Hong Kong lawmaker suggests action on ETFs as asset managers explore potential

BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashFinite supply to drive price dynamicHayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”ETF potentialHayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”Geopolitical factorsGeopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.$1 million BTC by 2026While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.

Bithumb records declining performance in Q3 amid market challenges and interest rate hikesBithumb Korea, the operator of the South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb, reported an on-year decline in performance compared to last year, driven by deteriorating market conditions. According to data from the Korean Financial Supervisory Service on Tuesday (local time), the exchange recorded a net loss of KRW 10.6 billion (approximately $8.1 million) and operating losses of KRW 650 million in Q3. Its revenue amounted to KRW 32.4 billion, a 53% decrease from the same period last year.Photo by Алекс Арцибашев on UnsplashFalling figuresBithumb had recorded KRW 28.8 billion and KRW 32.6 billion in operating and net profits, respectively, in Q3 last year, but both of these figures turned into a deficit for the same period this year.This worsened performance can be attributed to weakened investor sentiment amid the U.S. Federal Reserve’s ongoing interest rate hikes and a decrease in trading volumes.However, just last month, these conditions have begun drastically improving as excitement mounts for the potential approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).Murky futureNevertheless, concerns about Bithumb’s profitability in Q4 are arising following the exchange’s zero trading fee policy that it implemented last month in a bid to regain its market share, especially because the primary source of revenue for crypto exchanges is trading fees. Bithumb had previously charged trading fees of between 0.04% and 0.25%.“We will do our best to enhance the competitiveness of our services to boost our market share,” Bithumb said. “At the same time, we will enhance the transparency of our operations through efforts such as our recent preparations for an initial public offering (IPO) and improvements in corporate governance.”The exchange’s upcoming IPO is part of efforts to be listed on Korea’s KOSDAQ stock exchange by 2025, which would make it the first virtual asset company to do so. It had previously considered preparing for an IPO in 2020 but suspended plans due to a lack of clear regulations for virtual assets. But with the upcoming Virtual Asset User Protection Bill set to take effect next July, Bithumb decided that the current regulatory landscape would be conducive to an IPO.Should it take effect, this IPO is also expected to pose a challenge to Upbit, which currently holds over 80% of the country’s market share. However, there is still a considerable amount of uncertainty shrouding this development, as financial authorities are maintaining a wary stance towards virtual assets.

Crypto.com, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, has indefinitely delayed its service launch in South Korea after the country's financial regulators conducted an on-site inspection on the exchange. The inspection came after the country’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) under the Financial Services Commission detected data that appeared to violate anti-money laundering (AML) compliance requirements from the documents submitted by Crypto.com, according to local media Segye Ilbo. This decision came just six days ahead of its planned launch, originally scheduled for April 29.  The exchange has secured a virtual asset service provider (VASP) license by acquiring the local trading platform called OkBit in June 2022. A VASP license allows a digital asset exchange to operate in Korea.  Photo by Leeloo The First on PexelMitigating ‘Kimchi Premium’ effect Crypto.com initially planned to launch a mobile app featuring cryptocurrency trading on April 29, targeting South Korean retail investors. The platform aimed to differentiate itself from other local competitors by offering crypto assets at reasonable prices, mitigating the so-called Kimchi Premium effect, as announced in a press conference on April 2. The Kimchi premium refers to relatively high crypto prices in the Korean market compared to other foreign markets, which is prevalent in Korea’s major licensed crypto exchanges. The effect often results in Korean investors buying crypto assets at higher prices than those on other global crypto exchanges such as Binance. This is likely where the concerns for AML violation come up, financial experts assume, as the platform’s strategy could facilitate arbitrage during operation.  Crypto.com remains committed to Korea launch In a statement sent to CoinDesk, a spokesperson of Crypto.com said, “Crypto.com maintains the highest Anti-money Laundering standards in the industry. We will postpone our launch and take this opportunity to make sure Korean regulators understand our thorough policies, procedures, systems and controls, which have been reviewed and approved by major jurisdictions around the world.”  The person also mentioned that South Korea is a difficult market for global crypto exchanges to enter, but still emphasized the company’s commitment to cooperating with local regulators.  “OkBit maintained approximately 900 customers at the point of acquisition by Crypto.com, and OkBit has never been cited for any AML infractions. Since the acquisition, existing OkBit customer access has been limited to withdrawals,” the spokesperson said.