Hong Kong Regulator Explores Tokenization to Transform Bond Market

In a recent report, Singaporean digital asset financial services firm Matrixport has made a bold forecast regarding the future of bitcoin prices and the potential rejection of spot bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States.Photo by André François McKenzie on UnsplashMinority viewWhile most ETF and crypto industry analysts in recent weeks have been suggesting a greater than 90% chance of the imminent approval of a spot bitcoin ETF coming from the SEC, Matrixport has had its say, speculating that the regulator will once again reject all such applications. In a note published to its website on Wednesday, the firm stated:”The current five-person voting Commissioners leadership critical for the ETF approval of the SEC is dominated by Democrats. SEC Chair Gensler is not embracing crypto in the U.S., and it might even be a very long shot to expect that he would vote to approve bitcoin spot ETFs.” The report emphasizes the dominant influence of Democratic leadership within the SEC, particularly Chairman Gary Gensler's cautious approach to crypto regulation. The Democrat-led administration in the United States has been decidedly anti-crypto in its policies throughout the ongoing term of U.S. President Joe Biden. Matrixport also suggests a potential delay in ETF approvals until Q2 2024, dampening hopes of an imminent market boost. Potential bitcoin price slumpShould the company be right in that speculation, it extrapolates that this turn of events will potentially lead to a substantial decline in bitcoin's value, with the bitcoin unit price possibly dropping to as low as $36,000. This revelation has sent shock waves through the market, prompting Matrixport to advise investors to take protective measures. The recommended strategies include purchasing put options or engaging in direct shorting of bitcoin to mitigate potential losses. With an ominous Jan. 5, 2024 deadline looming, traders could decide to hedge their long exposure by purchasing $40,000 strike put options expiring at the end of January or opting for outright short positions through options. Matrixport's report challenges the previously optimistic expectations surrounding bitcoin's future, highlighting the SEC's likely rejection of spot ETFs as a significant factor. Despite the platform's earlier bullish stance, it now expresses skepticism about the SEC's willingness to embrace cryptocurrencies. The firm contends that the current influx of funds into crypto, driven by expectations of ETF approval, could result in significant liquidations if the SEC denies the proposals. The report estimates that about $10 billion of the $14 billion additional investments might be linked to optimistic ETF prospects. Notably, Matrixport foresees a rapid 20% decline in bitcoin's price, reverting to a range of around $36,000 to $38,000 should the SEC reject the ETFs. Positive long-term outlookDespite the potential setback with the SEC, Matrixport maintains a positive long-term outlook for bitcoin, expecting the BTC price to end 2024 above the $42,000 mark, where it started the year. The analysis also considers historical trends in U.S. election years and bitcoin mining cycles for the potential rally. At the time of writing, the bitcoin unit price is down 4.75% over the course of the past 24 hours, now standing at $42,838. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming SEC decision and may well be heeding Matrixport's advice to navigate potential market volatility.  

State-Owned Newspaper to Launch NFT Platform in ChinaChinese government-owned media outlet China Daily, under the guidance of the Publicity Department of the Chinese Communist Party, has allocated a substantial budget of 2.813 million yuan (equivalent to $390,000) for the development of an NFT platform.Photo by Hanson Lu on UnsplashInviting bids from home and abroadThe move will open the door to both domestic and international blockchain technology firms, inviting them to spearhead the creation of the platform. According to a public tendering announcement published last month, the chosen firm must operate on a blockchain mainnet capable of handling over 10,000 transactions per second, ensuring top-notch performance and reliability.One of the platform’s key features will be its user-friendly interface, allowing users to effortlessly upload, display, and manage their digital collections. It will support a wide range of multimedia formats and diverse collection types, making it a versatile hub for creative expression. Additionally, the platform will offer advanced functionalities like pricing, bidding, limited-time offers, and multi-currency settlement to ensure a comprehensive and satisfying user experience.Extending the reach of Chinese cultureThe core objective of the China Daily NFT Platform is to amplify the global influence of Chinese culture by seamlessly blending technology and culture in the metaverse. This ambitious strategy integrates cutting-edge technologies such as virtual reality (VR), augmented reality (AR), mixed reality, blockchain, non-fungible tokens (NFTs), big data, and cloud computing.In an effort to expand the global reach of their digital collections, China Daily intends to collaborate with both domestic and international mainstream NFT platforms. This ambitious plan includes partnerships with well-known foreign platforms such as OpenSea, Rarible, SuperRare, and Foundation. Despite the rigorous regulatory landscape and scrutiny that blockchain entities face in China, this approach aims to make Chinese digital collections more accessible to a global audience.The urgency and importance attached to this project are evident in the tight timeline set by China Daily. The chosen contractor must submit their application by October 17 and complete the development of the platform within three months, highlighting the publication’s commitment to this venture.NFT platform development despite crypto banHowever, it’s important to acknowledge that this initiative unfolds within the backdrop of stringent cryptocurrency regulations in China. Since 2021, although NFTs have not been banned, all forms of cryptocurrency transactions have been prohibited in the country, and blockchain entities operating within China face intense regulatory oversight.In May the Supreme People’s Procuratorate of China issued a warning relative to NFTs on the basis that they have crypto-like properties. However, the agency also acknowledged that NFTs do present a novel application of blockchain technology.Recent events, including the detention of former China Evergrande executives Xia Haijun and Pan Darong for alleged involvement in fraudulent activities, underscore the strict regulatory environment prevailing in China.Within the Chinese autonomous territory of Hong Kong, the South China Morning Post (SCMP) spun out Artifact Labs, an NFT company, following an initial decision in 2021 to launch an NFT standard called artifact.China Daily’s foray into the NFT space demonstrates that some facets of blockchain innovation are being leveraged within China, in this instance with a view towards cultural promotion and global engagement.

