Top

Bitcoin pullback tests sentiment as analysts revisit long-term targets

Markets·November 10, 2025, 2:55 AM

Despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, a South Korean analyst says investors’ trust in the market remains intact. He added that a U.S. crypto market structure bill, which Congress could approve as early as December, may give investors a chance to buy the dip ahead of a potential rebound.

 

According to Etoday, Hong Sung-wook of NH Investment & Securities, one of South Korea’s major brokerage firms, noted that the crypto market has given back all gains made since mid-October, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $100,000. Most altcoins also saw steep declines, erasing the advances they posted following roughly $19 billion in liquidations around Oct. 10. In this environment, Solana’s year-to-date performance has turned negative despite the recent launch of spot Solana ETFs in Hong Kong and the U.S., while Ethereum has similarly surrendered its earlier gains.

https://asset.coinness.com/en/news/aa07dc21add598231703ef8dc21eefa2.webp
Photo by Michael Förtsch on Unsplash

Context from past declines

Hong framed the latest pullback in a historical context. Since 2018, Bitcoin has recorded a daily closing price drop of more than 20% on seven occasions. The latest decline of about 21% from peak to trough, he said, is broadly in line with previous downturns. He added that Bitcoin is now less likely to experience the extreme volatility seen in earlier years, citing growing institutional participation and its increasing use in so-called “debasement trades,” or hedges against fiat currency inflation.

 

Building on this, Hong attributed the recent weakness primarily to the liquidation wave and the temporary hit to sentiment. However, he argued that confidence could recover faster than in past stress events, emphasizing that trust in the market has not been fundamentally damaged, unlike in prior downturns triggered by unexpected “black swan” shocks.

 

Policy progress could lift market mood

In the near term, Hong pointed to progress on the U.S. crypto market structure bill as a potential catalyst. Further movement on the bill, he said, could help improve sentiment, similar to the supportive reaction seen around the passage of the stablecoin GENIUS Act.

 

Other market observers have expressed a comparable view on Bitcoin’s outlook. BeInCrypto underscored three key factors supporting its stance in an analysis published on FXStreet. First, citing Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, it noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $100,000 level thanks to a balance between whale sell-offs and continued accumulation by other investors. Second, expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts projected for December are seen as another supportive element. Third, Bitcoin continues to trade above its 50-week moving average (WMA), a technical level that has underpinned the market since BTC moved above it in 2023; even when brief sell-offs have pushed prices below this line, buyers have stepped in to restore it by the weekly close.

 

Warning signs of weakening momentum

At the same time, signals of moderating momentum have emerged. Another BeInCrypto report pointed to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score, an on-chain metric that gauges the asset’s upside potential, which fell to zero on Nov. 6, its lowest level since January 2022, just before the market entered its last major bearish phase.

 

This more cautious tone is reflected in institutional forecasts as well. Crypto financial services firm Galaxy Digital last week lowered its year-end price target for Bitcoin from $185,000 to $120,000. The firm cited heavy whale sell-offs, shifting investor focus toward AI, gold, and stablecoins, and the weak performance of Bitcoin-focused digital asset treasury (DAT) companies as key reasons for its downgrade. Even so, Galaxy Digital said it continues to view Bitcoin as a structurally strong asset.


From a longer-term perspective, some high-profile experts have also trimmed their expectations. According to Decrypt, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood told CNBC she now sees Bitcoin reaching about $1.2 million in a bullish scenario by 2030, down from her previous $1.5 million target. She attributed the revision mainly to the rapid growth of stablecoins, which are expanding faster than Bitcoin and emerging as a new payment method, a trend she suggested could dilute some of Bitcoin’s potential price momentum over time.

