Shanghai Court Recognizes Unique Traits of Bitcoin

TRYB Emerges as Turkish Alternative to Dollar-Pegged StablecoinsIn a market typically dominated by dollar-backed stablecoins like Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), a new player has emerged in Turkey to operate alongside those dominant stablecoins.According to a report by CoinDesk on Friday, BiLira’s TRYB stablecoin, pegged to the Turkish lira (TRY), has rapidly climbed the ranks to become the world’s second-largest non-US dollar-pegged stablecoin. It currently trails Tether’s euro-pegged EURt, which according to Coingecko data, currently holds a market cap of $221 million. In just three weeks, TRYB has skyrocketed, quadrupling its market cap to $136.10 million.Photo by Oleksandr P on PexelsMarket cap volatilityHowever, TRYB's market cap had fallen off a cliff on Friday, dropping from $135 million earlier in the day to $40 million. TRYB, an Ethereum-based stablecoin, offers a unique proposition in that it is pegged to the Turkish lira, allowing users to exchange 1 TRYB for 1 TRY. The stablecoin offering, which is administered by Istanbul-based BiLira, is underpinned by 100% fiat reserves held in Turkish banks.The Turkish lira has earned its reputation as one of the most volatile fiat currencies globally, often experiencing fluctuations against the US dollar. Over the course of the last five years, the currency has lost 94% of its value when benchmarked against the performance of the US dollar.In response to this volatility, TRYB has found its purpose as a medium of exchange. It can act as a gateway to transition user’s Turkish lira into cryptocurrencies and vice versa. This trend aligns with the global use of stablecoins as the foundation of crypto trading pairs, providing traders with a stable asset while sidestepping fiat currency’s unpredictability.Exiting the liraThe US Federal Reserve acknowledged the significance of stablecoins in December 2022, highlighting their role in facilitating crypto trades, serving as collateral for crypto loans, and minimizing inefficiencies tied to fiat-to-crypto conversions. In fact, stablecoins account for over 80% of the trading volume on centralized exchanges, attesting to their pivotal role in the crypto ecosystem.It’s likely that the Lira-pegged stablecoin will act as a means to access other cryptocurrencies and US dollar-pegged stablecoins like USDT and USDC, rather than be considered as a rival or replacement. That’s by virtue of the ongoing difficulties of the Turkish sovereign currency which it tracks. So long as the lira continues to erode in terms of buying power, it’s likely that citizens will be looking for avenues to escape from that erosion of value.Increased interest in cryptoGiven this monetary backdrop in Turkey, it shouldn’t surprise anyone to learn that interest in crypto is on the rise. In a recent report published by Seychelles-based cryptocurrency exchange KuCoin earlier this week, a significant increase in the number of crypto investors in Turkey over the course of the past eighteen months has been identified.The report found that 52% of the adult Turkish population have participated in crypto-related investments. Over the past 18 months, the number of Turkish adults embracing crypto has risen to that 52% level from 40%.

Despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, a South Korean analyst says investors’ trust in the market remains intact. He added that a U.S. crypto market structure bill, which Congress could approve as early as December, may give investors a chance to buy the dip ahead of a potential rebound. According to Etoday, Hong Sung-wook of NH Investment & Securities, one of South Korea’s major brokerage firms, noted that the crypto market has given back all gains made since mid-October, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $100,000. Most altcoins also saw steep declines, erasing the advances they posted following roughly $19 billion in liquidations around Oct. 10. In this environment, Solana’s year-to-date performance has turned negative despite the recent launch of spot Solana ETFs in Hong Kong and the U.S., while Ethereum has similarly surrendered its earlier gains.Photo by Michael Förtsch on UnsplashContext from past declinesHong framed the latest pullback in a historical context. Since 2018, Bitcoin has recorded a daily closing price drop of more than 20% on seven occasions. The latest decline of about 21% from peak to trough, he said, is broadly in line with previous downturns. He added that Bitcoin is now less likely to experience the extreme volatility seen in earlier years, citing growing institutional participation and its increasing use in so-called “debasement trades,” or hedges against fiat currency inflation. Building on this, Hong attributed the recent weakness primarily to the liquidation wave and the temporary hit to sentiment. However, he argued that confidence could recover faster than in past stress events, emphasizing that trust in the market has not been fundamentally damaged, unlike in prior downturns triggered by unexpected “black swan” shocks. Policy progress could lift market moodIn the near term, Hong pointed to progress on the U.S. crypto market structure bill as a potential catalyst. Further movement on the bill, he said, could help improve sentiment, similar to the supportive reaction seen around the passage of the stablecoin GENIUS Act. Other market observers have expressed a comparable view on Bitcoin’s outlook. BeInCrypto underscored three key factors supporting its stance in an analysis published on FXStreet. First, citing Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, it noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $100,000 level thanks to a balance between whale sell-offs and continued accumulation by other investors. Second, expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts projected for December are seen as another supportive element. Third, Bitcoin continues to trade above its 50-week moving average (WMA), a technical level that has underpinned the market since BTC moved above it in 2023; even when brief sell-offs have pushed prices below this line, buyers have stepped in to restore it by the weekly close. Warning signs of weakening momentumAt the same time, signals of moderating momentum have emerged. Another BeInCrypto report pointed to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score, an on-chain metric that gauges the asset’s upside potential, which fell to zero on Nov. 6, its lowest level since January 2022, just before the market entered its last major bearish phase. This more cautious tone is reflected in institutional forecasts as well. Crypto financial services firm Galaxy Digital last week lowered its year-end price target for Bitcoin from $185,000 to $120,000. The firm cited heavy whale sell-offs, shifting investor focus toward AI, gold, and stablecoins, and the weak performance of Bitcoin-focused digital asset treasury (DAT) companies as key reasons for its downgrade. Even so, Galaxy Digital said it continues to view Bitcoin as a structurally strong asset.From a longer-term perspective, some high-profile experts have also trimmed their expectations. According to Decrypt, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood told CNBC she now sees Bitcoin reaching about $1.2 million in a bullish scenario by 2030, down from her previous $1.5 million target. She attributed the revision mainly to the rapid growth of stablecoins, which are expanding faster than Bitcoin and emerging as a new payment method, a trend she suggested could dilute some of Bitcoin’s potential price momentum over time.

Despite reports emerging on Monday that it had invested in Array, an algorithmic currency system, Singaporean state-owned conglomerate and global investment firm Temasek has denied any such investment.In a very brief statement published to its website on Tuesday, Temasek stated:“We have seen news articles and a tweet from Array about Temasek’s investment in it. This news is incorrect. Temasek has not invested in Array and we have no relationship with them.”CoinTelegraph had taken to reporting the claim on Monday. The article had outlined a $10 million investment by the Singaporean state investor into Array, the developer of an algorithmic currency system that relies upon smart contracts and artificial intelligence. Reputational lossIf it had been true, such an investment would have been seen as a positive for the crypto space as it would be indicative of a renewed appetite for crypto-based projects from the giant Southeast Asian investor.Temasek was a key investor in failed cryptocurrency exchange, FTX. In November 2022, the company had to write down its entire investment of $275 million into the fraudulently managed exchange business. To an onlooker, a $275 million write-down may seem like an extraordinary loss.However, given that the Singaporean investing behemoth has a $403 billion dollar portfolio, the loss represents just 0.09% of that portfolio, hardly making a dent in the health of the company.The greater loss for Temasek relative to the FTX collapse has been reputational. Top tier venture capital investors like Temasek, who had otherwise been assumed to be the most diligent of actors in the professional investing world, were all sharply criticized for failing to identify the extent of the mismanagement and fraud that had occurred at the now bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange. Bogus ClaimsIn fairness to those who had reported the fake news, they were acting on information that Array had put out into the ether and as of yet, has not corrected. At the time of publication, the project’s website features a list of renowned investors including Temasek. Alongside Temasek, Array claims to have obtained investment from Standard Chartered, Coinbase Ventures, Spark Capital, Khosla Ventures, The Blackstone Group, Binance Labs, Sequoia Capital and a16z.In the case of Binance Labs, a spokesperson for the venture arm of the global exchange told The Block that it is not an investor in the project. To further dispel the claim, Temasek took to Twitter, stating:”Fake news about Temasek’s investment in @Array_Protocol. We have seen news articles and a tweet from Array about Temasek’s investment in it. This news is incorrect. Temasek has not invested in Array and we have no relationship with them.” Further instances of misinformationThe misinformation follows a similar scenario that played out with OPNX, a newly launched platform that offers spot and futures trading, alongside the ability for investors to trade bankruptcy claims.A couple of weeks ago, the platform, which had been founded by Kyle Davies and Su Zhu, the key executives behind failed crypto hedge fund, Three Arrows Capital, asserted that it had the backing of some notable investors. Almost immediately, venture capital and market maker DRW and venture capital firm Nascent denied that they were investors in OPNX.