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QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price Potential

Markets·August 16, 2023, 2:35 AM

Bitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Crucial price action time-frame

According to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.

QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.

 

Rally potential

The analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.

QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.

 

Macroeconomic trends

Turning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.

Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.

These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.

The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.

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Markets·

Mar 17, 2025

Report on Hong Kong’s fintech sector reveals solid blockchain growth

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Policy & Regulation·

Apr 08, 2025

Hong Kong establishes rules to enable crypto staking

Hong Kong regulator, the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC), has established guidelines for crypto staking service providers. That’s according to a statement published by the SFC to its website on April 7. The guidance is aimed at licensed virtual asset trading platforms (VATPs) and SFC-authorized funds with exposure to digital assets.Photo by Markus Winkler on UnsplashExpanding service offeringThe regulator points out that the guidance on staking falls in line with its recently announced “ASPIRe” roadmap, which is geared towards ensuring that the Chinese autonomous territory remains relevant in its efforts to maintain its status as a global hub for crypto businesses. Expanding product and service offerings within the crypto sector was one of the five pillars of that plan. Smoothing the way for the offering of staking works towards fulfilling that aspect of the ASPIRe plan. Written approvalIn this guidance, the SFC sets out that licensed service providers must obtain written approval from the regulator before any such product can be offered to investors in Hong Kong. That stipulation applies to both VATPs and authorized funds with digital asset exposure. Additionally, VATPs must retain control over staked assets, with no delegation in the custody of such assets to third parties permitted. In the case of authorized funds that include crypto assets, they must stake virtual asset holdings through licensed VATPs and other authorized institutions. Required disclosuresThe regulator has also stipulated that certain disclosures must be made by licensed exchanges to potential customers in respect of staking products. These include the disclosure of all associated risks, full transparency with regard to fees, minimum lock-up periods and custodial arrangements. Commenting on the provision of this guidance, SFC CEO Julia Leung said that the provision of a greater range of regulated services and products is crucial in order to sustain continued growth of Hong Kong’s virtual asset ecosystem. However, she added that any broadening of the range of services offered “must be done in a regulated environment where the safety of client virtual assets continues to be front and centre of the compliance framework for offering such service.”   The SFC outlined that it recognizes “the potential benefits of staking in enhancing the security of blockchain networks and allowing investors to earn yields on virtual assets within a regulated market environment.” The authorities in Hong Kong are not the only ones who recognize the benefits that the incorporation of staking within crypto investment products can bring. Last month, Robert Mitchnick, head of digital assets at the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, told the Digital Assets Summit in New York that Ether ETFs would benefit from the addition of staking.  Mitchnick suggested that the current inability to earn a staking yield within such products is a key limitation. He outlined that such a change is dependent upon relevant regulatory changes being implemented in the U.S. A more crypto-friendly climate in the U.S. since U.S. President Donald Trump took office has resulted in various lawsuits being dropped against companies like Coinbase related to the staking services that had been offered. A number of U.S. Ether ETF issuers, including Franklin Templeton, Grayscale and Bitwise, have put forward proposals to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to have staking included in these products.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

May 15, 2023

Taiwan’s Comma3 Ventures Raises $45M Crypto Fund

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