India’s Upcoming G20 Summit Bullish for Crypto

Despite ongoing fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, analysts suggest that sustained institutional activity is likely to underpin a near-term rebound. As Bitcoin recovered above $90,000 on Dec. 5, market observers began weighing potential risks against growing evidence of corporate and sovereign adoption.Photo by Austin Hervias on UnsplashStructural risks seen as limitedAccording to South Korean news outlet Etoday, Hong Sung-wook, a researcher at NH Investment & Securities, said that the recent slump in both Bitcoin and Strategy stock may weigh on shareholders but does not fundamentally threaten the company’s solvency. He noted that concerns that typically emerge during Bitcoin downturns seldom reflect new underlying risks. Addressing the potential removal of Strategy from the MSCI index, pending review results expected by Jan. 15, Hong indicated that the impact would likely be limited, as the firm has already exhausted its capacity to make additional Bitcoin purchases. However, he cautioned that prolonged share price weakness could force companies to reevaluate digital asset treasury (DAT) models. Such a shift, he warned, could trigger corporate sell-offs that would burden the broader market. Hong also addressed concerns related to stablecoins and future technology. Despite S&P Global Ratings assigning Tether its lowest grade of "weak," Hong observed that the issuer maintains reserves exceeding the USDT in circulation, rendering a mass withdrawal crisis unlikely. Regarding the threat of quantum computing, he argued that the timeline remains uncertain and that the Bitcoin network could mitigate future risks through consensus-driven protocol upgrades. Policy moves may offer market tailwindsLooking ahead, the analyst identified several constructive developments that could bolster the market, including the potential passage of a U.S. crypto market structure bill early next year. He also pointed to the anticipated nomination of Kevin Hassett as Federal Reserve Chair by President Trump. Hassett is expected to favor interest rate cuts, creating a potentially favorable macro environment. Additionally, Vanguard’s decision to permit the trading of select third-party crypto ETFs and mutual funds was cited as significant, given the asset manager’s historically conservative stance on digital assets. While the market has shifted into a broader risk-off mode, institutional demand for Bitcoin has continued to build, including activity that began well before the recent pullback. The Czech central bank recently established a $1 million test portfolio comprising Bitcoin, a USD stablecoin, and a tokenized deposit to research payment futures, though it clarified that it does not currently plan to add digital assets to its international reserves. In the academic sector, a Form 13F filing with the U.S. SEC revealed that Harvard Management Company, which oversees a $56.9 billion endowment, held 6.8 million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) as of Sept. 30, a threefold increase from the previous quarter. Furthermore, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink reportedly stated at the New York Times DealBook Summit 2025 that multiple sovereign wealth funds have begun accumulating Bitcoin, according to Forbes. Korean banks advance crypto integrationThis shift toward institutional acceptance is also materializing within South Korea’s traditionally conservative banking sector. The Maeil Business Newspaper reported that Woori Bank recently became the first major South Korean lender to display real-time Bitcoin prices on its trading floor, allowing dealers to track the asset alongside equities and foreign exchange rates. Concurrently, Hana Financial Group announced a partnership with Dunamu, the operator of the Upbit exchange, to develop blockchain-based remittance services, according to The Korea Economic Daily. By leveraging Hana’s global network and Dunamu’s technology, the initiative aims to reduce settlement times and costs for cross-border payments. Hana intends to introduce the technology for transactions between its Korean offices and overseas branches as early as the first quarter of next year, with broader expansion planned as domestic regulations evolve. Hana intends to launch the service at overseas branches as early as the first quarter of next year, with gradual expansion planned as domestic regulations evolve. 

