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Myanmar Government in Exile Backs Crypto Bank LaunchMyanmar is on the cusp of a financial revolution as the National Unity Government (NUG), the country’s exiled shadow government, introduces the Spring Development Bank (SDB), a crypto-based financial institution.With a mission to bestow long-awaited financial freedom and digitized sophistication upon the nation’s citizens, the SDB aspires to reshape Myanmar’s financial landscape.Built on PolygonThe bank derives its name from the Spring Revolution, an opposition movement that bravely challenges the ruling military junta. The goal of the SDB is to bring “freedom and democracy to the 55 million citizens of Myanmar,” a lofty ambition that reflects the NUG’s determination to empower its people through innovative means.Constructed on the Polygon Network, the SDB aims to revolutionize domestic and international payments, making them faster and more efficient. But the bank’s vision extends beyond just payments. Following a recent press conference, bank officials revealed plans to offer a diverse range of financial products, including fixed deposits, currency exchange services, cross-country remittances, and even digital gold savings options.Reaching the Burmese diasporaNotably, the SDB’s reach extends beyond Myanmar’s borders to the two-million-strong Burmese diaspora residing abroad. This diaspora frequently sends money back to their homeland, but the current remittance fees can soar as high as 30%. The bank intends to alleviate this burden, reducing the costs associated with sending money back to Myanmar.The Spring Development Bank operates under the licensing and regulation of the Interim Central Bank of Myanmar, which is under the control of the NUG. U Calvin, the bank’s CEO, emphasized that this launch marks the initial step towards restoring financial independence to Myanmar.The bank’s emergence comes amid Myanmar’s complex relationship with cryptocurrencies. While there is no specific legislation addressing cryptocurrencies, the Central Bank of Myanmar issued a ban on them in 2020, and the military junta later proposed a cybersecurity law that criminalized their usage in January 2022.Photo by Dan Gold on UnsplashJuly soft launchA soft launch of the SDB is scheduled for July 22, with 1,000 private beta users and 100 relationship managers. The bank expects to achieve a full launch in late August, with the goal of attracting 100,000 active users within the first six months of operation.Despite these regulatory challenges, Myanmar’s people have turned to cryptocurrencies as an escape from their dire financial situation. Since the February 2021 coup, the country’s economy has suffered significantly, with the World Bank estimating an alarming 18% annual contraction. Fading trust in the traditional banking system, controlled by the military, has further crippled the financial market.The Myanmar kyat (MMK) plummeted to an all-time low of 2,200 against the US dollar (USD) in September 2021, down from 1,330 in February 2020 (currently 1 USD = 2,100 MMK).The SDB’s arrival signals a glimmer of hope amidst these trying times, offering a beacon of financial opportunity for the citizens of Myanmar. With the support of the NUG, the bank is looking to take an innovative approach to better serve Burmese citizens, both at home and abroad.

Coincheck, a subsidiary of Monex Group, a Tokyo-based global financial services firm, has gained U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approval to become the first Japanese crypto exchange to list on the Nasdaq, an American stock exchange.Photo by Denys Nevozhai on UnsplashSPAC mergerThe approval by the U.S. regulator was filed on Nov. 13. The listing has been enabled due to the company’s decision to enter into a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), namely Thunder Bridge Capital Partners (TBCP).  A SPAC raises money through an initial public offering (IPO) to either acquire or merge with an existing company. Opting for a SPAC means that Coincheck can forego a lot of the time and expense that would be necessary if it attempted to effect an IPO on its own. Parent company Monex Group published a statement outlining that Coincheck CEO Yuko Seimei had “been diligently preparing for listing its common stock on the Nasdaq Global Market (“Nasdaq”) through a previously announced business combination with Thunder Bridge Capital Partners.” Possible Nasdaq listing on Dec. 10 In a press release issued by TBCP, the company claimed that the proposed merger is anticipated to close on or about Dec. 10, 2024. That eventuality is subject to stockholder approval, Nasdaq approval and specific closing conditions. Consequently, Coincheck’s Nasdaq listing could potentially happen as early as Dec. 10. TBCP is holding a shareholder vote on the merger on Dec. 5. If all conditions are satisfied to pave the way for listing, the company’s stock will be listed using CNCK as the Nasdaq stock ticker. Once the merger and Nasdaq listing have been accomplished, Coincheck will still remain a subsidiary of Monex Group. The merged business will gain access to $237 million, held in trust by TBCP, with Monex retaining an 82% stake in the company. Furthermore, Thunder Bridge CEO Gary Simanson will lead the new company. The $1.25 billion merger had been in the works since 2022, having faced multiple delays on the path towards merger completion and Nasdaq listing. Coincheck finally filed with the SEC to merge back in May. Parent company Monex has other interests in the digital asset sector beyond its involvement with Coincheck. Last December the company acquired a majority stake in 3iQ Digital Holdings, a Canadian crypto asset management company.Monex has just launched a new brand, Monex Web3, comprising of Monex’s Web3 business portfolio. It also offers a Web3 consulting business, using its local know-how to guide Web3 startups in entering the Japanese market. Coincheck has also engaged in partnerships to assist other firms in gaining access to the Japanese market. Earlier this year the leading Japanese crypto exchange partnered with USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin issuer Circle, in an effort to expand USDC access within the local market. In January 2018 the exchange suffered what was at the time the world’s largest ever digital asset theft, losing $534 million in virtual assets in a hack of the platform.

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market.