Oman’s Regulator Invites Feedback on Virtual Asset Framework

Australian venture capitalist and founder of MHC Digital Group, Mark Carnegie, is optimistic about bitcoin's potential for a bullish trend, while believing that Asia will be the real force driving the market beyond the exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval hype in the United States.Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash$50,000 bitcoin retestIn a recent interview with CNBC, Carnegie expressed his belief that bitcoin is "clearly primed for a bit of a run and a retest to $50,000." The bitcoin unit price stood at around $43,600 at the time of the interview. At the time of writing, it’s weighing in at $46,773. While there’s likely to be considerable resistance in the leading cryptocurrency getting past the psychologically important $50,000 level, the digital asset is certainly heading in the direction that Carnegie had predicted. Looking ahead, Carnegie shared his short-to-medium-term outlook, stating:"So my feeling is short term, long, medium term, which is, you know, 30 to 90 days, probably a retrace." This suggests that Carnegie anticipates a positive trajectory for bitcoin in the coming months, likely as an initial response to a spot bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S. Last week a report from Singapore-based digital asset financial services firm Matrixport speculated that spot bitcoin ETF applications would be rejected as they have been over the past few years. Market risk factorsHowever, he also voiced concerns about the current state of the U.S. equity markets and potential recession indicators. Reflecting on the recent miss on payrolls, Carnegie commented:"I feel like that miss on payrolls last week makes me feel like there's a big flip. And everyone's going to start panicking about a recession." Despite the uncertainty in traditional markets, Carnegie remains optimistic about bitcoin's performance. When asked about the specific impact on cryptocurrencies, he admitted, "How's that going to affect crypto? I don't really know." In a blog post published last Friday, Arthur Hayes, the CIO of Hong Kong-based family office Maelstrom, similarly points to market turbulence in the short to medium term while remaining bullish on bitcoin over the longer term. An Asia-powered bull runCarnegie highlighted the influence of spot bitcoin ETFs and suggested inflows, noting that there are more net flows from Asia than the U.S. He stated:“You could easily see $50 - $100 billion in net new flow out of Asia this year, and if that happens..!” He mentioned the anticipation of approximately $5 billion waiting to come into the U.S., characterizing it as substantial but perhaps not as impactful as expected in the short term. "It's an Asian story this time round,” Carnegie claimed. Carnegie also expressed a preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current financial landscape. He stated:"Bitcoin feels more solid to me at the moment. So on a relative basis, I can talk like I can talk to you. I feel like for the next little while, Bitcoin feels better to me than Ethereum." Mark Carnegie's positive outlook on bitcoin's potential rally to $50,000 aligns with his preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current market conditions, despite concerns about the broader economic landscape.  

Israel Freezes Crypto Accounts Linked to HamasIsrael has taken action to freeze cryptocurrency accounts believed to be involved in a fundraising campaign for the Palestinian militant group Hamas on social media, according to a statement by Israeli police on Tuesday.Hamas recently carried out a series of devastating attacks from Gaza into Israel, leading to one of the most severe escalations in the Israel-Palestinian conflict in years.According to the police statement:“With the outbreak of the war, Hamas’ terrorist organisation initiated a fundraising campaign on social networks, urging the public to deposit cryptocurrencies into their accounts.”Photo by Taylor Brandon on UnsplashBinance implicatedIn response, the Police Cyber Unit and the Ministry of Defense, with the cooperation of global crypto exchange Binance, located and froze these accounts, with the intention of diverting the funds to the state treasury.While the statement did not provide specific details about the number of accounts frozen or the value of the cryptocurrencies seized, it emphasized the government’s proactive efforts to counteract these activities.Hamas had been using cryptocurrencies as a fundraising method for some time, but in April, the group announced that it would discontinue receiving donations in Bitcoin, citing an increase in “hostile” activities against its donors.Binance has been cooperating with global law enforcement agencies and regulators to combat illicit activities, including those related to terrorism financing. A spokesperson for Binance stated:“Over the past few days, our team has been working in real time, around the clock, to support ongoing efforts to combat terror financing.”Unwelcome attentionThe exchange also mentioned that the data used to identify individuals and entities associated with specific organizations comes from intelligence provided by law enforcement and investigative tools developed in collaboration with partners.While Binance is cooperating with law enforcement on these matters, such specific attention is likely to be unwelcome. The exchange platform has been the subject of severe regulatory pushback internationally in 2023. Any suggestion of terrorist financing being enabled through the platform, even if unknowingly so, won’t be helpful to the business in overcoming its regulatory challenges.In the lawsuit taken against Binance by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the United States earlier this year, the CFTC claimed that Binance was aware that it had facilitated terrorist financing, specifically referring to Hamas-related transactions.Given that all eyes are currently on the activities of the Palestinian terrorist group, there could also be trouble for rival platform Bitfinex. According to a Wall Street Journal report earlier this year, Bitfinex Turkiye was alleged to have facilitated an account that was used by Hamas for money laundering purposes.Previous crypto seizuresThis action by Israel is not the first of its kind. In May, Reuters reported that Israel had seized approximately 190 crypto accounts on Binance since 2021, including two accounts linked to the Islamic State and dozens owned by Palestinian firms associated with Hamas.Binance responded to these developments by affirming its commitment to cooperate with law enforcement agencies and emphasized that it uses information available only to law enforcement to identify individuals involved in activities related to illicit organizations.