More to Read
View All
Policy & Regulation·

Oct 31, 2023

Terraform Labs Co-Founder Daniel Shin Denies Wrongdoing in LUNA Collapse

Terraform Labs Co-Founder Daniel Shin Denies Wrongdoing in LUNA CollapseShin Hyun-seong, popularly known as Daniel Shin, has refuted accusations against him related to the $40 billion collapse of the stablecoin TerraUSD and its companion token, LUNA, according to a report by local news outlet Newspim. He presented this defense during his initial trial at the Seoul Southern District Court on October 30 (local time).Shin co-founded Terraform Labs, the company responsible for issuing TerraUSD and LUNA. His co-founder, Do Kwon, is currently serving a four-month prison sentence in Montenegro for passport forgery.Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashProsecution’s allegationsKorean prosecutors allege that since 2018, Shin and his colleagues have concealed the fabricated nature of the “Terra project.” By manipulating trades and releasing misleading information, they purportedly misled investors into thinking the project was successful. It’s believed they sold off their tokens before the LUNA crash in May 2022, earning KRW 462.9 billion ($343.3 million) from these activities. They are suspected of personally taking KRW 376.9 billion from this amount.Prosecutors are focusing on Shin as the potential orchestrator of the LUNA crash. They speculate he began selling LUNA tokens around when Terraform Labs launched the Anchor Protocol in March 2021. This DeFi protocol increased the popularity and value of LUNA tokens. Before the crash, Shin is alleged to have gained at least KRW 154.1 billion.Defense argumentHowever, Shin’s legal team countered by asserting that Shin had cut ties with Kwon in 2020. They argued the decline of TerraUSD and LUNA was due to Kwon’s mishandling of the Anchor Protocol and an external attack, neither associated with Shin. Regarding the exploit, Terraform Labs has pursued legal action in the United States Southern District of Florida, claiming that American market maker Citadel Securities played a part in undermining TerraUSD in May 2022.Defending Shin, his lawyers emphasized that at the inception of the Terra project, there were no legal guidelines specifically for cryptocurrency transactions. Additionally, unlike Do Kwon who kept fleeing abroad, Shin willingly came back to Korea and has been cooperating with the investigation. They also noted he received only 32% of the 70 million LUNA tokens initially promised. Regarding classification, they stated LUNA isn’t legally recognized as a security.Shin’s lawyers further argued the prosecution hasn’t clearly identified victims or adequately outlined the components of fraud in this case. They said the prosecution’s case hinges on viewing LUNA as a security. However, Shin’s legal representatives maintained that under the Korean Capital Markets Act, LUNA isn’t a security, making its trades non-fraudulent.To counter a US court ruling the prosecution presented — that a token is a security — Shin’s defense highlighted that the verdict is from a lower court and remains contested. Earlier, prosecutors had cited a ruling from the United States Southern District Court of New York, which classified the XRP tokens sold to institutional investors as securities.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Dec 12, 2023

