Top

QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price Potential

Markets·August 16, 2023, 2:35 AM

Bitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Crucial price action time-frame

According to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.

QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.

 

Rally potential

The analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.

QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.

 

Macroeconomic trends

Turning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.

Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.

These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.

The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.

More to Read
View All
Web3 & Enterprise·

May 10, 2023

SafePal Delves Into Korean Market Through Klaytn Partnership

SafePal Delves Into Korean Market Through Klaytn PartnershipThe Seychelles-based team behind non-custodial digital asset wallet provider, SafePal, has made its first attempt at conquering the Korean market through a partnership with South Korean enterprise blockchain, Klaytn.The collaboration will see the wallet provider support digital assets native to the Klaytn blockchain network. For Klaytn ecosystem users, it also means that they can access in excess of one hundred blockchains, which are already supported by SafePal’s non-custodial wallet. Both entities articulated their thoughts relative to the partnership, with SafePal doing so via a blog post published late last week. Meanwhile, the Klaytn project team expanded on the development in a post to its website on Tuesday.Photo by Mathew Schwartz on UnsplashKorean expansionKlaytn-native digital assets will be supported via SafePal’s mobile app, hardware wallet and its browser extension-based wallet. SafePal acknowledges the leading position that the Klaytn network takes in Korea, relative to the metaverse, blockchain gaming and other Web3 verticals. While SafePal already has 10 million users, this move demonstrates that it has plans on expanding that user-base to incorporate millions more, in this case Korea-based Klaytn network users.Alluding to that Korean expansion, Veronica Wong, Co-Founder and CEO of SafePal stated: “Klaytn is a leading blockchain in Korea for Web3 and DeFi, so this partnership made perfect sense, as we want users to access exciting opportunities in all established ecosystems globally.”Bringing Klaytn dApps to SafePal usersThe Klaytn project team is viewing the hook-up in the same manner. In its announcement it outlines that the collaboration can serve its purpose in “bringing in Klaytn’s next 10 million users with SafePal.” The partnership also serves to bring leading Klaytn dApps to that new user-base of 10 million. That includes on-chain instant swap protocol, Klayswap, blockchain play-to-earn game DeFi Kingdoms, Korean NFT marketplace Pala, leveraged yield farming project, Kleva Protocol and DEX aggregator Swapscanner.Conceived by the dominant messaging app provider in Korea, KAKAO, in 2018, the development of the Klaytn blockchain is now guided by the Klaytn Foundation. The project has set out a governance roadmap that will see the project achieve decentralization later this year.SafePal growth trajectorySafePal has been hitting its numbers when it comes to expanding its user base. Over the course of the past year, it has grown its user-base from 8 to 10 million. Its support for 100 blockchains results in overall support for in excess of 200,000 token types, including NFTs. That growth strategy belies further comments that Wong made relative to this latest collaboration:“While the self-custody offered by Web3 and DeFi is increasingly important amidst growing concerns about traditional financial systems, adoption is still hindered by language and geographical barriers. Klaytn is a leading blockchain in Korea for Web3 and DeFi, so this partnership made perfect sense, as we want users to access exciting opportunities in all established ecosystems globally.”With no let up in its growth strategy, SafePal followed up on Friday with an announcement that it had integrated the recently launched low latency, high throughput layer one SUI network and its native token, $SUI.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Oct 19, 2023

