Mixed opinions on crypto as investment instruments revealed in Korean surveys

Upbit D Conference participants share insights on Web3 and blockchainBlockchain specialists from 29 countries gathered on Monday (local time) at Upbit D Conference (UDC) 2023 in Seoul to explore capital markets in the forthcoming Web3 era. This era is characterized by user-controlled, communal data management, a notable shift from the Web2 space where major tech corporations held dominant control over data.Organized by Dunamu, the operator of South Korea’s Upbit cryptocurrency exchange, the conference featured 39 experts, focusing on the transformative potential of blockchain technology in this new internet phase.Photo by Shubham Dhage on UnsplashAsset tokenization and investment opportunitiesAccording to a report by the Asia Business Daily, one of the key speakers at the conference, Wally Yu, a Solutions Architect at San Francisco-based Chainlink Labs, delved into how cross-chain solutions and asset tokenization could add to the financial industry. He explained that Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), designed to connect various blockchains, is only beginning to reveal its capabilities in integrating with traditional financial markets. Yu pointed out the growing interest from banks in tokenizing their conventional assets and transferring them to the blockchain. This move, he suggested, could lead to increased liquidity and open up new investment opportunities.Yu also compared the current DeFi market to traditional sectors like stock, real estate, and derivatives, noting DeFi’s relatively smaller scale. However, he underlined blockchain’s transparency as a key advantage over traditional markets, where transparency is often lacking. According to Yu, the adoption of blockchain by traditional financial firms could address longstanding issues more effectively.Looking ahead to the Web3 era, Yu envisioned a scenario where different tokens are interconnected, potentially bringing an estimated $900 trillion worth of assets onto the blockchain. This, he believes, would significantly enhance liquidity in the financial markets.From Web2 to Web3During the conference, Korean mobile network provider SK Telecom’s (SKT) Vice President, Oh Se-hyun, outlined the company’s forward-looking strategy to transition its 30 million subscribers from Web2 to Web3. She highlighted SKT’s search for high-value markets to expand its business scope, underscoring the company’s active efforts in constructing Web3 infrastructure. This strategic pivot aligns with their vision for the upcoming Web3 era.SKT, which established its Web3 division in 2017, initially engaged in developing a private mainnet. However, the company has since shifted its focus towards services aimed at boosting customer engagement, such as custody, web and app services. Oh emphasized the need for Web3 wallets to support a diverse range of assets and decentralized applications (dApps), but she stressed that ease of use is paramount. She views that these wallets will serve as gateways for customers entering the blockchain space.SKT has developed and is improving its own Web3 wallet, dubbed Wallet T. Oh shared her belief that the future of financial business models will pivot from traditional and big-tech banks to those based on public chains. In preparation for this shift, SKT is contemplating strategies to embrace blockchain-based Web3 services.Crypto regulationThe conference also touched on the potential integration of virtual assets within regulatory frameworks. There’s growing anticipation in the market for the approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, especially following the inclusion of asset manager BlackRock’s proposed spot bitcoin ETF in the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation’s (DTCC) clearing-house eligibility file.Emily Parker, Executive Director at CoinDesk, mentioned that a spot bitcoin ETF is on the horizon in the U.S. She anticipated that such a development would not only boost cryptocurrency prices but also positively impact the market for non-fungible tokens (NFTs). Echoing this sentiment, Oh Se-hyun from SKT predicted that the approval of a spot bitcoin ETF could unlock access to a $30 trillion market.SKT’s Oh also addressed the complexities surrounding the regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies. She acknowledged the challenge facing authorities in developing these regulations all at once, highlighting the gradual progress in this area. She cited the outcome of Ripple’s lawsuit in the U.S., which resulted in Ripple’s XRP tokens being classified differently for different investors: as a security for institutional investors but not for retail investors. Additionally, Oh pointed to the upcoming Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) in the European Union, slated for implementation in December 2024. She emphasized that the establishment of such regulatory guidelines brings clarity and reduces uncertainty, which can be reassuring for businesses operating in the crypto space.Providing further insights into this matter, Kim Gap-rae, a senior researcher at the Korea Capital Market Institute (KCMI), spoke about the importance of regulatory clarity in the cryptocurrency sector. He pointed out that it’s more crucial for governments to have clear regulations rather than focusing on the extent of regulation. Understanding new regulatory or legislative trends is essential for governments as they look to develop new infrastructures.According to Kim, a potential spot bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S. could prompt South Korea to consider a similar approval. However, he noted that Korea currently lacks a regulatory framework for Bitcoin custody, which could lead to a competitive environment among crypto companies in the country. Kim believes that a deeper understanding of custodian regulations will enable better adaptation to new types of ETFs and foster their growth in Korea.

