fundamentally damaged, unlike in prior downturns triggered by unexpected “black swan” shocks. Policy progress could lift market moodIn the near term, Hong pointed to progress on the U.S. crypto market structure bill as a potential catalyst. Further movement on the bill, he said, could help improve sentiment, similar to the supportive reaction seen around the passage of the stablecoin GENIUS Act. Other market observers have expressed a comparable view on Bitcoin’s outlook. BeInCrypto underscored three key factors supporting its stance in an analysis published on FXStreet. First, citing Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, it noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $100,000 level thanks to a balance between whale sell-offs and continued accumulation by other investors. Second, expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts projected for December are seen as another supportive element. Third, Bitcoin continues to trade above its 50-week moving average (WMA), a technical level that has underpinned the market since BTC moved above it in 2023; even when brief sell-offs have pushed prices below this line, buyers have stepped in to restore it by the weekly close. Warning signs of weakening momentumAt the same time, signals of moderating momentum have emerged. Another BeInCrypto report pointed to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score, an on-chain metric that gauges the asset’s upside potential, which fell to zero on Nov. 6, its lowest level since January 2022, just before the market entered its last major bearish phase. This more cautious tone is reflected in institutional forecasts as well. Crypto financial services firm Galaxy Digital last week lowered its year-end price target for Bitcoin from $185,000 to $120,000. The firm cited heavy whale sell-offs, shifting investor focus toward AI, gold, and stablecoins, and the weak performance of Bitcoin-focused digital asset treasury (DAT) companies as key reasons for its downgrade. Even so, Galaxy Digital said it continues to view Bitcoin as a structurally strong asset.From a longer-term perspective, some high-profile experts have also trimmed their expectations. According to Decrypt, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood told CNBC she now sees Bitcoin reaching about $1.2 million in a bullish scenario by 2030, down from her previous $1.5 million target. She attributed the revision mainly to the rapid growth of stablecoins, which are expanding faster than Bitcoin and emerging as a new payment method, a trend she suggested could dilute some of Bitcoin’s potential price momentum over time.

UBS extends crypto ETF access to clients in Hong KongMultinational investment bank UBS Group AG has followed suit with competitors like HSBC, enabling its wealthy clients in Hong Kong to engage in the trading of select crypto-linked exchange-traded funds (ETFs).Photo by Pierre Borthiry — Peiobty on UnsplashRegulatory approval to offer three ETFsThis move, reported by Bloomberg on Thursday, aligns with Hong Kong’s efforts to establish itself as a prominent digital asset hub. Citing an undisclosed source, Bloomberg outlined that three crypto ETFs, namely the Samsung Bitcoin Futures Active, CSOP Bitcoin Futures and CSOP Ether Futures, have received approval from the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and will be available on UBS’s Hong Kong platform starting this Friday.The inclusion of these ETFs allows UBS clients to diversify their investment portfolios, offering exposure to the dynamic crypto market. Educational materials will also be accessible to clients, aiding in their understanding of associated risks. While UBS declined to comment on this development, it marks a strategic move by the Swiss bank to tap into the growing demand for crypto-related investment products.In June, Hong Kong’s largest bank, HSBC, moved to expand its offering to include crypto ETFs. It has made available the very same crypto ETFs as UBS is about to offer.Hong Kong’s crypto credentialsHong Kong introduced a comprehensive digital asset regulatory regime on June 1, aiming to safeguard investors while fostering the Chinese autonomous territory’s emergence as a digital financial center. The SFC permits retail investors to trade major tokens on licensed exchanges under these regulations.Despite these regulatory advancements, Hong Kong faced setbacks, notably with the recent issues surrounding the unlicensed JPEX exchange, which led to increased scrutiny. The establishment of a joint task force between the SFC and the police aims to monitor and prevent suspicious activities within the crypto industry.Globally, financial institutions remain cautious about compliance risks in the crypto sector. However, signs of increased engagement are emerging. DBS, Singapore’s largest bank, has expressed its intention to seek a license to offer crypto services to Hong Kong customers. ZA Bank, the largest virtual bank in Hong Kong, plans to provide token-to-fiat currency conversions over licensed platforms. Furthermore, SEBA Bank, backed by the Julius Baer Group, has obtained a license for its unit to offer crypto services in Hong Kong.Unlocking ETF potentialA report published by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in April claimed that crypto ETFs possess the potential to unlock the next phase of digital asset expansion in Asia. Earlier this week, it emerged that regulators were open to the notion of allowing retail access to spot crypto ETFs in Hong Kong, provided that the necessary regulatory approvals and checks were in place.The inclusion of the CSOP Bitcoin Futures and CSOP Ether Futures funds on UBS’s platform highlights the gradual recovery of the crypto sector from the market rout experienced in 2022. Despite the previous market challenges and collapses, the prospect of the U.S. allowing its first spot Bitcoin ETFs has contributed to a resurgence in the largest token’s price this year. The move by UBS aligns with the broader trend of financial institutions cautiously embracing the crypto economy, indicating a shifting attitude toward these digital assets in the financial mainstream.