Cebu Meeting of FSB Highlights Crypto Risks

In the Philippines, the Department of Budget and Management (DBM) has introduced an on-chain system utilizing the Ethereum layer-2 network Polygon to notarize and track documentation and the expenditure of public funds. The government contracted Manila-headquartered blockchain technology company BayaniChain Ventures in order to implement the system. The firm took to social media on July 31 to provide details on the DBM Blockchain Project.Photo by GuerrillaBuzz on UnsplashBuilding trust into infrastructureBayaniChain Ventures CEO Paul Soliman outlined that the new system “builds trust into the infrastructure itself.” The DBM Blockchain Project connects a DBM internal platform, the Action Document Releasing System (ADRS), which creates official budget documentation, with the Lumen Blockchain-as-a-Service (BaaS) system created by BayaniChain.  Lumen functions as a core framework, enabling government systems to connect securely with blockchain infrastructure. Consequently, Lumen facilitates the tokenization of government documents, managing access to those documents and publishing data to a portal. A third system, Prismo Protocol, interacts with Lumen and ADRS, determining what documentation should be shared with the public and what documentation should remain accessible exclusively to DBM staff.The upshot of the interaction of these systems is that select budget documentation is published to the Polygon blockchain. Soliman stated that the system provides transparency, enabling members of the public to “see proof, not just promises” with regard to the activity of the government department. Integrating blockchain into public governanceThe Undersecretary at DBM, Maria Francesca Montes Del Rosario, took to Facebook on July 30 to confirm that the DBM blockchain initiative had gone live. She described it as the “first ever Transparency Government Blockchain for immutable and verifiable action documents.” She added: “We are using cutting edge technology like AI, blockchain, satellite imaging to enhance how we do public policy and governance.”Del Rosario was quoted by local media as stating that the technology combats the problem of AI deepfakes and fake documents. Another stakeholder in the development of the system was Exakt IT Services, a local company that specializes in assisting government organizations in the Philippines to bring about digital transformation. Exakt was awarded a contract by DBM to act as a technology partner, supporting the project with technical expertise and infrastructure in order to bring about the implementation of the blockchain solution. BayaniChain’s Soliman believes that the new system “sets a precedent for transparency and accountability in public finance.” However, the timing of the launch of the service proved to be unfortunate, as it coincided with an outage suffered by the Polygon network. The outage, which lasted for one hour, disrupted apps running on Polygon. On X, Polygon CEO and Founder Sandeep Nailwal asserted that the incident didn’t prevent the blockchain from operating or producing blocks and with that, user transactions on the network were still being processed.In better news for the blockchain network, Crypto Analyst Lennaert Snyder reported on July 31 that Polygon has reached a yearly high of $1.2 billion in total value locked (TVL), an 80% increase since March.

Matrixport Forecasts Bitcoin Bull Market Breather AheadMatrixport, the Singapore-headquartered digital asset financial services provider, has reported a significant surge in its Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index (GFI) over the past week.Photo by Karolina Grabowska on PexelsBitcoin Greed & Fear Index (GFI)The index, which tracks market sentiments, has skyrocketed from below 10% to a staggering 93%. Such a rapid increase indicates a prevailing sense of greed and excessive optimism among Bitcoin investors. As a result, industry experts are suggesting that a breather in the ongoing Bitcoin rally may be on the cards.Markus Thielen, the Head of Research and Strategy at Matrixport, has advised short-term traders to consider capitalizing on their gains given the exuberant levels recorded by the Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index. Historical analysis reveals that readings above 90% have often signaled interim tops in Bitcoin’s price, while readings below 10% have preceded notable price rallies.Upward movement favorableDespite the current high reading, the 21-day simple moving average of the index remains below the critical 90% mark. This implies that the overall trajectory for Bitcoin still favors upward movement. Thielen points out that the rising 21-day moving average indicates the potential for further upside once the current phase of exuberance subsides, allowing for consolidation in the market.Chart analysts share an optimistic view of Bitcoin’s future, with some predicting a potential rally towards the $35,000 mark and beyond. Josh Olszewicz, Head of Research at digital asset investment firm Valkyrie, highlights a falling wedge setup in Bitcoin’s recent price action.The successful bounce off the support level, combined with the completion of the falling wedge pattern, has heightened expectations for a move towards the mid-$30,000 range. Olszewicz does caution that significant resistance may arise in that zone, likely leading to a subsequent period of re-consolidation before any further upward progress can be made.In recent weeks, Bitcoin experienced a pullback from its mid-April high of $31,000, eventually finding support around the $25,200 level earlier this month. This pullback, often referred to as a “throwback,” historically acts as a catalyst for price rallies, as has been evident in the past few days.Ether gain potentialWhile Bitcoin’s rally has been impressive, Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a gain of 15.9% since last Thursday. However, Ether’s GFI index has yet to reach the 90% threshold, indicating potential room for further growth while Bitcoin takes a breather.Matrixport’s Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index has surged to an astonishing 93%, signaling heightened levels of greed and optimism among Bitcoin investors. Traders are advised to consider securing their gains as the index reaches exuberant levels.Nonetheless, the rising 21-day moving average suggests the potential for Bitcoin’s upward momentum to continue following a period of consolidation. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $31,200, based on CoinGecko data. Going into the weekend, that’s demonstrating continued growth. Meanwhile, Ether shows promising performance, with potential for further growth.

Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is advancing proposals to authorize exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by specific cryptocurrencies, a move that fleshes out previously reported plans to apply a flat 20% separate tax to crypto gains. According to agency materials released on Dec. 26 and reported by CoinPost, the regulator has now clarified that crypto-linked ETFs and derivatives will be integrated into this new tax framework.Photo by Jakub Żerdzicki on UnsplashThe materials, part of the tax reform framework for the fiscal year 2026, indicate that the regulator intends to align the tax treatment of crypto-linked ETFs with that of stocks and foreign exchange trading. Under the current system, cryptocurrency gains in Japan are classified as miscellaneous income, subjecting investors to progressive tax rates that can reach approximately 55% when local levies are included. The proposed reforms aim to integrate crypto assets into the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), a legislative package slated for debate during the 2026 Diet session. Derivatives also subject to separate taxBeyond ETFs, the regulator plans to adjust the taxation of derivative products based on certain crypto assets. While these derivatives would remain classified as miscellaneous income—similar to conventional futures—the method of taxation would shift from comprehensive taxation to a separate self-assessment model. Despite the outlined tax reductions, market observers anticipate that full implementation may be delayed until 2028 due to the time required to amend the relevant laws and government ordinances. FSA restructures to better oversee cryptoIn parallel with regulatory updates, the FSA is restructuring its internal operations to better address digital finance. Nikkei reported that the agency has decided to elevate its Crypto-Assets and Blockchain Innovation Office to the status of a division beginning in the administrative fiscal year starting July 2026. This restructuring follows an August proposal in which the FSA cited the need to bolster its capacity to handle financial services transformed by financial technology, crypto trading, and generative artificial intelligence (AI). The agency noted that it faces accumulating challenges, including fraud prevention and the government's broader goal of positioning Japan as a leading asset management nation. Additionally, the establishment of a new Asset Management and Insurance Supervision Bureau is expected as part of the reorganization. The regulatory shifts coincide with broader efforts to integrate blockchain technology into Japan's financial infrastructure. A separate Nikkei report last week stated that policymakers have agreed to prepare for the issuance of local government bonds as blockchain-based security tokens. The government plans to submit the necessary legislation during the next ordinary Diet session, aiming to streamline settlement processes and enable real-time monitoring of investor data. Corporate crypto strategies persist despite concernsIn the private sector, Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed Metaplanet is proceeding with a corporate strategy focused on Bitcoin accumulation. Dylan LeClair, the company's Director of Bitcoin Strategy, said on X that shareholders at an extraordinary meeting approved proposals to raise capital for additional Bitcoin purchases, including the issuance of Class B preferred shares to overseas institutional investors. Earlier this year, Metaplanet shareholders authorized a long-term plan to acquire more than 210,000 Bitcoin by 2027, representing roughly 1% of the total supply. However, analysts warn that corporate models based primarily on asset accumulation face structural risks. According to Cointelegraph, industry figures such as MoreMarkets CEO Altan Tutar and Solv Protocol co-founder Ryan Chow have cautioned that companies relying solely on digital asset holdings may struggle to maintain valuations without developing operational businesses that generate consistent returns.