OKX scores payment institution license in Singapore

NFT Seoul Conference 2023 to Picture the Future of Digital InnovationArt Token, a South Korean company that operates non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace 2R2, has made an announcement regarding the upcoming NFT Seoul Conference 2023, scheduled to take place at COEX on September 1. This conference is poised to provide insights into the future trajectory of the ever-evolving digital landscape.According to a local news outlet, the event is co-hosted by Art Token, along with The Korea Herald, an English-language newspaper in Korea, and Soongsil University. Noteworthy support is also coming from Crypto.com, a crypto exchange headquartered in Singapore.Photo by Riza Gabriela on UnsplashNFTs as economic vehiclesHong Ji-sook, CEO of Art Token, shared the motivation behind orchestrating this NFT-focused conference. According to her, the event focuses on the future of NFTs, which are anticipated to serve as economic vehicles in the emerging Web3 digital ecosystem. Hong added that the conference is designed to provide strategic responses to the burgeoning concepts in the expansive digital realm such as decentralization, decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), and crypto rewards.Highlighting the pivotal role of NFTs in embracing necessary digital innovations across the domains of art and finance, she emphasized that the conference agenda will showcase sessions and programs that foster a dynamic exchange of ideas. This collaborative environment is anticipated to pave the way for novel opportunities and solutions that hold relevance across blockchain technology, the tech industry, and the artistic landscape.Web3, NFT art, and security tokensThe in-person conference will be structured around three main themes: Web3, NFT art, and security token offerings (STOs). The keynote speakers will delve into the future trends of NFTs and their potential in the Web3 era. They will also analyze the utilization and significance of NFTs in the realm of art. Lastly, the presenters will assess the current state of the Korean security token market and discuss the diverse industrial applications of security tokens. Meanwhile, visitors will have a chance to glean insights from other separate sessions that shed light on the evolving global landscape.

In a recent survey conducted by personal finance management solutions provider Seedly, together with global crypto exchange Coinbase, it was discovered that over 56% of Singaporeans currently own cryptocurrency, with nearly half expressing bullish sentiments regarding its future prospects over the 12 months of this year.Photo by Zhu Hongzhi on UnsplashFuture of financeTitled "The Pulse of Crypto Singapore Report," the study surveyed 2,006 Singaporean adults across various age groups and household incomes from October to November 2023. Survey participants were deemed to be “finance forward Singapore-based adults who have a strong interest in personal finance and investments.” It determined that 56% of respondents believe cryptocurrency represents the future of finance. Participants cited short-term profitability, long-term capital appreciation and portfolio diversification as key factors driving their optimism. The report’s authors speculate that this optimism is also due to the city-state’s approach to digital assets and the regulatory framework that has been put in place by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Yeap Ming Feng, head of marketing at Seedly, also attributed the optimism towards crypto to Singapore's vibrant Web3 ecosystem, which fosters collaboration among builders, investors and users. When selecting a crypto exchange for trading, crypto owners prioritize security, low fees, regulation and ease of use. Coinbase, one of the report’s facilitators, doubled down on its operations in Singapore in 2023, acquiring a Major Payment Institution (MPI) license from the Singaporean regulator, enabling it to expand its product offering. It extended its offering further last month when it launched USD transfers via SWIFT. Notably, the survey identified staking as the most prevalent use case for cryptocurrency in the city-state.  Non-crypto user concernsHowever, the study unveiled that non-crypto users harbor concerns about market volatility (57%), high risk (53%) and the absence of regulation (45%) in the crypto space. Singapore was disproportionately affected by the demise of a number of crypto platforms in 2022. An outsize number of citizens were caught up in the FTX collapse having utilized that crypto exchange instead of Binance, which had been prohibited from trading within the territory. Singapore was also home to failed crypto lenders such as Vauld and Hodlnaut, failed crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC) and UST stablecoin developer Terraform Labs. These high-profile crypto failures so close to home are unlikely to have put crypto skeptics at ease in Singapore where the consideration of risk relative to digital assets is concerned. That said, MAS is actively working towards implementing additional rules to safeguard Singaporean investors. Despite these reservations, the survey underscores a growing interest in and adoption of cryptocurrencies among the financially aware population in Singapore. This trend aligns with Singapore's commitment to remaining a leader in Asia for crypto readiness and supports the city-state's vision of becoming a global digital asset hub. The study also highlighted the progress that the crypto market in general made recently. Over the course of 2023, crypto market capitalization has gained momentum, from $829 billion at the outset of the year, culminating at $1.72 trillion towards the end of the year, according to a report by CoinGekco.