Upbit procures ISO 22301 certificationDunamu, the blockchain and fintech firm that operates South Korea’s largest crypto exchange Upbit, announced Wednesday (local time) that Upbit has obtained the ISO 22301 certification, an international standard for security and resilience that evaluates a company’s business continuity management system (BCMS) based on its ability to protect against and respond to disruptive events. The firm disclosed that it acquired the certification from the U.S. International Accreditation Service (IAS) on Nov. 6.Photo by John Salzarulo on UnsplashNavigating risk managementMore specifically, the ISO 22301 certification evaluates a company’s ability to maintain uninterrupted and stable business operations through the prevention, response and recovery in the event of accidents, man-made or natural disasters and more. It offers several benefits for companies, such as proof of compliance with legal requirements, which serves as a marketing advantage, and the prevention of large-scale damage.To obtain the certification, companies must prepare in advance for unexpected disruptions by analyzing the level of impact that such events can have on business operations and the amount of time needed to recover, then put relevant policies in place to facilitate recovery. To maintain the certification, enterprises must also undergo an annual follow-up audit and a renewal audit every three years.Commitment to business resilience“We obtained the certification to protect user assets and provide safe services that do not stop in the face of external influences,” Dunamu said, emphasizing its commitment to enhancing service reliability and protecting investors. “We will not stop our efforts to become the most trusted cryptocurrency exchange.”Upbit has previously acquired other ISO certifications, such as the ISO 27001 for information security; the ISO 27017 for information security in cloud computing; and the ISO 27701 for privacy management. The exchange also obtained ISMS-P in 2021, a certificate administered by Korea’s Ministry of Science and ICT and Personal Information Protection Commission for information security and personal information management.

China’s Legal Daily, a publication that falls under the supervision of the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) Central Commission for Political and Legal Affairs, has sounded an alarm regarding cryptocurrencies, raising concerns about their use as potential avenues for corruption. In the newspaper’s New Year’s Day edition, it quoted legal scholars, who had convened at the annual China Integrity and Legal Research Association meeting, who underscored the urgency of addressing the emerging threat posed by digital assets.Photo by Max van den Oetelaar on Unsplash‘Hidden channels’ for briberyIn particular, it focused on views expressed by Associate Professor Zhao Xuejun from Hebei University Law School. Zhao Xuejun warned against the use of virtual currency and electronic gift cards as “hidden channels” for bribery. Notably, these forms of payment, often stored in “cold storage” devices, offer a convenient means for transporting funds abroad, the academic claimed. This development aligns with recent warnings from state agencies, including the Supreme People’s Procuratorate and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, cautioning against the use of stablecoin Tether in yuan-related foreign exchange transactions, deeming such actions illegal. Anonymity and traceability concernsProfessor Mo Hongxian from Wuhan University Law School explicitly mentioned Bitcoin, highlighting the challenges associated with virtual currencies, such as their anonymity and difficulty in traceability, which can facilitate illegal activities. Despite lacking official recognition in China, Professor Hongxian stressed the need for judicial attention to transactions involving virtual currencies. Although China maintains a cryptocurrency ban, it actively explores blockchain technology for identity verification. The country’s central bank digital currency, e-CNY, still in the pilot stage, has witnessed significant development. Despite its limited geographic distribution, the digital yuan recorded transactions totaling nearly $250 billion in China as of June 2023, with international use noted in commodities sales. Varying degrees of enforcementChina has demonstrated that it can at times take a very hard line on restricting cryptocurrency trading and related activities, while at others, it seems to tolerate such activity or turn a blind eye. Last month China’s Supreme Procuratorate provided details on the nature of the prosecution of over-the-counter (OTC) crypto trader and RenrenBit founder, Zhao Dong. Zhao was handed down a seven year sentence for carrying out illicit crypto business operations. By contrast, an investigation carried out by the Wall Street Journal last year found that business has been thriving for the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance in China, despite the ban. Other crypto-related activity has been uncovered, flouting capital controls. BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes suggested recently that all wealthy Chinese individuals have access to banking in Hong Kong, allowing them to access, trade and use cryptocurrency. As part of the CCP’s intensified anti-corruption efforts, the focus on cryptocurrency’s potential role in financial crimes underscores the evolving landscape as use of digital currency unfolds. The Legal Daily article emphasizes the need for vigilance and regulatory measures to counteract the perceived threat of corruption facilitated by cryptocurrencies and electronic payment methods.