DPK’s landslide win in general election stokes anticipation of spot Bitcoin ETFs approval in Korea

Raon Whitehat Enables College Students to Hone Skills Through MetaverseRaon Whitehat, a blockchain-based service provider of South Korean tech security firm RaonSecure, is set to launch Raon Metademy, a cutting-edge metaverse-powered professional training platform, for universities.Inviting beta testersToday, Raon Whitehat announced the successful completion of the beta version of Raon Metademy, developed in collaboration with edtech company Globepoint. The company is now inviting beta testers from university departments and educational institutions to participate.Interested universities can apply on the Raon Metademy website, with beta testing planned until the end of August. During this period, Raon Whitehat will gather valuable feedback to further enhance the platform. The official launch is scheduled for September 1 to support university classes.Effective remote practicesRaon Metademy boasts a metaverse-based training approach, offering users access to a virtual campus where they can attend lectures and practice essential skills. The platform’s highly immersive user experience allows students to create personalized avatars, explore the campus, access announcements, have a look at training courses, and utilize the training room. With vivid 3D visuals and realistic video-based exercises, students can effectively practice their skills from remote locations.Additionally, users can set up private labs to address their weaknesses, engage in discussions, and build a community similar to a physical campus environment. Among the confirmed beta testers are Chung-Ang University and Seoul Women’s University, and the application window for other institutions will remain open until mid-August. The initial beta service will focus on nursing skills, physical therapy, and security practices, with plans to expand the content to include caregiving practices and more.Photo by Nhia Moua on UnsplashDigital credentials and NFTsRaon Metademy aims to provide certificates of completion and awards of excellence in the form of digital badges, simplifying the process of submitting credentials to universities and other organizations. The platform will also introduce non-fungible tokens (NFTs) to benefit content providers, facilitating secure trading of educational materials among students.Leveraging RaonSecure’s cutting-edge technologies, including blockchain and NFTs, Raon Metademy aims to become a versatile platform open to content providers, educational institutions, and individuals alike. This will enable students to access a diverse range of captivating lessons from anywhere and give lecturers the ability to earn income by delivering high-quality hands-on training with minimal equipment and material costs.

Over the course of the past two weeks, the unit price of Ethereum (ETH) has surged 32%, with a report from a Singapore-based crypto financial services firm asserting that the Asian market has had a large part to play in that increase. Taking to X on July 16, Matrixport, a crypto financial services platform, provided its daily analysis in which it suggested that “Ethereum’s recent outperformance appears to be heavily influenced by Asia.”Photo by DrawKit Illustrations on UnsplashAsian market influenceThe company included a graph in which it had plotted Ethereum’s recent performance during Asian trading hours, asserting that as much as 17% of the uptick in the Ether unit price can be accounted for by the actions of market participants within the Asian market. It added:"The influence of the Asian market in the pricing of crypto assets is continuing to rise, whether in terms of volatility or trading momentum.” ETH ETFs in Hong KongSpot ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in Hong Kong in April 2024. Hong Kong ETH ETF volumes have risen substantially in July, with significant inflows being recorded related to both retail and institutional investors.  In the past, many commentators have suggested that the addition of staking would be an attractive prospect for institutional investors who like the idea of accumulating an ongoing yield. With that, Asian investors may be enticed to delve further into Ethereum positions going forward, given that ETF issuers are trying to add that component to their offerings. Huaxia Fund, a subsidiary of China Asset Management (ChinaAMC), is preparing to launch staking as part of its ETH ETF. Another potential driver for ETH in Asia in the future lies with the ongoing enablement of trading via established institutions. Earlier this week, China Merchants Bank’s brokerage arm received a virtual asset license in Hong Kong to trade crypto assets. It’s the first mainland China-affiliated brokerage to be awarded such a license, with licensing enabling it to offer trading services related to assets like Ether. Global assetWhile Asia is playing a role in ETH’s recent move upwards, the asset is traded globally and with that, factors further afield are also playing a role. Tom Lee, founder of American financial research firm Fundstrat, pointed out on X that ETH had been range-bound since 2021. However, he believes that the rise of stablecoins, which by and large run on Ethereum, together with ongoing growth in the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs), is driving demand for the digital asset. While Bitcoin treasury companies have played a significant part in driving Bitcoin in recent months, Ethereum is starting to see similar activity. Lee made the point that Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) “set the standard for Treasuries,” but that now BitMine “wants to be the Microstrategy of Ethereum.” The crypto mining and treasury firm confirmed on July 17 that it now holds $1 billion worth of Ethereum. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer (CIO) at Hong Kong family office, Maelstrom, said that it was “ETH szn” and that the Maelstrom Fund is buying the digital asset. Tom Dunleavy, head of venture at Varys Capital, asserts that ETH will hit a unit price of $10,000 by the end of 2026.

