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QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price Potential

Markets·August 16, 2023, 2:35 AM

Bitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Crucial price action time-frame

According to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.

QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.

 

Rally potential

The analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.

QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.

 

Macroeconomic trends

Turning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.

Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.

These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.

The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Aug 12, 2023

Hong Kong Gives HKVAX Green Light for Virtual Asset Trading

Hong Kong Gives HKVAX Green Light for Virtual Asset TradingHong Kong’s financial landscape continues to develop, with the latest installment coming from a Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) decision to grant in-principle approval to Hong Kong Virtual Asset Exchange (HKVAX) to operate a virtual asset trading platform within the bounds of the region’s securities laws.The development, announced via a press release published to HKVAX’s website on Friday, follows the recent introduction of crypto retail trading by exchanges HashKey and OSL in Hong Kong.Photo by Dids on PexelsLicensed to extend service offeringIn a notable move, the SFC has green-lit HKVAX’s entry into the virtual asset trading arena. The approval-in-principle, announced on Friday, empowers HKVAX to conduct regulated activities of both Type 1 and Type 7. A Type 1 license permits the operation of a digital asset trading platform specializing in securities. Meanwhile, the Type 7 classification endows the company with the official capacity to deliver automated trading services to both retail users and institutional investors.Upon obtaining the final green light, the platform envisions providing an array of services, including over-the-counter (OTC) brokerage enabling seamless fiat-to-digital asset trading, an institutional-grade exchange platform, and a secure custody solution fortified by insurance coverage.HKVAX is poised to introduce an up-and-coming product category, security token offerings (STOs), seeking to harness the burgeoning investment prospects of the Web3 ecosystem. STOs involve offering security tokens which represent traditional legal ownership of real-world assets.Upcoming collaborative fundingAnthony Ng, the Co-Founder and CEO of HKVAX, affirmed the exchange’s growth trajectory and outlined plans for expansion of its product suite in Hong Kong. Ng also emphasized forging collaborations with strategic investors to fuel the exchange’s upcoming funding rounds.HKVAX’s announcement is emblematic of Hong Kong’s embrace of crypto retail trading. Recent entrants HashKey and OSL have set the precedent by becoming the first exchanges to secure licenses for offering crypto trading services in the region as of August 3.It’s been a long process for HKVAX to arrive at this point. The firm first contacted the SFC in 2018 in relation to licensing. It started the application process in 2019. It’s also proving to be an incredibly costly exercise. It’s believed that crypto-related operating licenses are costing firms up to $20 million.The backdrop to these developments is Hong Kong regulators’ proactive stance on crypto regulation, catalyzed by the FTX exchange collapse in 2022. CEO Julia Leung Fung-yee of the SFC, in a speech on June 24, highlighted the integral role of crypto trading in the virtual asset ecosystem, underscoring the importance of safeguarding investors through the new licensing framework for virtual asset service providers.In a financial landscape undergoing transformation, Hong Kong’s regulatory moves are poised to shape the future trajectory of virtual asset trading and its integration within the broader securities landscape. As HKVAX gains its foothold and the crypto industry matures, the coming months are expected to see further refinements in this nascent yet rapidly evolving market.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Nov 21, 2023

Japan’s ODX to commence digital securities trading in December

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Policy & Regulation·

Sep 07, 2023

G20 Nations Believed to Have Agreed Upon Global Crypto Framework

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