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With the Chinese autonomous territory of Hong Kong having introduced its new Stablecoins Ordinance on August 1 and local taxi operators required to facilitate two forms of digital payment from April 1, 2026, a case is being made that this eventuality lends itself to an ideal test case for stablecoin payments.Photo by The Transport Enthusiast DC on UnsplashA perfect test caseIn an opinion piece published by Bloomberg on Aug. 3, columnist Andy Mukherjee asserted that Hong Kong taxis would be “a perfect stablecoin test case,” suggesting that the timing is ideal for stablecoins, given that a new licensing regime has come into effect via the city’s Stablecoins Ordinance.  In an interview, Franz Bergmueller, CEO of Switzerland-headquartered crypto bank AMINA Bank, said that “stablecoins for me are a killer use case.” On social media, AMINA Bank claimed that it would be “a major step in the right direction” if Hong Kong taxis start to accept stablecoin payments from customers. It emerged last December that the city’s taxi drivers would be required to install both electronic payment facilities and navigation systems, based on a filing made to Hong Kong’s Legislative Council. The filing outlined that while some taxi drivers currently offer electronic payment options, many insist on cash payment. The city’s Transport and Logistics Bureau suggested that “drivers offer at least two electronic payment options, including both QR code and non-QR code methods.” Stablecoin payments overseasThere has been some limited use of stablecoins as a payment method by taxi services in places with unstable currencies such as Argentina and Venezuela. The world’s most popular ride-hailing service, Uber, is understood to be studying the feasibility of offering stablecoin-based payments. In 2024, Asian rival Grab commenced accepting crypto, including the USDT and USDC stablecoins, as a means of payment for ride-sharing and food delivery services in Singapore. Last month, it extended that facility to its platform users in the Philippines.In June it emerged that Tawasul Transport, a taxi service in Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), had partnered with Al Maryah Community Bank (Mbank) and Abu Dhabi’s Department of Municipalities and Transport to launch a pilot program implicating the use of AE Coin, a UAE dirham-pegged stablecoin, as a means of payment. Bloomberg’s Mukherjee suggests that for entities now applying for stablecoin licensing, this new digital payment requirement for Hong Kong’s taxi services could provide an immediate segue to onboard users and make a new stablecoin product popular. Mukherjee places specific emphasis in this regard on what actions Ant Group may take. It emerged recently that Ant Group, an affiliate of the Alibaba Group, intends to apply for stablecoin licensing across Asian markets, including Hong Kong. The company is already a leader in Asia in digital payments through Alipay, which serves 1.3 billion users.Although Ant Group is based in mainland China, Hong Kong would offer the company the opportunity to test the establishment of a stablecoin for retail payments.

In an effort to safeguard crypto investors from falling prey to misleading advertisements, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Thailand has intensified its scrutiny of promotional campaigns within the crypto sphere.  Broker agent eventsOn April 29, the Bangkok Post reported that the SEC has raised concerns regarding the potential violation of local regulations through introducing broker agent (IBA) events. These events, the SEC clarified, may breach regulations as IBAs are only permitted to promote digital token services to deter speculation on cryptocurrencies, categorized as high-risk assets. IBAs, acting as local conduits for partner digital asset exchanges, typically earn commissions by onboarding clients within a specific market. Such practices are common for exchanges or brokers that don't directly operate in certain markets. Deputy Secretary-General Anek Yooyuen conveyed the commission's unease over crypto exchanges offering preferential treatment to onboard users. Yooyuen stated: "When operators organise sales promotions by offering rewards to entice people to use the service, this could encourage use of the service without considering the investment risks. This is especially the case for cryptocurrencies.”Photo by Than Diep on UnsplashWarning of consequencesHe cautioned that failure to adhere to these guidelines would result in “punishment according to the law.” While cryptocurrency exchanges are legal in Thailand, they must secure local approval. Notably, last month, Thailand even greenlit asset management firms to launch private funds, offering Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) exclusively to institutional and ultra-high-net-worth investors. Nonetheless, the country recently prohibited the sale of cryptocurrency lending products and mandated that exchanges prominently display risk warning messages. International regulatory trendThis move by the Thai SEC mirrors actions taken by regulators in