Ripple Pursues International Growth Via Dubai Expansion

Bitcoin’s long-standing four-year market cycle tied to halving events may be losing influence, according to a new outlook from crypto exchange Bybit and research firm Block Scholes that examines market conditions through 2026. The report suggests that Bitcoin price action may be increasingly influenced by macroeconomic policy, institutional participation, and market structure rather than by new supply reductions. It says historical cycles have tended to track changes in global liquidity, often measured by global M2, and that this relationship has become more visible, while Bitcoin continues to respond to shifts in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.Photo by Pawel Czerwinski on UnsplashETFs reshaping demand dynamicsThe analysis points to structural changes in demand, citing the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the growth of corporate digital asset treasuries (DATs). The report says ETF flows and corporate balance-sheet allocations are playing a larger role in price formation than retail trading. That shift is disrupting the traditional capital rotation from Bitcoin into Ethereum and then into smaller altcoins and memecoins. As a result, the report suggests broad altcoin rallies may be harder to ignite, with gains depending on whether assets can be incorporated into institutional products such as ETFs. On the macro front, the report says markets are pricing in further Federal Reserve easing, with looser financial conditions potentially supporting a closer relationship between Bitcoin and major stock indexes despite recent underperformance versus U.S. equities. Based on options pricing, the report estimates a 10.3% implied probability that Bitcoin reaches $150,000 by the end of 2026. At present, Bitcoin is trading slightly above $91,000. Index criteria and Japan policy in viewThe analysis also highlights policy risks, including potential volatility tied to concerns over the possible exclusion of Strategy from major stock indexes, which could affect companies holding digital assets on their balance sheets. That risk has since eased after MSCI paused a proposal that would have excluded firms with digital asset reserves, though Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer cautioned that the issue could resurface in future rule reviews. The Bybit-Block Scholes report also cites potential policy tightening by the Bank of Japan later this year as another source of cross-asset risk, following its December rate hike of 25 basis points to a 30-year high of 0.75%. RWA and stablecoinsOne area of focus in the report for 2026 is real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, which it describes as building on the stablecoin adoption that gathered pace last year. That view is echoed in a separate outlook from Moody’s, cited by Cointelegraph, which says fiat-backed stablecoins and tokenized bank deposits are functioning as “digital cash” for settlement, liquidity management, and collateral movement. Moody’s estimates stablecoins processed about $9 trillion in on-chain settlement volume in 2025 and projects banks, asset managers, and infrastructure providers could invest more than $300 billion in digital finance by 2030. As an example, Moody’s cited JPMorgan’s U.S. dollar–denominated deposit token, JPM Coin, as a way digital-cash layers can operate on top of existing banking systems. The bank’s Kinexys unit plans to work with Digital Asset to bring JPM Coin to Digital Asset’s Canton Network in a phased rollout during 2026. This follows JPMorgan’s expansion of the project onto Coinbase’s Ethereum layer-2 network Base for institutional clients. 

The Thai government is planning to enable tourists to spend crypto via credit card, according to information revealed by Thailand’s finance minister on May 26.Photo by rc.xyz NFT gallery on UnsplashPichai Chunhavajira, the Southeast Asian nation’s finance minister and deputy prime minister, delivered a keynote speech at an investment seminar in Bangkok in which he outlined that while some countries enable people to purchase goods directly with cryptocurrency, another option is to allow consumers to link their digital assets with other services such as credit cards.  In that way, the consumer can spend crypto through credit card services. English language news outlet The Nation reported that Chunhavajira confirmed that the government is preparing to launch a pilot project that would allow tourists to spend crypto in this manner within Thailand. Seamless conversion from crypto to fiatWith this system, merchants would still receive payment in Thai baht. From the point of view of the user, crypto could be spent but any exchange between crypto and fiat currency would happen seamlessly and automatically via the credit card service provider’s platform.Discussions between officials from the Bank of Thailand and the Ministry of Finance are ongoing with regard to the proposed scheme. It’s understood that similar existing models which have been introduced overseas are being examined. It’s likely that the pilot program is the same as the project that was announced by Chunhavajira in January when he alluded to a program enabled for foreign tourists visiting the Thai tourist resort of Phuket. At that time, it was envisaged that the scheme would adhere to existing legal frameworks and implicate identity verification through a third party service provider, with conversion from crypto to Thai baht to be enabled such that there would be no material difference experienced by merchants. Targeting touristsThis is not the first occasion in which tourists have been targeted by crypto-related initiatives. Earlier this month, it was announced that Binance Pay, a crypto payment service offered by global crypto exchange Binance, had partnered with the government of the Buddhist kingdom of Bhutan to launch the world’s first national-level crypto tourism payment system. In July 2024, the governor of Jeju Province in South Korea advocated for the use of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and crypto as part of Jeju Island’s tourism strategy. Last December the province announced a digital transformation roadmap that sets out a cashless future. Plans include the introduction of a system for converting digital assets and facilitating payment methods from neighboring countries like China and Japan. However, not all governments have been keen to facilitate tourists in spending crypto. In May 2023, the governor of the province of Bali in Indonesia cautioned foreign visitors to the region against the use of cryptocurrencies as a means of payment for goods and services. Governor Wayan Koster warned that visitors using cryptocurrency for payments could face severe consequences, including criminal penalties and deportation.

