Japan to implement crypto insider trading restrictions

Key appointment sees Turkey’s central bank enhance crypto expertiseTurkey’s President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has taken a step in integrating blockchain and cryptocurrency expertise into the nation’s monetary policy by appointing Professor Fatma Ozkul to the central bank’s rate-setting committee.Photo by Engin Yapici on UnsplashIncorporating digital financial knowledgeThis decision, which became effective on Saturday, marks a significant move towards incorporating digital financial knowledge within the economic framework of Turkey.As part of Turkey’s economic strategy, President Erdogan has been restructuring the economic management team since his victory in the May general election. This reshuffling included the appointment of ex-Goldman Sachs banker Hafize Gaye Erkan as the central bank’s governor in June.That appointment led to a series of policy rate increases, totaling 3,400 basis points, bringing the rate to 42.5%. Further changes in the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) occurred in July, reinforcing the trajectory of monetary tightening.Crypto credentialsProfessor Fatma Ozkul, a lecturer at Istanbul’s Marmara University, joins the MPC with a primary focus on accounting, finance and auditing. Notably, she brings expertise in blockchain technology and crypto assets, having conducted courses on these subjects. Her recent work has delved into the implications of blockchain and crypto assets on finance, culminating in the publication of a book on crypto asset accounting in 2022.While Ozkul’s appointment may not immediately alter the current monetary policy direction, it reflects an understanding of the need to incorporate digital financial tools when formulating economic and monetary policy. Her extensive knowledge in digital finance is expected to contribute significantly to the process of setting benchmark interest rates, a critical instrument in controlling inflation within Turkey.President Erdogan’s emphasis on digital banking aligns with Turkey’s proactive steps in this direction. The central bank introduced a digital Turkish lira collaboration platform in 2021 and successfully tested digital lira transactions in late 2022. Additionally, the government is anticipated to submit a draft law regulating crypto assets in the coming year.Crypto adoptionThe political and economic climate in Turkey has shown a growing interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin. Chainalysis, a blockchain analytics company, reports that Turkey recorded nearly $170 billion worth of cryptocurrency transactions between July 2022 and June 2023, ranking fourth globally in terms of raw transaction volumes.A report by KuCoin earlier this year identified a noteworthy increase in the overall number of crypto investors in Turkey over the course of the past 18 months. That growth in adoption was found to be youth-driven. The importance of the Turkish market within the crypto sector is further evidenced by the recent revelation that the Turkish Lira is the most dominant fiat trading pair on leading global crypto exchange Binance.In response to this surge, the Turkish government has been working on cryptocurrency regulations, focusing on licensing and taxes. This regulatory move aims to remove Turkey’s name from the Financial Action Task Force’s “gray list” and align the country with global financial norms.As Professor Ozkul assumes her role, her expertise and input may well play a pivotal part in shaping Turkey’s evolving position and approach where digital assets, blockchain and cryptocurrencies are concerned.

Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry announced on Friday that it has approved a revision to the Industrial Competitiveness Enhancement Act, with the aim of broadening strategic investment opportunities. According to a local report from crypto publication Coinpost, this move would open avenues for venture capital (VC) firms to invest in projects exclusively issuing cryptocurrencies. Pending parliamentary deliberationWith cabinet approval secured, the revised bill will now undergo introduction and deliberation in the current session of the Diet, Japan's parliament. If passed, the amendment could pave the way for VC funding of Web3 startups in exchange for crypto assets. The Ministry highlighted that the amendment aligns with objectives to foster new businesses and industrial investment, with a particular focus on empowering Japan's economy through support for medium-sized companies and startups. Reports of Japan's intention to ease regulations for VC firms investing in crypto startups first emerged in September.Photo by Manuel Cosentino on UnsplashStablecoin frameworkJapan has further work to do to implement a comprehensive overall framework for digital assets. A move by the Japanese Financial Services Agency (FSA) earlier this month to implement measures designed to guard against unlawful crypto transfers is a case in point. The measure doesn’t appear to account for knock-on effects on the peer-to-peer (P2P) transactions market. However, its stance on crypto regulation is best characterized by efforts to establish a robust legal framework for stablecoins and digital assets. The nation has positioned itself as a global leader in stablecoin regulation, signaling plans to embrace Web3 technologies while maintaining stringent measures to protect users. Japan's stablecoin regulations, while providing clarity, present challenges for issuers, especially regarding profitability in a low-interest rate environment. Compliance with requirements such as maintaining 100% of assets within Japan's trust accounts poses operational hurdles for yen-based stablecoins. Recent developments indicate industry players' efforts to navigate regulatory requirements. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Japan's premier banking conglomerate, has engaged with stablecoin issuers to explore leveraging its blockchain platform. Web3 hope amid economic difficultiesJapan’s economy has seen better days. Last week, the bitcoin-yen trading pair saw bitcoin reach a record high valuation against the yen. New technologies like Web3 are seen as a potential mechanism for the East Asian country to improve its economic performance. In July of last year, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida emphasized the country’s commitment to nurturing the Web3 sector within Japan. Last year, Yudai Suzuki, the founder of a Tokyo-based Web3 incubator, suggested that the country could rediscover its past prowess at the forefront of innovation and technology by embracing blockchain and Web3. Japan's regulatory approach appears to be shifting to accommodate such sectoral growth and development. Last July, the Japan Blockchain Association (JBA) called on the government to address an issue within the Japanese tax code that was hampering the industry. That tax reform was subsequently implemented in December. This latest initiative, too, appears to underscore Japan's commitment to fostering innovation and economic growth through enabling further investment into emerging Web3 enterprises. 

Matrixport’s Market Sentiment Index Points Towards Bullish MomentumMatrixport, the Singapore-headquartered digital asset financial services provider, has once again showcased its Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index in forecasting unit price trends relative to Bitcoin. The company has repeatedly pointed to trends indicated by the proprietary index, with its current signals on this occasion pointing towards a potential resurgence of bullish sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC).Potential price resurgenceRecent data from Matrixport’s index demonstrates a notable shift from 30% to 60%, a significant rebound following July’s sharp decline from above 90%. This rebound has caught the attention of Markus Thielen, who serves as the Head of Research and Strategy at Matrixport. Thielen conveyed his thoughts on the current indications provided by the Index in a recent note to clients.Thielen noted that the index appears to have reached its bottom, as the daily signal indicates an impending upward push. This tactical bullishness, following a four-week period of consolidation, raises the possibility of Bitcoin prices resuming their upward trajectory.Historical data comparisonDrawing upon historical patterns, the index’s peaks and troughs, along with its 21-day simple moving average (SMA), have consistently aligned with shifts between bullish and bearish trends in Bitcoin’s value. Currently, the 21-day SMA shows signs of bottoming out, which further bolsters the argument for an upcoming resurgence of positive volatility in the Bitcoin market.Gauging sentimentAt its core, the Greed & Fear Index serves as a gauge for investor sentiment within the cryptocurrency realm. When readings exceed 90%, they signify a state of greed or unwarranted optimism, whereas readings below 10% denote extreme fear or pessimism. These metrics hold a certain significance as they often coincide with market peaks marked by excessive optimism and bottoms marked by intense fear.For the past several weeks, Bitcoin’s price movement has been subdued, oscillating within the range of $28,000 to $30,000. This stagnation has coincided with broader market volatility and anticipations of forthcoming interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the early months of the upcoming year.Analysts are pinpointing consideration by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) as a pivotal catalyst for future price fluctuations given the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, has gotten involved. In a recent interview with Forbes, contributor Sam Lyman stated: “A lot of bitcoin ETFs have been filed in the last couple years — but none from an asset manager as high-profile and well connected as BlackRock.”Not an exact scienceMatrixport’s Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index stands as one individual tool which can be utilized in order to arrive at a forecast relative to Bitcoin pricing. Price forecasting is far from an exact science and while it is encouraging that the Index is pointing towards a potential bullish resurgence in Bitcoin’s price movement, market participants will need to remain mindful that markets by their very nature are unpredictable, particularly so when it comes to a nascent asset such as Bitcoin.As the market watches the SEC’s deliberations relative to a Bitcoin ETF closely, the time ahead is likely to hold significant developments that could shape the future trajectory of Bitcoin’s value.