other major crypto markets. For instance, the United Kingdom's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) issued 450 alerts for illegal crypto ads in 2023 alone. Similarly, Spain’s principal securities market regulator, the National Stock Market Commission, denounced fraudulent crypto asset promotions in November 2023, emphasizing companies’ obligations to adhere to local laws. Thai advertising guidelines mandate businesses and advertisers to substantiate the “facts” presented in their campaigns, failing which could lead to legal repercussions. A recent incident provides a case in point. Hackers hijacked advertisements on Etherscan, redirecting users to phishing sites aimed at draining crypto wallets. Scam Sniffer, a blockchain investigation firm, attributed the widespread phishing campaign to the inadequate oversight by advertisement aggregators. The company made the following statement on the matter: “Etherscan aggregates ads from platforms like Coinzilla and Persona, where insufficient filtering could lead to exposure to phishing attempts.” The wallet drainer scam involves enticing users to counterfeit websites and coercing them to link their crypto wallets, enabling scammers to siphon funds into their own wallets without user authentication or consent. This is not the first time that the authorities in Thailand have homed in on crypto-related advertising. In August 2023, the southeast Asian country’s Ministry of Digital Economy and Society (MDES) outlined that it had engaged with social media firm Meta, owner of Facebook, informing it that its response to the proliferation of fraudulent platform ads relative to crypto had been inadequate. 

In a recent report, Singaporean digital asset financial services firm Matrixport has made a bold forecast regarding the future of bitcoin prices and the potential rejection of spot bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States.Photo by André François McKenzie on UnsplashMinority viewWhile most ETF and crypto industry analysts in recent weeks have been suggesting a greater than 90% chance of the imminent approval of a spot bitcoin ETF coming from the SEC, Matrixport has had its say, speculating that the regulator will once again reject all such applications. In a note published to its website on Wednesday, the firm stated:”The current five-person voting Commissioners leadership critical for the ETF approval of the SEC is dominated by Democrats. SEC Chair Gensler is not embracing crypto in the U.S., and it might even be a very long shot to expect that he would vote to approve bitcoin spot ETFs.” The report emphasizes the dominant influence of Democratic leadership within the SEC, particularly Chairman Gary Gensler's cautious approach to crypto regulation. The Democrat-led administration in the United States has been decidedly anti-crypto in its policies throughout the ongoing term of U.S. President Joe Biden. Matrixport also suggests a potential delay in ETF approvals until Q2 2024, dampening hopes of an imminent market boost. Potential bitcoin price slumpShould the company be right in that speculation, it extrapolates that this turn of events will potentially lead to a substantial decline in bitcoin's value, with the bitcoin unit price possibly dropping to as low as $36,000. This revelation has sent shock waves through the market, prompting Matrixport to advise investors to take protective measures. The recommended strategies include purchasing put options or engaging in direct shorting of bitcoin to mitigate potential losses. With an ominous Jan. 5, 2024 deadline looming, traders could decide to hedge their long exposure by purchasing $40,000 strike put options expiring at the end of January or opting for outright short positions through options. Matrixport's report challenges the previously optimistic expectations surrounding bitcoin's future, highlighting the SEC's likely rejection of spot ETFs as a significant factor. Despite the platform's earlier bullish stance, it now expresses skepticism about the SEC's willingness to embrace cryptocurrencies. The firm contends that the current influx of funds into crypto, driven by expectations of ETF approval, could result in significant liquidations if the SEC denies the proposals. The report estimates that about $10 billion of the $14 billion additional investments might be linked to optimistic ETF prospects. Notably, Matrixport foresees a rapid 20% decline in bitcoin's price, reverting to a range of around $36,000 to $38,000 should the SEC reject the ETFs. Positive long-term outlookDespite the potential setback with the SEC, Matrixport maintains a positive long-term outlook for bitcoin, expecting the BTC price to end 2024 above the $42,000 mark, where it started the year. The analysis also considers historical trends in U.S. election years and bitcoin mining cycles for the potential rally. At the time of writing, the bitcoin unit price is down 4.75% over the course of the past 24 hours, now standing at $42,838. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming SEC decision and may well be heeding Matrixport's advice to navigate potential market volatility.