Zodia Custody Expands to Hong Kong to Meet Asian Institutional Demand

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

Global crypto exchange Binance has carried out a survey which reveals that the security habits of Asian platform users are evolving positively.Photo by Vadim Artyukhin on UnsplashUsers responding to more sophisticated scamsIn a blog post published by the crypto exchange platform on May 6, Binance revealed that it had carried out a survey of nearly 30,000 platform users across Asia. The company’s takeaway following analysis of the survey data is that “scams are evolving — and so are crypto users.” The firm suggested that users are “stepping up their security game,” with exchanges facing growing demand from their users for real-time protection and smarter security tools. Increasing use of 2FAThe exchange platform found that 80.5% of survey respondents now use Binance two-factor authentication (2FA). While the use of 2FA is definitely a move in the right direction, it doesn’t guarantee the safety of a user’s digital assets.  In an article published by Forbes last month Forbes Contributor Davey Winder warned that infostealer malware can compromise 2FA codes in as little as 10 seconds. In June of last year, an OKX user lost $2 million in crypto to a hacker who utilized AI despite the victim having used Google’s 2FA. Double-checking transfersThe survey found that 73.3% of users double-check transfers before sending digital assets. Due to the nature of decentralized cryptocurrency, crypto transactions are not easily reversed and are usually irreversible. That puts a greater responsibility on crypto users to ensure that they are sending funds to the appropriate wallet address. Double-checking transfer addresses is not only necessary due to human error. Malware is also used by hackers to spoof such addresses, tricking the sender into sending the digital assets to their address rather than the one that was originally intended. It emerged in May 2024 that a Bitcoin trader had lost more than $70 million in Bitcoin in an “address poisoning” scam. Binance itself had warned users last September that “clipper malware,” which intercepts clipboard data on a user’s phone or desktop, replacing copied wallet addresses with alternative addresses under the hacker’s control, is increasingly being employed in hacking attempts. While the survey has revealed a positive evolution in the security habits of Asian platform users, there’s still room for further improvement. Just 17.6% of survey respondents utilize address whitelisting, a measure that restricts account user access to a safe list of pre-defined trusted addresses. Only 21.5% of survey respondents use anti-phishing codes as a security mechanism. The objective of phishing is to steal data, install malware on a user’s device or otherwise gain account access. An anti-phishing code aids the user in verifying the authenticity of emails and texts from a specific service. Security remains a major issue within crypto. Last month, hackers employed social engineering tactics to steal $330 million in Bitcoin from an elderly American victim. Exchange platforms themselves continue to struggle to safeguard user funds. Earlier this year, Binance competitor, Dubai-headquartered Bybit, suffered a $1.5 billion hack believed to have been perpetrated by North Korea’s Lazarus Group. Lazarus is also thought to have been behind a $235 million crypto theft at Indian crypto exchange WazirX in July 2024.

Recent statements by figures well placed in the crypto space and within the Vietnamese government point to increased potential for greater adoption of XRP, the payments solution token first developed by Ripple Labs.Photo by Silver Ringvee on Unsplash‘XRP will be big in Vietnam’Yasin Mobarak is a prominent figure within the XRP community. He’s also the founder and managing member of Dizer Capital, a venture capital and private equity firm that specializes in blockchain, internet of things (IoT) and clean energy projects. On Saturday, Mobarak tweeted out: "$XRP will be big in Vietnam." While Mobarak didn’t comment further, he did include a link to an X social media post published by XRP community member Kenny Nguyen, relaying the news that Vietnamese Finance Minister Ho Duc Phoc had announced that the government is currently working with the Vietnamese Central Bank with a view towards studying and possibly implementing the use of XRP for cross border payments. Central Bank's consideration of XRPVietnam's Central Bank is actively exploring the integration of XRP for cross-border payments, both domestically and internationally. This move aligns with the region's swift adoption of XRP, driven by its promise of faster, cost-effective and secure cross-border payment services. Ripple's recent collaboration with TPB Bank, a major player in Vietnam's banking sector, is set to fortify the entire XRP ecosystem. In September 2023, SBI Remit, a financial service provider and subsidiary company of Japanese financial services conglomerate SBI Group, initiated an XRP-based remittance service covering Southeast Asian countries like the Philippines, Vietnam and Indonesia. SBI has a long-standing partnership in place with Ripple aimed at launching international payment services. As part of that announcement, SBI confirmed the participation of Malaysia-based cross-border payments hub Tranglo in the project. Crypto adoption and growthDespite legal constraints, Vietnam emerged as a leader in crypto adoption in Asia in 2023 by claiming the third position in Chainalysis’ 2023 Global Crypto Adoption rankings. The region, still adapting to the global rise of cryptocurrencies, is undergoing a transformation. While centralized exchanges dominate in various countries, regional preferences vary. In the Philippines, a noteworthy 20% of the population engages with crypto sites for gaming and gambling. In contrast, Vietnam and Pakistan distinguish themselves with citizens favoring peer-to-peer exchanges. This approach allows direct trading between individuals, bypassing large corporations. A report produced by Kyros Ventures and Coin68 in conjunction with Hong Kong’s Animoca Brands last year found that 76% of Vietnamese crypto holders determine their investment choices based upon recommendations from friends and people within their peer group. The collaboration between regulatory bodies, financial institutions, government and crypto projects illustrates the growing integration of digital assets into traditional financial systems. This latest example pertaining to Vietnam and XRP certainly offers the potential of a much greater level of adoption in the region. While activity within Vietnam may be a key consideration for XRP investors and stakeholders in 2024, the potential for a Ripple initial public offering (IPO) is also something they’re likely to be watching out for. Over the course of the past six months, a Ripple IPO has been the subject of speculation. That speculative interest has likely increased following Circle, the issuer of U.S. dollar stablecoin USDC, filing for an IPO last week.