Malaysia Looking to Wean Itself Off Dollar DependencyAccording to Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, China is willing to engage in discussions with Malaysia regarding the creation of an Asian Monetary Fund. This proposal, which has been circulating for decades, aims to decrease the dependence on the US dollar.©Pexels/Sergei StarostinAsian Monetary FundAnwar highlighted the necessity to minimize reliance on the dollar and the International Monetary Fund and proposed the establishment of this fund at the Boao forum in Hainan last week. He stressed that the fund would aid in diversifying the financial landscape of Asia and improving its resilience against economic challenges.Following a state visit to China last week, Anwar stated that “there is no reason for Malaysia to continue depending on the dollar.” The Prime Minister told the Malaysian parliament on Tuesday that China’s President Xi Jingping was receptive to the idea of an Asian Monetary Fund and welcomed further discussions on such a proposal.Anwar Ibrahim, serving as both the Finance Minister and Prime Minister of Malaysia, stated that the country’s central bank is already taking measures to allow for negotiations between Malaysia and China using their respective currencies, the ringgit and renminbi.The robustness of the US dollar poses a significant challenge for Malaysia and other Asian countries, particularly as Malaysia is a net importer of food. In September 2022, the Bloomberg dollar index reached an all-time high, leading to a decline in the value of the ringgit and other Southeast Asian currencies to levels not seen in decades.As a result, Anwar Ibrahim’s proposal for a shift towards bilateral trade negotiations with China using the ringgit and renminbi holds the potential to alleviate some of the region’s dependence on the dollar and reduce the impact of its fluctuations.International shift away from dollarThis development comes as other officials in the region, particularly Singapore, have been discussing strategies to manage the effects of a dominant US dollar that has weakened local currencies and been used as an instrument of economic power by the United States.There has been a raft of deals struck in recent weeks all pointing towards an international shift away from the US dollar as the global reserve currency. Russia has agreed with China to trade in renminbi. A major trade deal was struck recently between China and Brazil that will see the two countries trade in reals and renminbi. Major oil producer Saudi Arabia has made similar soundings and signed similar deals with Beijing.Bitcoin as a reserve currencyAll of this recent upheaval has brought further consideration of bitcoin acting as a reserve currency back into view. It’s expected that even if there is a shift away from the US dollar, the renminbi won’t be capable of acting as a single dominant global reserve currency. Taking to Twitter on Wednesday, Bloomberg Intelligence Crypto Market Analyst Jamie Coutts suggested that bitcoin’s performance in Q1, 2023 marks “a significant milestone in its ascendancy as a potential global reserve asset.”Coutts believes that it marks the first occasion that the leading cryptocurrency has acted as a safe haven asset during a liquidity crisis. Bitcoin remains at an early stage of development. Nobody expects that it could serve as the global reserve currency at this point. However, it is not unreasonable to anticipate it increasingly growing into a role as a reserve currency used for international trade and settlement. Especially so, as issues bubble over relative to banking and a desire to escape the clutches of US dollar domination.