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Shapella Upgrade to Have limited Impact on ETH’s Selling PressureThe Shapella upgrade on the Ethereum network scheduled to take place on Wednesday will only have a limited impact on the selling pressure on ETH, according to a report by the research center at Korean cryptocurrency exchange Korbit.©Pexels/JievaniShapella upgradeOne of the key features of the Shapella upgrade is to allow withdrawal of staked ETH. This upgrade follows September’s Merge upgrade that switched the Ethereum network’s consensus algorithm from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake, significantly reducing electricity consumption.Impact on selling pressureTo predict the impact of the Shapella upgrade on the selling pressure on ETH, the analysts at Korbit Research calculated the amount of time it takes for all the ETH staked as of March 22 to be withdrawn. They believe this calculation is relevant because withdrawals of staked ETH could trigger bulk sales, potentially imposing a greater selling pressure on ETH.According to the findings, the daily sell volume for the first three days is expected to be 300,700 ETH, 0.254% of the circulating supply. This volume will gradually decrease to 43,000 ETH for the next six months and to 29,000 ETH for the following six months, each corresponding to 0.035% and 0.024% of the circulating supply, respectively.All in all, bulk selling of ETH is not likely, considering it will take about a year and five months for all the staked ETH to be withdrawn and that the amount of withdrawable ETH will stay relatively low for each period. Furthermore, since this analysis assumes an extreme case, the market will be able to effectively handle the volume over the six month to 18 month period.4 other reasonsIn addition, Korbit Research outlined four other aspects that limit the selling pressure on ETH.Firstly, there is some concern that the selling volume of ETH may increase due to unstaking resulting from the cessation of staking services at American crypto exchange Kraken. However, a decrease in the number of validators on the Ethereum network will raise the base reward. This may prompt those who unstaked ETH to stake them on other platforms, rather than selling them.Second, ETH locked up at liquidity staking protocols such as Lido Finance and Rocket Pool provide liquidity for representations of staked ETH. These platforms allow users to stake fewer than 32 ETH for rewards. According to a February Binance Research report, 57.7% of ETH stakers enjoy liquidity and rewards. Therefore, there may be a limited impetus to divest of staked ETH.Third, since only 41.1% of ETH stakers are seeing profits as of the time of writing the report, the remaining stakers would have to risk losses when withdrawing ETH. This suggests that those not yet seeing profits are more likely to keep ETH staked. Furthermore, Dune Analytics data shows that most of the ETH stakers with gains staked ETH when its price was relatively low, which indicates that they participated in staking in early days. Shivam Sharma, the author of the aforementioned Binance report, states that these ETH stakers are likely “some of the strongest Ethereum believers.”Lastly, despite the Shapella upgrade, ETH withdrawals at different staking pools may not be initiated immediately. This could limit the circulation of withdrawable ETH, which in turn would hinder the selling pressure on ETH.Macroeconomic factorsThe Korbit researchers concluded their paper with a note that the selling pressure on ETH will be more influenced by macroeconomic factors than technical factors. They added that a possible downturn in the overall economy and corrections in risky asset markets might lead investors to sell ETH.

