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Report: Can Bitcoin Replace Gold As a Safe Asset?

Markets·April 24, 2023, 9:07 AM

In light of the substantial increase in Bitcoin (BTC) prices this year, a report from KB Financial Group in South Korea examined the potential for BTC to replace gold as a safe asset.

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The study delves into the factors behind the recent BTC price surge and emphasizes the need for caution when considering BTC as an alternative to traditional safe assets.

 

3 drivers behind BTC surge

From January 1 to March 31 this year, BTC experienced an impressive return of 71%. This surge can be attributed to three main factors: an anticipated increase in liquidity due to market expectations of unchanged or falling interest rates; central banks supplying liquidity to mitigate risks in the traditional banking system; and concerns over the potential delisting of cryptocurrencies should the US court’s decision on the Ripple-SEC case classify XRP, Ripple’s native token, as securities, prompting investors to shift their focus to BTC.

The report suggests that the current BTC boom is more likely a result of short-term arbitrages and social conformity, given the greater information asymmetry in the crypto market, which lacks the disclosure system present in traditional stock markets.

 

Persisting risk factors

Last month, blockchain tracker Whale Alert spotted a transfer of 11,125 BTC from an anonymous address to Binance. The primary reason for moving assets from a private address to an exchange address is to sell them, indicating that investors should keep a watchful eye on Bitcoin trading volumes, particularly for any signs of large sell-offs.

Data from the crypto data analysis platform Glassnode revealed that the percentage of the BTC supply that was active over a year ago reached an all-time high of 68% in late March. Historically, such an increase has been associated with falling BTC prices.

This year, the BTC supply is set to grow due to the US government’s liquidation of seized BTC. As detailed in a March 31 Cointelegraph article, the US government seized 51,352 BTC in a case related to Ross Ulbricht, the creator of the online black market Silk Road. The government has already sold 9,861 BTC, with the remaining amount expected to be liquidated in four additional portions throughout the year.

Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, has been struggling to find banks in the US to store client funds after crypto-friendly banks Silvergate and Signature closed their doors.

 

Need for caution

Although various media sources often portray BTC as a safe asset, the report advises caution in accepting these claims. Although some liken BTC to “digital gold,” the two assets share little in common beyond their finite and scarce nature. In fact, gold and BTC diverge significantly in terms of social consensus, intrinsic value, price volatility, and investor protection.

Gold serves as a highly liquid asset with applications in both jewelry and industrial goods, in addition to its role as an investment vehicle. In contrast, BTC’s intrinsic value is still debatable. The price volatility of BTC is also a concern, as evidenced by its 71% spike in the first quarter of 2023, compared to gold’s modest 8% increase. Additionally, gold investment products are regulated by law, whereas BTC is not. The report thus recommends treating BTC as a high-risk product and incorporating it into a diverse investment portfolio.

It is worth noting that since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the crypto market has demonstrated a stronger correlation with the global stock market in response to negative signals. This trend can be partially attributed to the growing presence of institutional investors in the crypto market, who often sell risky assets first to secure liquidity in the face of unexpected shocks.

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Markets·

Feb 02, 2024

Survey reveals Singaporeans bullish on crypto with 50% adoption

In a recent survey conducted by personal finance management solutions provider Seedly, together with global crypto exchange Coinbase, it was discovered that over 56% of Singaporeans currently own cryptocurrency, with nearly half expressing bullish sentiments regarding its future prospects over the 12 months of this year.Photo by Zhu Hongzhi on UnsplashFuture of financeTitled "The Pulse of Crypto Singapore Report," the study surveyed 2,006 Singaporean adults across various age groups and household incomes from October to November 2023. Survey participants were deemed to be “finance forward Singapore-based adults who have a strong interest in personal finance and investments.” It determined that 56% of respondents believe cryptocurrency represents the future of finance. Participants cited short-term profitability, long-term capital appreciation and portfolio diversification as key factors driving their optimism. The report’s authors speculate that this optimism is also due to the city-state’s approach to digital assets and the regulatory framework that has been put in place by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Yeap Ming Feng, head of marketing at Seedly, also attributed the optimism towards crypto to Singapore's vibrant Web3 ecosystem, which fosters collaboration among builders, investors and users. When selecting a crypto exchange for trading, crypto owners prioritize security, low fees, regulation and ease of use. Coinbase, one of the report’s facilitators, doubled down on its operations in Singapore in 2023, acquiring a Major Payment Institution (MPI) license from the Singaporean regulator, enabling it to expand its product offering. It extended its offering further last month when it launched USD transfers via SWIFT. Notably, the survey identified staking as the most prevalent use case for cryptocurrency in the city-state.  Non-crypto user concernsHowever, the study unveiled that non-crypto users harbor concerns about market volatility (57%), high risk (53%) and the absence of regulation (45%) in the crypto space. Singapore was disproportionately affected by the demise of a number of crypto platforms in 2022. An outsize number of citizens were caught up in the FTX collapse having utilized that crypto exchange instead of Binance, which had been prohibited from trading within the territory. Singapore was also home to failed crypto lenders such as Vauld and Hodlnaut, failed crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC) and UST stablecoin developer Terraform Labs. These high-profile crypto failures so close to home are unlikely to have put crypto skeptics at ease in Singapore where the consideration of risk relative to digital assets is concerned. That said, MAS is actively working towards implementing additional rules to safeguard Singaporean investors. Despite these reservations, the survey underscores a growing interest in and adoption of cryptocurrencies among the financially aware population in Singapore. This trend aligns with Singapore's commitment to remaining a leader in Asia for crypto readiness and supports the city-state's vision of becoming a global digital asset hub. The study also highlighted the progress that the crypto market in general made recently. Over the course of 2023, crypto market capitalization has gained momentum, from $829 billion at the outset of the year, culminating at $1.72 trillion towards the end of the year, according to a report by CoinGekco.