Japan’s largest bank, MUFG, has teamed up with KlimaDAO Japan, the provider of a digital reserve currency backed by carbon credits, to explore the use of the JPYC stablecoin for settling tokenized carbon credit transactions on the Progmat blockchain platform. Settlement on ProgmatProgmat provides the infrastructure to enable the issuance of various stablecoins. Last September, MUFG announced a collaboration with Binance geared towards stablecoin issuance. The JPYC stablecoin, operational since 2021, functions as a prepaid money instrument, similar to a prepaid card, due to its existence before Japan’s stablecoin legislation. Under new regulations, JPYC can either obtain a money transmitter license or issue a trust-style stablecoin with a bank like MUFG acting as the trustee for the stablecoin's reserves. Last year, JPYC formed a partnership with MUFG implicating the use of the Progmat platform.  This partnership, along with the involvement of Kansai Electric subsidiary Optage as the integration partner, sets the stage for the KlimaDAO stablecoin experiments. Optage will provide the corporate infrastructure required to manage the carbon credits added to the blockchain and provide a means for funds settlement to be achieved via bank transfer. Through the use of various local stablecoins for the purpose of settlement, it’s hoped that improved liquidity on a global basis may be achieved.Photo by Dan Meyers on UnsplashInitially recognized for making tokenized carbon credits accessible on public blockchains, KlimaDAO's functionality extends beyond this. The organization also offers the capability to retire credits. Last year, KlimaDAO expanded its reach by launching Carbonmark, an enterprise-focused marketplace.  This platform, which utilizes blockchain technology, namely Polygon, and smart contracts, offers a user-friendly experience by integrating traditional payment methods like bank transfers and SAP integration.  J-CreditsJapan operates a national scheme known as J-credits, and the Tokyo Stock Exchange has introduced a secondary market for these credits. J-credits are designed to certify the amount by which greenhouse gas emissions have been reduced through the use of carbon sinks in Japan. However, the volume of J-credit transactions remains low, reflecting the broader state of Japan's voluntary carbon market.  KlimaDAO aims to address this by launching the KlimaDAO Japan Market, simplifying the process for domestic companies to purchase and utilize carbon credits. This initiative will involve tokenizing J-credits, referred to as D-Carbons.  Andrew Bonneau, KlimaDAO co-founder, outlined on X that “@KlimaDAO is in a unique position to facilitate an efficient J-Credit market on chain, while serving as the base infrastructure for integrating these assets with 3rd party services.” While the initial phase will use traditional bank payments, the ultimate goal is to transition to using stablecoins, particularly the JPYC stablecoin. Norbert Gehrke, an observer of developments within the Japanese fintech scene, outlined on Medium that the Japanese carbon credit market is likely to reach three trillion yen ($19.15 billion) by 2030. Meanwhile, the global carbon credit market has a current value of 39 trillion yen ($249 billion). KlimaDAO Japan has mentioned the use of a permissionless blockchain for this initiative but has fallen short of confirming that the Polygon network will be relied upon. Japan has several homegrown blockchains, which might be considered for this project.  At the time of writing, the KLIMA token had risen 31% over the course of the previous 24 hours, with a unit price of $3.53 according to CoinGecko.