Japan’s Aozora Bank Plans Digital Currency LaunchGMO Aozora Net Bank, a Japanese commercial bank and a member of a Japanese corporate consortium comprising over 100 members, has unveiled plans to introduce a blockchain-based digital currency known as DCJPY.Photo by David Edelstein on UnsplashDCJPYAccording to Reuters, the blockchain-based digital currency is scheduled for launch in July of the upcoming year. DCJPY will be a Japanese yen-based stablecoin, underpinned by deposits and harnessing blockchain technology to enable instantaneous and seamless transactions. Unlike conventional transfer methods that rely on a bank’s data system, DCJPY circumvents this process via a blockchain network, leading to a reduction in associated costs.Efficient inter-company paymentsThe primary objective of Aozora Bank’s venture is to streamline payments between businesses. The incorporation of blockchain technology offers a secure, transparent, and efficient transaction framework. By adopting this digital currency, companies can experience the advantages of swift settlements while concurrently mitigating the financial outlays tied to traditional banking systems.This consortium recognizes the vast potential of blockchain technology and is seeking to harness its inherent benefits to enhance diverse business operations. With the upcoming launch of DCJPY, the consortium will effectively be promoting the use of blockchain-based digital currencies within Japan and catalyzing innovation within the financial sector. The project has the potential to bring about heightened efficiency, cost reductions, and an overall enhancement in the realm of financial transactions.Banking heavyweightsThis move by Aozora aligns with the global surge in interest and adoption of blockchain technology. The bank operates as a prominent member of a broader consortium, which encompasses a multitude of Japanese corporations. The consortium includes major players in Japanese banking, including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG), Mizuho Financial Group, and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group. It has been meeting frequently to assess ways in which it can build a common settlement infrastructure for digital payments.MUFG is already deeply involved in blockchain-based innovation. The banking group has established its very own Progmat blockchain tokenization platform, which includes the Progmat Coin stablecoin platform.Last month, the bank announced a partnership with Binance which will endeavor to investigate the issuance of public blockchain stablecoins based on the Japanese yen. MUFG’s Progmat includes Mizuho as one of its clients on the blockchain platform.Stablecoin regulationThese recent announcements and Aozora Bank’s stablecoin plans follow the passage of a bill by Japan’s parliament earlier this year that restricts stablecoin issuance by non-banking institutions. The bill stipulates that only licensed banks, trust companies, and registered money transfer agents are permitted to issue stablecoins. Furthermore, it establishes a registration system for financial institutions planning to launch such digital assets, accompanied by anti-money laundering measures.A report published by Nikkei Asia earlier this year suggested that three Japanese banks, namely Shikoku Bank, Tokyo Kiraboshi, and Minna Bank, had all expressed the intention to issue stablecoins. In June, Japanese global information technology solutions company Fujitsu announced that it intended to launch a blockchain-based platform in conjunction with the Asian Development Bank.

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has outlined that it has established a community initiative relative to its recently launched Project Ensemble tokenization market development effort. 'Project Ensemble Architecture Community'In a press release on May 7, the Hong Kong regulator set out the establishment of the “Project Ensemble Architecture Community.” Project Ensemble was launched two months ago on March 7. At the time, the regulator described the project as “a new wholesale central bank digital currency (wCBDC) project to render support to the development of the tokenisation market in Hong Kong.” The HKMA is trying to create an environment in which it can “develop standards” for the emerging tokenization market, with particular emphasis on the use of a wholesale central bank digital currency (wCBDC). The Chinese autonomous territory’s central bank has launched the “Project Ensemble Architecture Community,” with a view towards supporting interoperability between a wholesale CBDC, tokenized money and tokenized assets. The HKMA has outlined the community's primary objective, stating it aims to provide recommendations on various topics, with initial emphasis on devising a mechanism to facilitate seamless interbank settlement of tokenized deposits through wCBDC for tokenized asset transactions.Photo by Jimmy Chan on PexelsPublic and private sector participantsFurthermore, the working group intends to support the design and execution of Project Ensemble. Notable participants in the "Architecture Community" include the HKMA itself, Hong Kong’s other financial regulator, the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC), the BIS Innovation Hub Hong Kong Centre, the CBDC Expert Group and seven private sector entities.  Among these are Bank of China (Hong Kong), Hang Seng Bank, HSBC, Standard Chartered Hong Kong, HashKey Group, Ant Digital Technologies and Microsoft Hong Kong. Hashkey Group owns one of two Hong Kong-regulated cryptocurrency exchanges, HashKey Exchange. It also runs a brokerage, asset manager and tokenization platform, amongst other entities. Ant was recently involved in a tokenized deposit trial with HSBC. Regulatory sandboxOne of the first matters on the agenda for the newly-formed Community is to make recommendations about using a wCBDC for interbank settlement of tokenized deposits. Following that, the project plans to work towards the design and implementation of the Project Ensemble Sandbox which will launch in the coming months. The HKMA has been actively testing its CBDC and commenced the second phase of the e-HKD pilot in March. This phase of the pilot program is slated to extend until mid-2025. The journey towards exploring CBDCs in Hong Kong dates back to 2017, with the authorities intensifying their focus on researching a potential e-HKD in 2021, spanning both wholesale and retail levels. With the participation of key stakeholders from both the public and private sectors, including leading financial institutions and technology firms, the initiative appears to be well-positioned to drive innovation and address the evolving needs of the financial industry in Hong Kong.