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Jul 24, 2023

AIITONE Partners with UAE’s Royal Office to Boost Fintech Industry in Asia

AIITONE Partners with UAE’s Royal Office to Boost Fintech Industry in AsiaAIITONE, an immersive tech company based in South Korea, has taken a significant step towards expanding its reach to the Middle East, according to Korean news outlet Newsis. The company recently signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Royal Private Office of H.H Sheikh Ahmed Bin Faisal Al Qassimi in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The partnership between the two entities aims to bolster the fintech industry in South Korea, China, and Japan.Photo by Editz central Editors on PexelsUAE and East AsiaThe Royal Office, known for its diverse business ventures in the fields of real estate, global trading, consulting, and others, provides valuable guidance and strategies to enterprises in the UAE and the Gulf Cooperation Council. Lately, the Royal Office has been looking to expand its operations into East Asia, making this collaboration with AIITONE a strategic move.Security token and CBDCAs part of their joint efforts, the Royal Office plans to invest in promising Korean startups and facilitate the establishment of UAE banks’ Korean branches. Furthermore, the Royal Office intends to support Korean businesses in entering the Middle East market. Emphasizing their commitment to cutting-edge financial technologies, both parties will also work together on security token projects and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), areas where Dubai is at the forefront of innovation.To facilitate the smooth implementation of these plans, Royal Office officials will visit AIITONE’s headquarters in Busan, Korea, next month. This visit will foster greater understanding and cooperation between the two organizations.An AIITONE representative expressed enthusiasm about the partnership, recognizing it as an opportunity to witness the Middle East’s growing interest in blockchain-based financial technology. Leveraging its expertise in Web3 technologies, such as extended reality (XR), artificial intelligence (AI), and blockchain, AIITONE strives to contribute to the development of both countries in the realms of digital economy and technology.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Feb 24, 2024

Axie Infinity co-founder suffers $9.5M loss in wallet hack

Jeff “Jihoz” Zirlin, one of the co-founders of Sky Mavis, the Singapore-headquartered development firm behind both Axie Infinity and the Ronin Network, has faced a significant setback as some of his personal crypto wallets have fallen victim to a hack.Photo by GuerrillaBuzz on UnsplashFunds drained through Tornado CashThe hack has resulted in the loss of approximately $9.7 million worth of ether (ETH). The breach, which occurred on Feb. 23, saw two crypto wallet addresses associated with Zirlin compromised. The perpetrator managed to abscond with 3,248 ETH, funneling the stolen funds through Tornado Cash, a privacy-focused Ethereum mixer. The alarm was raised by PeckShield, a blockchain investigation firm, which identified the compromise of a "whale wallet" through the Ronin Bridge. PeckShield attributed the breach to a "wallet compromise," which facilitated unauthorized outbound transfers of funds. PeckShield's investigation revealed that the pilfered 3,248 ETH was initially dispersed across three different wallets before being funneled into Tornado Cash. This service, notorious for its use by hackers seeking to obfuscate the origin and traceability of illicit funds, served as a conduit for the stolen assets. Confirming the attack and remarking on having had a “tough morning,” Zirkin outlined on social media that “the attack is limited to my personal accounts, and has nothing to do with validation or operations of the Ronin chain.” He emphasized the implementation of stringent security protocols across all chain-related activities, seeking to reassure stakeholders of the company’s commitment to safeguarding user assets. Although specific details regarding the breach remain undisclosed, Zirlin's statement suggests a leakage of the private keys associated with his personal wallets, granting unauthorized access to the hacker. Ronin Network securePeckShield’s revelation prompted Aleksander Larsen, co-founder of Ronin Network, to swiftly respond, affirming the robust security measures of the Ronin Bridge. The social media post that Larsen had responded to, which he claimed to have an “extremely misleading title,” was later deleted. Larsen suspected that the breach stemmed from a wallet hack rather than a flaw within the bridge itself. Notably, Ronin had been targeted in a high-profile attack in March 2022, orchestrated by the North Korea-backed Lazarus Group, resulting in a $625 million loss.In response to this previous breach Sky Mavis initiated a comprehensive overhaul of Ronin's core systems to bolster decentralization and mitigate future vulnerabilities. $112M Ripple co-founder hackIn a separate incident, Binance intercepted $4.2 million worth of stolen XRP, part of the $112 million hack targeting Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen's personal wallet on Jan. 31. Unlike the Axie Infinity breach, the perpetrator behind Larsen's hack refrained from leveraging crypto mixer services or decentralized exchanges, enabling Binance to track and immobilize a portion of the illicitly obtained funds. Axie Infinity, heralded as a pioneering "play-to-earn" Web3 game, has emerged as a lucrative platform, enabling players to earn cryptocurrency and trade in-game assets via blockchain technology. Since its inception in 2018, the game has amassed $1.3 billion in revenue, underscoring its prominence within the burgeoning blockchain gaming ecosystem. 

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