Surge in Hong Kong Crypto License Applications from Mainland-Linked Brokers

Surge in Hong Kong Crypto License Applications from Mainland-Linked BrokersTwo new platforms with mainland China links are preparing to apply for retail trading licenses in Hong Kong, with several others believed to be interested in following suit.According to a report published by Nikkei Asia earlier this week, the platforms, Yax and PantherTrade, have connections to mainland online securities brokers. PantherTrade is reportedly associated with Futu, a company which in turn is backed by Chinese tech giant Tencent, one of China’s largest technology companies. Yax, an emerging player in the crypto sector, has strong links to UP Fintech Holding, a Beijing-headquartered firm more commonly known as Tiger Brokers.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashCapital flight concernsThese connections are significant, given the previous involvement of these brokers in helping mainland Chinese customers invest in offshore assets, primarily US stocks. The firms have previously attracted the attention of China’s financial regulators. A notice from the Chinese securities watchdog in December last year compelled them to cease their “illegal cross-border business” activities.While crypto trading is banned in mainland China, an investigative report by the Wall Street Journal in August suggested that global exchange Binance was thriving in China despite the ban. Actions taken by the Chinese authorities are demonstrative of some level of concern with regard to crypto trading and potential capital flight through crypto.VASP licensingThe move by Yax and PantherTrade signals their intention to apply for a virtual asset service platform (VASP) license in Hong Kong, which would enable them to operate cryptocurrency exchanges for retail customers.Currently, both platforms are undergoing third-party assessments, a mandatory step preceding their formal application to the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). The timeline for their applications remains uncertain.Broader interestThe growing interest in VASP licenses is not unique to Yax and PantherTrade. At least four other exchange platforms, similarly linked to mainland China, have also sought the same license, highlighting the eagerness of various players to enter the Hong Kong market. OneDegree, the sole licensed insurer for digital assets in Asia, has observed a significant uptick in license applications, including applications from traditional financial institutions, reflecting a positive trend toward educating the mass market.The SFC’s recent decision to make license application information public is an attempt to enhance transparency, following a scandal related to Dubai-headquartered crypto exchange JPEX in which over HK$1.5 billion (approximately $190 million) in virtual assets reportedly disappeared from the exchange.Currently, only two cryptocurrency exchanges, OSL and Hashkey, have received SFC approval. Others, including online brokers, have considered applying for licenses since late last year but are awaiting greater regulatory clarity before taking the plunge.Hong Kong, under the “one country, two systems” framework, has established itself as a hub for legal retail trading of cryptocurrencies. This development may signify a shift in China’s stance on digital assets and its increasing openness to crypto initiatives, as noted recently by blockchain data provider Chainalysis.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Aug 24, 2023

Fake Security Tokens Linked to HD Hyundai Oilbank in Circulation

Fake Security Tokens Linked to HD Hyundai Oilbank in CirculationHD Hyundai Oilbank, one of South Korea’s leading refiners, said Wednesday that a counterfeit security token dubbed “HOBT” claiming affiliation to the company has been circulating online. The token is allegedly based on old stock certificates under the company’s former name, Hyundai Oil Refinery, as the underlying assets, though the company had changed its name to HD Hyundai Oilbank back in 2002. Both the token and the underlying asset are invalid and have no relation at all to HD Hyundai Oilbank, the company emphasized, so investors must exercise caution.Fraudulent promotionEntities that are giving away or selling HBOT tokens are attracting investors by promoting a one-on-one exchange of the tokens for old Hyundai Oil Refinery stock certificates. They are also promising to grant shareholder rights through blockchain technology as well as interest payments of 4% every month for a total of 24% over six months.Fraudulent activities like these have recently been on the rise following the legalization of security tokens and the formal issuance of a select few tokens.Investigative measuresThe Incheon Metropolitan Police is currently conducting an investigation into the case. Notably, the old Hyundai Oil Refinery stock certificates that the involved entities are claiming to be underlying assets have been proven to be fake in over ten court rulings. Although owners of these old stock certificates had filed lawsuits against the company related to shareholder registration renewals since the late 2000s, all of them had lost their cases.Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashPast events resurfacingThis recent circulation of the forged HOBT tokens is attributed to employees of a disposal company who pocketed the invalid stock certificates and certificate papers, rather than disposing of them as they were required to do.In January 2002, HD Hyundai Oilbank had hired a company to dispose of documents — including those related to the old stock certificates — that had lost their validity during the process of attracting and increasing foreign capital.“In May of that year, we started receiving frequent inquiries about the stock certificates. We filed a legal complaint against the employees and conspirators of the disposal company for illegally distributing the certificates (including the stock certificate papers), and they were subsequently punished for theft and fraud,” the company explained.

news
Loading