India’s Upcoming G20 Summit Bullish for Crypto

Singapore Exchange Limited (SGX), the city-state’s primary asset exchange, is in the process of establishing Bitcoin perpetual futures trading on the platform.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashInstitutional product offeringAccording to a report published by Bloomberg earlier this week, the exchange platform intends to launch Bitcoin futures sometime during H2 2025. The product launch will be subject to regulatory approval from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). A spokesperson for the company told Bloomberg that the product offering will be geared exclusively towards institutional investors and traders in an effort to “significantly expand institutional market access.” Retail access to the product will be prohibited. Once launched, these Bitcoin perpetual futures contracts, being offered through a traditional finance (TradFi) outfit like SGX, will help to blur the lines between TradFi and the emerging crypto sector. Perpetual futures have no expiry date. They offer a means for traders to bet on price changes in an underlying asset while doing away with the need to take ownership of the asset itself. Cautious approachSGX has been cautious in listing crypto assets and derivative products. Last year the firm’s CEO, Loh Boon Chye, said that the time was not yet right for such listings.  His concern back then was that any such product launches would need “sustainable ecosystem support,” adding that “that means demand, that means governance, that means structure.” While spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) had been approved in the United States at that point, there has been much further development in the crypto-sphere since then, following the election of a pro-crypto administration in the U.S. That event has had knock-on effects globally. Singapore’s SGX isn’t the only traditional exchange platform to respond. Japanese futures exchange, the Osaka Dojima Exchange (ODEX), is gearing up to file an application with the Financial Services Agency (FSA) to list a Bitcoin futures product later this month. Closer to home, an American digital asset marketplace that focuses on institutional trading, EDX Markets, has plans to introduce Bitcoin perpetual futures products to the Singaporean market, according to a report which emerged in January. In May 2024, EDX launched EDXM Global, a settlement platform, in Singapore. This product launch by SGX serves the purposes of decision-makers in Singapore, who have been trying to position the city-state as a digital asset industry hub. Additionally, the move will bring greater acceptance of the digital assets sector from traditional market participants. Crypto perpetual futures contracts were first pioneered by crypto derivatives exchanges like BitMEX back in 2016. Since then, other crypto-native platforms like Binance and OKX have offered these products. In the case of unregulated offshore exchanges, the products have proven to be controversial, as at times, they have been used in a manner that has exposed market participants to counterparty risk. Failed crypto exchange FTX, together with its sister company Alameda Research, relied on the products in their trading activities. SGX, as a seasoned, regulated TradFi operator, which holds an Aa2 rating from Moody’s, is likely to prove to be a more palatable option for institutional players.

Thai Opposition Party Offers Election Crypto SweetenerThailand’s opposition party, the Pheu Thai Party (PTP), has made a controversial move ahead of next month’s general election by offering 10,000 baht (approximately $300) in digital assets to citizens above 16 years old in exchange for their votes.©Unsplash/Markus WinklerThe stated intention of the policy is to spread the use of blockchain-based assets and attract international digital currencies, as well as to distribute products made in Thailand abroad using blockchain technology. Prommin Lertsuridej, who runs the party’s economic policy committee has claimed that 55 million Thai citizens will benefit from the measure if the PTP wins the election.Populist policiesThe plan will cost $15 billion and it is claimed that it will serve to revive the country’s struggling economy while providing relief to those struggling with debt. Additionally other populist measures will be pursued including an increase in the minimum wage and a minimum monthly household income guarantee.The policy has been met with mixed reactions from citizens, with some welcoming the extra cash and others accusing the party of blatant, cynical manipulation. The PTP has tried to sidestep accusations of manipulation by stating that the money will be limited to spending on local economic stimulus projects. Additionally, it cannot be used for gambling or debt repayment, and must be spent within a four-kilometer radius. The party’s chief adviser on public participation and innovation, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, called this policy an attempt to draw the attention of international currencies to Thailand.New crypto regulationsThis policy announcement comes just two months after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Thailand issued new regulations for crypto service providers. The regulations were implemented to prevent a situation similar to the recent FTX collapse and hack, which resulted in the loss of millions of dollars’ worth of digital assets. The SEC has required service providers to establish a digital wallet management system to ensure efficient custody and to have a contingency plan in case of a security breach.Unintended consequencesWhile the PTPs policy has been met with criticism, it has also been seen as a bold move towards promoting the use of blockchain-based assets and digital currencies in Thailand. By offering citizens an incentive to use digital assets, the policy may encourage more people to explore this emerging market, which has the potential to create new opportunities for investment and economic growth.Populist politics and policy comes with a heavy longer term cost. The PTPs policy may be successful in achieving its intended goals, or it could ultimately lead to unintended consequences. Regardless of the outcome, the PTPs policy is a significant development in Thailand’s growing digital asset market and may set a precedent for other countries seeking to promote the use of blockchain-based assets and digital currencies.From an international perspective, even if the move backfires economically within Thailand, ever greater use and normalization of digital assets as in this case can only lead to greater overall adoption.