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three ScenariosRecently, concerns over a potential US default have heightened due to the ongoing disagreement between Republicans and Democrats in the US Congress regarding the necessity of increasing the debt ceiling. Democrats, along with the Biden administration, advocate for authorizing additional debt, while Republicans propose spending cuts.Considering the historical patterns observed in the US and the inherently political nature of this matter, it is improbable that the uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling raise will endure for an extended period. In the past, when faced with a similar situation in 2011, the debt ceiling was ultimately approved despite significant political divisions. Particularly with upcoming elections next year and escalating concerns of an economic downturn, it is likely that a resolution to the debt ceiling issue will be reached soon.In light of these circumstances, the economic research institute at one of South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Bithumb released a report that outlines three distinct scenarios depicting the potential unfolding of the debt ceiling issue in the US. Additionally, it has offered insights into the potential implications for Bitcoin under each scenario.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashBipartisan agreement to increase the debt ceilingIn the scenario where the debt ceiling is promptly raised as a result of a significant bipartisan agreement, the US is anticipated to adopt an expansionary fiscal policy by issuing government bonds to prevent a default. If a debt ceiling deal is reached, it is projected that short-term bond issuance will reach a net amount of $1.4 trillion by the end of the year. There is also a growing consensus that medium- and long-term bond issuance may commence in the third quarter. Additionally, the possibility of interest rate cuts as early as the second half of this year entered the equation. In the long term, this could potentially lead to a depreciation of the dollar as market liquidity increases, thereby weakening the currency. It is worth noting that historically, the value of Bitcoin tended to go up when market liquidity rises.Debt ceiling disagreement and delayed negotiationsAnother scenario entails the failure of the two parties to reach an agreement and a subsequent delay in approving a raise to the debt ceiling. Should the debt ceiling not be raised in a timely manner, the US would potentially encounter an unparalleled default on its debt obligations. This default could trigger a severe credit crunch, resulting from international credit downgrades and a weakened global standing for the US. Such circumstances would further escalate the risk of an economic crisis.As the negotiations on the debt limit continue to be delayed, there will be a prolonged period of uncertainty in both Treasury issuance and secondary markets. This uncertainty poses risks to money market funds (MMFs) that hold a significant portion of short-term Treasuries, potentially resulting in losses. Consequently, there could be a shift towards reverse repo (RRP) transactions as investors seek alternative avenues. In fact, Treasury liquidity has recently exhibited signs of deterioration, with MMFs and RRPs garnering considerable attention in the market.Heightened concerns regarding short-term Treasuries could lead to a higher volume of reverse repo trades compared to repo trades. Repo transactions use Treasuries as collateral, whereas reverse repo transactions involve depositing funds with the Fed or lending money to the Fed in exchange for collateral, which often includes Treasuries, thereby earning interest. In such a scenario, market liquidity could become trapped in the Fed, potentially rekindling risks within the banking system.Given their sensitivity to liquidity conditions, crypto markets are anticipated to experience a temporary decline. However, Bitcoin has exhibited a historical pattern of appreciating in value as an alternative to the US banking system, especially during instances of small and medium-sized bank failures. In the event of prolonged negotiations and an escalating risk of a US default, the demand for safe-haven assets like Bitcoin might surge. As a result, Bitcoin could gain favorability as investors seek refuge in alternative assets amidst uncertain market conditions.Linking debt ceiling increase to spending reductionThe last scenario involves a conditional agreement accompanied by measures aimed at reducing the deficit, as proposed by Republicans. Given the longstanding concerns surrounding excessive US deficits, any agreement to raise the debt ceiling would likely be contingent upon fiscal consolidation and spending cuts. Notably, as of March 31, 2023, the US federal deficit is approximately 8% of GDP, a figure comparable to the 8.3% average observed in 2011 when the possibility of a US default reached its peak.While fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure fiscal sustainability, unless the US significantly increases tax revenues, an increase in the debt ceiling may be negotiated at the expense of significant cuts to the national budget. In such a case, the US economy would inevitably experience the adverse effects of reduced government spending.The Republican party has put forth a demand of $4.8 trillion in deficit reduction over the next ten years as a condition for raising the debt ceiling. This figure translates to an average of $480 billion per year or approximately 1.8% of the current year’s GDP (as of May). However, it is important to note that in the medium to long term, reductions in government spending without complementary expansionary monetary policies have the potential to accelerate GDP decline. If Congress agrees to cuts in government spending, it could increase the probability of the Fed swiftly reversing its tightening policy. Unless the Fed halts its tightening measures, the likelihood of a US recession may become more pronounced.If the Fed decides to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated in response to the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Bitcoin, which is known to be more responsive to long-term monetary policy, might be able to overcome the short-term downturn and experience an upward trend.The authors contend that at present, market attention is primarily directed towards the matter of raising the debt ceiling, taking into account the potential risks of a US default and the possibility of a bond rating downgrade. However, they believe it is unlikely that US politicians will make radical decisions in the run-up to next year’s presidential election.While the issue of raising the debt ceiling will have a short-term impact, the report argues that the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price in the medium to long term will be the Fed’s monetary policy and the occurrence of Bitcoin’s halving event.It is important to note that there is a time lag between the end of the Fed’s tightening measures and the halving of Bitcoin. In the short term, the price trajectory of Bitcoin will likely be influenced by factors such as the potential failure of additional small and medium-sized US banks (which is concerning given recent outflows of US bank deposits) and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the delay in raising the debt ceiling. These factors will play a greater role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term performance.