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three ScenariosRecently, concerns over a potential US default have heightened due to the ongoing disagreement between Republicans and Democrats in the US Congress regarding the necessity of increasing the debt ceiling. Democrats, along with the Biden administration, advocate for authorizing additional debt, while Republicans propose spending cuts.Considering the historical patterns observed in the US and the inherently political nature of this matter, it is improbable that the uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling raise will endure for an extended period. In the past, when faced with a similar situation in 2011, the debt ceiling was ultimately approved despite significant political divisions. Particularly with upcoming elections next year and escalating concerns of an economic downturn, it is likely that a resolution to the debt ceiling issue will be reached soon.In light of these circumstances, the economic research institute at one of South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Bithumb released a report that outlines three distinct scenarios depicting the potential unfolding of the debt ceiling issue in the US. Additionally, it has offered insights into the potential implications for Bitcoin under each scenario.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashBipartisan agreement to increase the debt ceilingIn the scenario where the debt ceiling is promptly raised as a result of a significant bipartisan agreement, the US is anticipated to adopt an expansionary fiscal policy by issuing government bonds to prevent a default. If a debt ceiling deal is reached, it is projected that short-term bond issuance will reach a net amount of $1.4 trillion by the end of the year. There is also a growing consensus that medium- and long-term bond issuance may commence in the third quarter. Additionally, the possibility of interest rate cuts as early as the second half of this year entered the equation. In the long term, this could potentially lead to a depreciation of the dollar as market liquidity increases, thereby weakening the currency. It is worth noting that historically, the value of Bitcoin tended to go up when market liquidity rises.Debt ceiling disagreement and delayed negotiationsAnother scenario entails the failure of the two parties to reach an agreement and a subsequent delay in approving a raise to the debt ceiling. Should the debt ceiling not be raised in a timely manner, the US would potentially encounter an unparalleled default on its debt obligations. This default could trigger a severe credit crunch, resulting from international credit downgrades and a weakened global standing for the US. Such circumstances would further escalate the risk of an economic crisis.As the negotiations on the debt limit continue to be delayed, there will be a prolonged period of uncertainty in both Treasury issuance and secondary markets. This uncertainty poses risks to money market funds (MMFs) that hold a significant portion of short-term Treasuries, potentially resulting in losses. Consequently, there could be a shift towards reverse repo (RRP) transactions as investors seek alternative avenues. In fact, Treasury liquidity has recently exhibited signs of deterioration, with MMFs and RRPs garnering considerable attention in the market.Heightened concerns regarding short-term Treasuries could lead to a higher volume of reverse repo trades compared to repo trades. Repo transactions use Treasuries as collateral, whereas reverse repo transactions involve depositing funds with the Fed or lending money to the Fed in exchange for collateral, which often includes Treasuries, thereby earning interest. In such a scenario, market liquidity could become trapped in the Fed, potentially rekindling risks within the banking system.Given their sensitivity to liquidity conditions, crypto markets are anticipated to experience a temporary decline. However, Bitcoin has exhibited a historical pattern of appreciating in value as an alternative to the US banking system, especially during instances of small and medium-sized bank failures. In the event of prolonged negotiations and an escalating risk of a US default, the demand for safe-haven assets like Bitcoin might surge. As a result, Bitcoin could gain favorability as investors seek refuge in alternative assets amidst uncertain market conditions.Linking debt ceiling increase to spending reductionThe last scenario involves a conditional agreement accompanied by measures aimed at reducing the deficit, as proposed by Republicans. Given the longstanding concerns surrounding excessive US deficits, any agreement to raise the debt ceiling would likely be contingent upon fiscal consolidation and spending cuts. Notably, as of March 31, 2023, the US federal deficit is approximately 8% of GDP, a figure comparable to the 8.3% average observed in 2011 when the possibility of a US default reached its peak.While fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure fiscal sustainability, unless the US significantly increases tax revenues, an increase in the debt ceiling may be negotiated at the expense of significant cuts to the national budget. In such a case, the US economy would inevitably experience the adverse effects of reduced government spending.The Republican party has put forth a demand of $4.8 trillion in deficit reduction over the next ten years as a condition for raising the debt ceiling. This figure translates to an average of $480 billion per year or approximately 1.8% of the current year’s GDP (as of May). However, it is important to note that in the medium to long term, reductions in government spending without complementary expansionary monetary policies have the potential to accelerate GDP decline. If Congress agrees to cuts in government spending, it could increase the probability of the Fed swiftly reversing its tightening policy. Unless the Fed halts its tightening measures, the likelihood of a US recession may become more pronounced.If the Fed decides to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated in response to the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Bitcoin, which is known to be more responsive to long-term monetary policy, might be able to overcome the short-term downturn and experience an upward trend.The authors contend that at present, market attention is primarily directed towards the matter of raising the debt ceiling, taking into account the potential risks of a US default and the possibility of a bond rating downgrade. However, they believe it is unlikely that US politicians will make radical decisions in the run-up to next year’s presidential election.While the issue of raising the debt ceiling will have a short-term impact, the report argues that the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price in the medium to long term will be the Fed’s monetary policy and the occurrence of Bitcoin’s halving event.It is important to note that there is a time lag between the end of the Fed’s tightening measures and the halving of Bitcoin. In the short term, the price trajectory of Bitcoin will likely be influenced by factors such as the potential failure of additional small and medium-sized US banks (which is concerning given recent outflows of US bank deposits) and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the delay in raising the debt ceiling. These factors will play a greater role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term performance.