Binance’s Entry Followed by Increased Scrutiny on Foreign Executives in Korean Crypto FirmsSince Binance’s acquisition of South Korean crypto exchange GOPAX earlier this year, it appears that South Korean financial authorities have tightened their oversight of virtual asset service providers (VASPs), according to an article by local news outlet News1.Photo by Vadim Artyukhin on UnsplashAuthorities had previously instructed existing VASPs to report any changes in their location or registered executives. However, according to industry sources on Monday, authorities recently issued a notice to VASPs, emphasizing the importance of reporting the appointment of foreign executives as well. This change in authorities’ approach is not unrelated to the recent incidents involving Binance and GOPAX, which have caused ripples in the Korean market.Ongoing leadership changesBinance acquired a majority stake in Streami, the operator of GOPAX, back in February after GOPAX struggled to make principal and interest payments on its own decentralized finance (DeFi) service, GOFi, in the wake of the FTX collapse that happened in November 2022. In doing so, Binance injected capital into GOPAX in order to provide a solution for the issue.This marked Binance’s entry into the Korean market, with the number of monthly active users in the country soaring since then. A survey conducted in June by blockchain-based polling app Cratos also revealed that the Korean public had an overall favorable opinion towards the acquisition.Following the acquisition, Streami underwent multiple leadership transitions with Lee Jun-haeng resigning and Binance’s Asia Pacific Head, Leon Sing Foong, taking over. Shortly after, Foong also stepped down, and the baton was passed to Lee Joong-hoon, GOPAX’s former Vice President. It is also notable that Foong recently left Binance altogether amid regulatory scrutiny.Streami subsequently submitted reports to the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) under the Financial Services Commission in line with requirements to inform the regulatory body about these changes. However, the FIU has not yet granted its approval, likely due to the legal challenges Binance is currently facing in multiple jurisdictions worldwide.In a seeming effort to address this regulatory roadblock, Streami has recently decided to delegate yet another CEO whose identity has not yet been disclosed. This marks the third leadership shift in just half a year.On the other hand, crypto trading platform Crypto.com also acquired the exchange OKBIT last year. However, its process of entering the Korean market was quite different from that of Binance, as the platform received proper approval for changes in executive positions, such as the appointment of Rafael de Marco e Melo as Chief Financial Officer.Mounting roadblocksIt appears that authorities have now decided to form a more robust oversight system, including monitoring changes in foreign executive appointments at VASPs. However, some argue that such regulatory changes could be perceived as a hindrance for global exchanges looking to enter Korea’s lucrative crypto market where there is a high level of investor sentiment from up to seven million individual investors.To operate as a virtual asset business in the country, businesses must obtain preliminary certification for an Information Security Management System (ISMS) and register as a VASP. Obtaining ISMS certification is a time-consuming process, prompting overseas VASPs to enter the Korean market by acquiring businesses that have already received certification in Korea.However, if the entry barriers to Korea increase as authorities start to scrutinize changes in foreign executive positions, global VASPs may reconsider entering the market.