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NVT Ratio Signals Overvalued BTCThe network value to transaction (NVT) ratio of Bitcoin, which has been staying at a high level since the beginning of the year, has signaled its overvaluation, according to Yonhap Infomax.However, some argue that this will not necessarily lead to a crypto winter, considering that the nature of Bitcoin as an asset has changed and there is no sign of overheating in other indicators.©Pexels/PixabayPrice and NVT ratio correlationYonhap Infomax found out that the correlation between the NVT ratio and the price of Bitcoin over the past six years is -0.35. A value of 1 represents a completely positive correlation, while a value of -1 represents a completely negative correlation.Extending this period to 2010 makes the correlation close to 0, but during the early years, NVT ratios showed high volatility, shooting up to four digits. Such a high volatility doesn’t suggest much correlation. Until 2021, there was a high correlation of up to -0.44.The NVT ratio is calculated by dividing the market cap by the transacted volume. Conceptually, it is similar to the price-to-earnings ratio for the stock market.In 2017, when the crypto market was bullish, the average Bitcoin NVT ratio was 7.3. This number became 8.7 in 2021 when the market experienced a similar pattern. In retrospect, single-digit NVT ratios usually hint at bullish markets.This year so far, Bitcoin has been relatively overvalued, given that the average NVT ratio is 23.6.BTC price recoveryWhen the crypto market sentiment lost its confidence due to the FTX bankruptcy last year, the price of Bitcoin went down to $15,000. It later recovered to the near $30,000 level. The Bitcoin price once had reached an all-time high in 2021, surpassing $65,000.The years that manifested similar patterns as this year were 2018 and 2019. In those years, the Bitcoin NVT ratio plateaued around 20.Uncertain outlookThe NVT ratio itself could point to a possible crypto winter, but researchers say it’s hard to say.Jang Kyung-pil, a research analyst at crypto data platform Xangle, said that people now consider Bitcoin as a store of value rather than a means of transactions, pointing out that BTC’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has hit the bottom at 0.84 and now reached 1.4. According to Jang, MVRV values under 1 indicate undervaluation and those above 3 indicate overvaluation.Jung Seok-moon, head of the research center at crypto exchange Korbit, said that the current NVT ratio signals BTC overvaluation. He added that the Fed is likely to turn dovish in its monetary policy, which would prompt a strong BTC uptrend.

DigiFT Unveils First Fully Regulatory-Compliant US Treasury TokenDigiFT, a pioneering decentralized exchange (DEX) for digital assets with a Singapore-based project team, has made waves in the financial landscape with the official launch of the DigiFT US Treasury Token.Photo by Karolina Grabowska on PexelsTradFi and blockchain convergenceThe company announced the launch of the Treasury token, known as “DUST,” via a press release on Thursday. It’s the first-ever fully regulatory-compliant US Treasury token issued on a public blockchain, signaling a powerful convergence of traditional finance and blockchain technology.DUST has the potential to be a game-changer in the crypto space, offering accredited and institutional investors an unparalleled opportunity to seamlessly invest in US Treasuries through a secure and transparent on-chain channel. One of its standout features is its backing by a single US Treasury note with a specific maturity date, instilling confidence and reassurance in investors seeking stable and reliable assets.Regulatory complianceThere are other tokenized treasuries in existence already. However, DigiFT differentiates its product through adherence to rigorous regulatory standards, ensuring that the tokenization process aligns with established financial norms.Henry Zhang, CEO of DigiFT, expressed his enthusiasm about this groundbreaking achievement:“The launch of DigiFT US Treasury Token represents our commitment to bring the best of both decentralized finance (DeFi) and traditional yield to investors.”He emphasized that DUST not only bridges the gap between DeFi and real-world assets (RWAs) but also upholds the highest standards of regulatory compliance.DUST’s innovative structure offers investors the flexibility to participate using US dollars or US dollar stablecoin (USD Coin). The product is accessible to all, given that it facilitates a minimum investment amount of 1 USD or USDC. To enhance accessibility further still, DUST ensures same-day settlement for investments below USD 50,000, contingent on liquidity conditions.Zhang emphasized the transformative potential of DUST, stating: “We believe that tokenization of RWAs is poised to become the future of investing, and DUST will support the wider adoption of digital tokens with its compliant features.”Rapid progressThe issuance of DUST tokens is overseen by Red Cedar Digital Pte. Ltd., an affiliate of DigiFT, with a yield to maturity (YTM) of 5.40% as of August 3, 2023. DigiFT’s journey began in 2020 when it became the first and only DEX to be accepted into the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) FinTech Regulatory Sandbox.Since then, DigiFT’s list of achievements has grown exponentially. The platform successfully listed a tokenized corporate note from Diners Club (Singapore), which achieved full subscription at its initial offering.Additionally, a tokenized bond, backed by a Barclays 8% Perpetual Bond and custodied with a licensed global financial institution, reinforced DigiFT’s reputation for innovation. The platform’s regulatory-compliant access to Matrixdock’s Short-term Treasury Bill Token (STBT) further solidified its role in pioneering secure and transparent investment avenues.DigiFT’s product offering demonstrates that we are likely to see an ongoing blurring of the lines between blockchain-based innovation and traditional products in conventional finance over the next few years. As DigiFT continues to champion regulatory compliance and innovation, investors can anticipate even more transformative solutions that harmonize the best of both worlds.

Credit Saison, one of the largest credit card issuers in Japan, is accelerating its global venture strategy with the creation of Onigiri Capital, a new fund targeting early-stage startups building on blockchain technology. Set up in Singapore last month through Credit Saison’s corporate venture arm, Saison Capital, the vehicle is aiming for up to $50 million in commitments and will run for 10 years, with an optional two-year extension. The fund has already secured $35 million toward its target.Photo by Markus Winkler on UnsplashBuilding on a fintech track recordThe initiative is part of Credit Saison’s broader plan to expand in emerging markets and spur innovation in financial services, drawing on Saison Capital’s track record. Established in 2019, the venture arm has backed fintech startups across Asia and, since 2021, has increasingly focused on blockchain-based finance, investing in more than 40 companies. The firm said those investments laid the groundwork for Onigiri Capital, which will also enable other financial institutions to invest alongside Credit Saison in promising blockchain ventures. Onigiri Capital will concentrate on five areas: stablecoins, payments, asset tokenization, decentralized finance (DeFi), and financial infrastructure. The fund will invest primarily at the seed and early stages, with an emphasis on long-term growth. Managing the fund are Qin En Looi, a partner at Saison Capital involved in over 40 blockchain investments, and Hans de Back, a venture investor with more than two decades of experience. Cross-border stablecoin pilotThe launch comes as Japan steps up efforts in digital assets beyond investment alone. According to Electronic Times, the first phase of “Project Pax,” a cross-border stablecoin remittance pilot involving financial institutions in Japan and South Korea, concluded successfully last week. Participants were Progmat—a tokenization platform backed by a consortium of major institutions, including MUFG—along with Datachain and Shoko Chukin Bank from Japan, and Shinhan Bank, NH Nonghyup Bank, and Kbank from South Korea. Fair Square Lab and Korea Digital Asset Custody helped develop an application programming interface (API) for the trial. The pilot demonstrated the feasibility of a network that converts fiat currency into stablecoins for on-chain transfers and then back into local currency at the destination, an approach expected to reduce the time and cost of cross-border payments. The results add momentum to Japan’s bid to modernize financial infrastructure, a backdrop that Onigiri Capital aims to capitalize on as it deploys capital into the sector.