Key appointment sees Turkey’s central bank enhance crypto expertiseTurkey’s President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has taken a step in integrating blockchain and cryptocurrency expertise into the nation’s monetary policy by appointing Professor Fatma Ozkul to the central bank’s rate-setting committee.Photo by Engin Yapici on UnsplashIncorporating digital financial knowledgeThis decision, which became effective on Saturday, marks a significant move towards incorporating digital financial knowledge within the economic framework of Turkey.As part of Turkey’s economic strategy, President Erdogan has been restructuring the economic management team since his victory in the May general election. This reshuffling included the appointment of ex-Goldman Sachs banker Hafize Gaye Erkan as the central bank’s governor in June.That appointment led to a series of policy rate increases, totaling 3,400 basis points, bringing the rate to 42.5%. Further changes in the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) occurred in July, reinforcing the trajectory of monetary tightening.Crypto credentialsProfessor Fatma Ozkul, a lecturer at Istanbul’s Marmara University, joins the MPC with a primary focus on accounting, finance and auditing. Notably, she brings expertise in blockchain technology and crypto assets, having conducted courses on these subjects. Her recent work has delved into the implications of blockchain and crypto assets on finance, culminating in the publication of a book on crypto asset accounting in 2022.While Ozkul’s appointment may not immediately alter the current monetary policy direction, it reflects an understanding of the need to incorporate digital financial tools when formulating economic and monetary policy. Her extensive knowledge in digital finance is expected to contribute significantly to the process of setting benchmark interest rates, a critical instrument in controlling inflation within Turkey.President Erdogan’s emphasis on digital banking aligns with Turkey’s proactive steps in this direction. The central bank introduced a digital Turkish lira collaboration platform in 2021 and successfully tested digital lira transactions in late 2022. Additionally, the government is anticipated to submit a draft law regulating crypto assets in the coming year.Crypto adoptionThe political and economic climate in Turkey has shown a growing interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin. Chainalysis, a blockchain analytics company, reports that Turkey recorded nearly $170 billion worth of cryptocurrency transactions between July 2022 and June 2023, ranking fourth globally in terms of raw transaction volumes.A report by KuCoin earlier this year identified a noteworthy increase in the overall number of crypto investors in Turkey over the course of the past 18 months. That growth in adoption was found to be youth-driven. The importance of the Turkish market within the crypto sector is further evidenced by the recent revelation that the Turkish Lira is the most dominant fiat trading pair on leading global crypto exchange Binance.In response to this surge, the Turkish government has been working on cryptocurrency regulations, focusing on licensing and taxes. This regulatory move aims to remove Turkey’s name from the Financial Action Task Force’s “gray list” and align the country with global financial norms.As Professor Ozkul assumes her role, her expertise and input may well play a pivotal part in shaping Turkey’s evolving position and approach where digital assets, blockchain and cryptocurrencies are concerned.