Singapore Pledges $112M to Boost Fintech Solutions Including Web3Acknowledging the growing significance of collaboration with industry stakeholders in propelling advancements in emergent technologies such as Web3, Singapore’s central bank, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), has unveiled plans to allocate up to 150 million Singapore dollars (approximately $112 million) towards supporting a spectrum of financial technology solutions, with a special focus on Web3.Photo by Jason Leung on UnsplashDistributed over three yearsThis financial commitment, outlined in a press release published to the MAS website on Monday, will be distributed over a three-year period as part of the revamped Financial Sector Technology and Innovation Scheme (FSTI 3.0), designed to invigorate and fortify innovation by backing projects that leverage cutting-edge technologies.The renewed innovation scheme encompasses multiple avenues, including the Enhanced Centre of Excellence track, the Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) fintech track, and the Innovation Acceleration track — the last incorporating the realm of Web3.Emphasizing industry partnershipsMAS underlined the importance of forging partnerships with industry participants to bolster inventive fintech solutions originating from emerging technologies such as Web3.“MAS will conduct open calls for the use of innovative technologies in industry use cases. Grant funding will be provided to support actual trial and commercialization,” the central bank stated.In addition to these efforts, the initiative will maintain its commitment to encouraging adoption across domains like artificial intelligence, data analytics, and regulatory technology (RegTech). Furthermore, there will be an emphasis on fostering adoption within companies that are still digitally maturing and seeking to integrate RegTech solutions.Applicants across the various program tracks will be required to allocate resources toward nurturing talent. This strategy aims to augment Singapore’s fintech talent pool, ultimately contributing to the nation’s expertise in the sector.Ravi Menon, the Managing Director of MAS, underscored the substantial investment that the Financial Sector Development Fund (FSDF) has funneled into the FSTI program since its inception in 2015.Menon highlighted that this initiative’s overarching objective is to spur innovation and facilitate the seamless integration of novel technologies within the financial landscape. Over the years, the program has exemplified its commitment to driving transformation and pioneering the adoption of new technology across the financial sector.Nurturing Web3 innovationPotential Web3 and crypto hubs have come and gone, but Singapore has been vying to take its place as a center for Web3 innovation over a sustained period after it suffered some setbacks in 2022 related to a string of crypto business failures.While Binance had not been permitted to serve customers in the city-state, that meant that a disproportionate number of Singaporeans got caught up in the failure of the FTX crypto exchange. Alongside that regulatory failure, state investment giant Temasek had to write off a substantial investment in the company, while suffering reputational damage for not having detected the FTX fraud.The city-state has also been home to the failure of crypto lender Hodlnaut and crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC). Despite these setbacks, Singaporean authorities are continuing to work towards setting the proper stage to further develop Web3 innovation. In June, MAS proposed a comprehensive framework for the design of open networks relative to tokenized digital assets. This latest initiative will further Singapore’s ambition to grow its Web3 sector.

Despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, a South Korean analyst says investors’ trust in the market remains intact. He added that a U.S. crypto market structure bill, which Congress could approve as early as December, may give investors a chance to buy the dip ahead of a potential rebound. According to Etoday, Hong Sung-wook of NH Investment & Securities, one of South Korea’s major brokerage firms, noted that the crypto market has given back all gains made since mid-October, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $100,000. Most altcoins also saw steep declines, erasing the advances they posted following roughly $19 billion in liquidations around Oct. 10. In this environment, Solana’s year-to-date performance has turned negative despite the recent launch of spot Solana ETFs in Hong Kong and the U.S., while Ethereum has similarly surrendered its earlier gains.Photo by Michael Förtsch on UnsplashContext from past declinesHong framed the latest pullback in a historical context. Since 2018, Bitcoin has recorded a daily closing price drop of more than 20% on seven occasions. The latest decline of about 21% from peak to trough, he said, is broadly in line with previous downturns. He added that Bitcoin is now less likely to experience the extreme volatility seen in earlier years, citing growing institutional participation and its increasing use in so-called “debasement trades,” or hedges against fiat currency inflation. Building on this, Hong attributed the recent weakness primarily to the liquidation wave and the temporary hit to sentiment. However, he argued that confidence could recover faster than in past stress events, emphasizing that trust in the market has not been fundamentally damaged, unlike in prior downturns triggered by unexpected “black swan” shocks. Policy progress could lift market moodIn the near term, Hong pointed to progress on the U.S. crypto market structure bill as a potential catalyst. Further movement on the bill, he said, could help improve sentiment, similar to the supportive reaction seen around the passage of the stablecoin GENIUS Act. Other market observers have expressed a comparable view on Bitcoin’s outlook. BeInCrypto underscored three key factors supporting its stance in an analysis published on FXStreet. First, citing Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, it noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $100,000 level thanks to a balance between whale sell-offs and continued accumulation by other investors. Second, expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts projected for December are seen as another supportive element. Third, Bitcoin continues to trade above its 50-week moving average (WMA), a technical level that has underpinned the market since BTC moved above it in 2023; even when brief sell-offs have pushed prices below this line, buyers have stepped in to restore it by the weekly close. Warning signs of weakening momentumAt the same time, signals of moderating momentum have emerged. Another BeInCrypto report pointed to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score, an on-chain metric that gauges the asset’s upside potential, which fell to zero on Nov. 6, its lowest level since January 2022, just before the market entered its last major bearish phase. This more cautious tone is reflected in institutional forecasts as well. Crypto financial services firm Galaxy Digital last week lowered its year-end price target for Bitcoin from $185,000 to $120,000. The firm cited heavy whale sell-offs, shifting investor focus toward AI, gold, and stablecoins, and the weak performance of Bitcoin-focused digital asset treasury (DAT) companies as key reasons for its downgrade. Even so, Galaxy Digital said it continues to view Bitcoin as a structurally strong asset.From a longer-term perspective, some high-profile experts have also trimmed their expectations. According to Decrypt, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood told CNBC she now sees Bitcoin reaching about $1.2 million in a bullish scenario by 2030, down from her previous $1.5 million target. She attributed the revision mainly to the rapid growth of stablecoins, which are expanding faster than Bitcoin and emerging as a new payment method, a trend she suggested could dilute some of Bitcoin’s potential price momentum over time.