China and Singapore collaborate on cross-border digital yuan transactions

China and Singapore collaborate on cross-border digital yuan transactionsTaking yet another stride toward globalizing the e-CNY currency, China’s central bank has unveiled a pilot program in collaboration with its Singaporean counterpart, enabling tourists from both countries to use the digital yuan for transactions when traveling.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashSeries of initiativesThis move is part of a series of initiatives unveiled by the two governments during a Joint Council for Bilateral Cooperation event which was held in Tianjin, China, last week. Among the announced measures is a mutual 30-day visa-free travel arrangement, one of 24 deals signed to strengthen bilateral ties between China and Singapore.The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) disclosed in a statement that it had collaborated with the Digital Currency Institute of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) for this initiative. The program aims to facilitate the use of the digital version of the Chinese currency for tourist spending, enhancing convenience for travelers during their overseas trips. While specific details about the scheme were not disclosed, it represents a collaborative effort to promote cross-border transactions using the digital yuan.Internationalizing the digital yuanIn its reporting on the announcement, the South China Morning Post (SCMP) pointed to the views of Richard Turrin, an independent financial technology consultant and author of “Cashless: China’s Digital Currency Revolution.” Turrin sees the digital yuan collaboration as a promising opportunity for cross-border retail use. He suggests that starting with small transactions, such as those by tourists, could pave the way for broader applications in trade and other high-value scenarios.In an editorial back in November, the SCMP referred to the birth of the Petro-Yuan, speculating that the era of the Petro-Dollar is coming to an end. “In a global political economy long dominated by the petrodollar, this could be the beginning of a seismic shift,” the editorial stated. The internationalization of the e-CNY will likely be a key aspect of that overall monetary sea change.Over 5 years in developmentChina initiated digital yuan testing in 2019, and although an official launch timetable has not been confirmed, adoption has accelerated recently. Former PBOC governor Yi Gang reported that total e-CNY transactions reached 950 million yuan ($133 million) in June, with a cumulative value of 1.8 trillion yuan compared to 100 billion yuan in August 2022. This indicates a substantial increase in digital yuan transactions.The momentum extends beyond mainland China, with Beijing exploring CBDC usage internationally. The mBridge trial, completed last year, involved multiple countries using central bank digital currencies to settle trades, including Hong Kong, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates.In June, authorities in China’s resort city of Sanya introduced e-CNY ATMs so that foreign visitors could buy the digital yuan and use it during their time in China. Another initiative aims to encourage further use of the digital currency within the Chinese autonomous territory of Hong Kong. In July, the Hong Kong arm of the Bank of China rolled out a digital yuan shopping festival in Hong Kong, allowing visitors to Hong Kong from mainland China to make purchases using the digital yuan.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Aug 02, 2023

3AC Co-Founder Disputes US Jurisdiction Citing Singaporean Citizenship

3AC Co-Founder Disputes US Jurisdiction Citing Singaporean CitizenshipKyle Davies, the Co-Founder of the failed Singaporean crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC), has asserted that he is solely a citizen of Singapore and not of the United States.Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on PexelsEvading pursuit of damagesThe assertion may have relevance as it may mean that Davies can evade actions taken against him in a US court on the basis of a lack of jurisdiction. In a recent filing with the US Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York (SDNY), Davies presented documents demonstrating that he had renounced his US citizenship in December 2020. He emphasized that he obtained citizenship in Singapore after being issued a passport in early 2021 and that he does not subject himself to the jurisdiction of US courts.$3.5 billion owedIn June it emerged that liquidators appointed for 3AC were seeking to recover $1.3 billion from the fund’s co-founders, Davies and Su Zhu. The firm reportedly owes creditors a staggering $3.5 billion.In the midst of public criticism surrounding the events leading to 3AC’s collapse, Zhu and Davies launched a platform called Open Exchange (OPNX), allowing trading claims against bankrupt crypto firms. Despite a deficit of goodwill for the duo in the crypto sector, they have been putting all their energies into the new venture.Last month, they outlined that they would donate future earnings from OPNX to 3AC creditors. It’s difficult to reconcile that claim when with this action, Davies is trying to evade contributing to creditors via the 3AC bankruptcy process and this legal action taken by the liquidator.Renounced citizenshipAccording to court documents, Davies officially renounced his US citizenship at the US Embassy in Singapore, citing his decision to reside in the country on a long-term basis. He revealed that he got married to a Singaporean national in 2017 and subsequently gained permanent residency in Singapore. Because Singapore does not permit dual nationality, Davies chose to renounce his US citizenship to establish himself fully as a Singaporean citizen.The submission of these documents came after 3AC’s liquidators requested a subpoena to gather information on the crypto hedge fund’s collapse. Both Kyle Davies and Zhu, were subpoenaed on Twitter, as their whereabouts were unknown. However, while Zhu, being a Singaporean national, might not be subject to the subpoena while residing outside the United States, Davies’ refusal to comply with the order led to discussions about holding him in contempt of court.In response to the subpoena controversy, Davies’ legal representatives claimed that he cannot be validly served with process as a non-party in the case, as he has not been a US citizen or resident since well before the case was initiated. They stated that the court lacks personal jurisdiction over him due to his renunciation of US citizenship. Accordingly, they requested that the Service Order and Compel Order, which were based on the assumption that Davies was a US citizen, be vacated.

news
Loading