Binance APAC Head Urges the Korean FIU to Approve Gopax’s Exec Changes

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

Netherlands-based mobile wallet Swoo Pay has joined forces with global financial giant Mastercard to target the Southeast Asian market, offering crypto cashback on everyday purchases. Crypto loyalty tokensThe partnership was announced via a press release published on Cointelegraph earlier this week. Through Swoo's platform, users stand to gain crypto rewards, specifically Swoo Loyalty Tokens, for each contactless payment made via the app using digitized Mastercard cards. The partnership marks yet another step forward in the convergence of traditional financial systems with the burgeoning world of cryptocurrency. It reflects a broader trend among major financial institutions and retailers, who increasingly view cryptocurrency integration as a means to revitalize loyalty programs. Once users accrue “Tokenback” in the form of Swoo Loyalty Tokens, they have the flexibility to either exchange their rewards for popular cryptocurrencies like USDT or BTC within the Swoo app or convert them into fiat currency through partnering services. As Swoo continues to refine its crypto rewards platform, it will incorporate more Web3 features, further enhancing the utility and value of loyalty tokens within its ecosystem.Photo by Markus Winkler on UnsplashTargeting emerging marketsSwoo Pay is targeting emerging markets. Alongside Southeast Asia, that also brings the Middle East region and Africa within the scope of its marketing efforts for this product offering. Emerging markets have long been seen as ideal markets within which to bring about crypto adoption more generally. The significance of this announcement wasn’t lost on Nicki Sanders, chief technology officer (CTO) with tokenized real estate enterprise, Realio. Taking to social media, Sanders cited crypto adoption as one of three main reasons as to why this partnership could be a game-changer.   Sanders feels that the nature of the offering will result in crypto adoption as daily crypto use will be boosted. In turn, that will bring digital currencies into the realm of mainstream acceptability.She also feels that the product offering will be significant in terms of financial inclusion as it’s very accessible to underserved communities. Additionally, Sanders identifies the inherent innovation as being likely to result in mass adoption. “Focusing on Android and Huawei users, Swoo Pay navigates around Google service sanctions, offering a fresh pathway to digital payments,” she claims.This partnership builds upon the success of a previous trial campaign dubbed “Super Tokenback with Mastercard.” During the three-week initiative, users enjoyed 5% Tokenback (crypto cashback) on all Mastercard purchases made through Swoo Pay. The results were positive, with over 17,000 participants conducting upwards of 128,000 transactions. Not only did this drive increase card spend, but it also introduced a wave of new consumers to the concept of crypto-backed rewards. Representatives from Swoo emphasize the seamless integration of crypto into mainstream markets, ensuring compliance with local regulations and simplifying the launch and scalability of marketing campaigns to attract new users. Conversely, officials from Mastercard underscore the company's commitment to expanding the possibilities of digital payment instruments, prioritizing convenience, technological advancement and security. They highlight the role of Swoo Pay in addressing issues with tokenized payments for Android device users, thereby broadening accessibility to these innovative financial solutions.

Illiquid Token Sinks OPNX’s $30 Million Hodlnaut BidThe interim judicial managers overseeing the restructuring process of troubled Singaporean crypto lender Hodlnaut have firmly opposed the takeover offer presented by OPNX, the Dubai-based crypto bankruptcy claims trading platform associated with the founders of the now-defunct hedge fund, Three Arrows Capital.Photo by Image Hunter on PexelsSpeculative token valueIn a report published on Tuesday, Bloomberg referred to a recent court filing in which the administrators of Hodlnaut had characterized OPNX’s $30 million bid in FLEX digital tokens as “illiquid” and bearing “speculative value.” Additionally, a significant portion of Hodlnaut Group’s creditors, representing 60% of the total debt, had also voiced their dissent towards the proposed OPNX deal.Hodlnaut, headquartered in Singapore with operations in Hong Kong, found itself among the casualties of the $1.5 trillion crypto market downturn last year. OPNX had expressed its interest in taking control of Hodlnaut last month.Among the concerns raised by managers were the absence of a cash injection or assets with readily available liquidity, such as Bitcoin or Ether. Furthermore, there was no clear timeline provided for the repayment of creditors’ debts, and the proposal lacked detailed information regarding payments, which are limited to just 30% of liabilities, according to the court-appointed supervisors of Hodlnaut’s restructuring.FLEX token offeringThe FLEX token, associated with the CoinFLEX exchange, whose founders Mark Lamb and Sudhu Arumugam launched OPNX earlier this year, is at the center of the proposal. Currently, it holds a market value of approximately $54.4 million. However, its trading volume remains low. Moreover, its unit value stands at $0.55, marking a substantial 95% decrease from a month ago when the offer was first submitted to the Singapore court, as per data from CoinGecko.The deal would have meant OPNX taking a 75% stake in the business. Previously, Hodlnaut’s founders Simon Lee and Zhu Juntao had put forward a proposal of a business sale rather than liquidating the company as the preferred option.Su Zhu and Kyle Davies, co-founders of Singapore’s Three Arrows Capital, played instrumental roles in the inception of OPNX, joining with the CoinFLEX founders in establishing the bankruptcy claims trading platform. Despite their initial contributions, it’s worth noting that Zhu has previously clarified that neither he nor Davies are involved in the day-to-day management of the exchange.Regulatory sanctionsIn recent developments, Zhu and Davies were sanctioned with a nine-year ban by the Monetary Authority of Singapore due to violations connected to their collapsed hedge fund firm, which operated out of Singapore. Furthermore, in August, authorities in Dubai levied fines against Zhu, Davies, Mark Lamb, OPNX CEO Leslie Lamb, and Arumugam for operating and promoting OPNX without the required local license.The rejection of OPNX’s bid by Hodlnaut’s bankruptcy administrators underscores the challenges implicated by illiquid tokens. The fate of Hodlnaut remains uncertain, pending further developments in the ongoing legal proceedings, and will depend upon its management’s efforts in finding a new buyer for the business.