NVT Ratio Signals Overvalued BTC

Japanese blockchain infrastructure firm Soramitsu has been contracted by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to work on a pilot program for the digital Pakistani rupee. Pakistan originally announced its intention to pursue a central bank digital currency (CBDC) or digital rupee back in 2019. However, unlike other Asian nations such as China, Cambodia and Thailand, it has not taken much action to progress such a digital currency since then.SBP Governor Jameel Ahmad spoke at the Reuters NEXT Asia Summit in Singapore last month, outlining that the South Asian country was moving towards the establishment of a digital rupee and “building up [its] capacity” to launch it, and that a pilot project would be the next step. According to a report published by Nikkei Asia on Aug. 12, that pilot project is now underway.Photo by Hamid Roshaan on UnsplashCBDC specialistSoramitsu already has a wealth of experience in this field. In 2023, it signed a memorandum of understanding with the Laotian central bank to launch a proof-of-concept CBDC project, with the Tokyo-headquartered company going on to play a pivotal role in the issuance of Laos’ Digital Lao Kip.In Cambodia, it partnered with the National Bank of Cambodia to bring about the establishment of Bakong, Cambodia’s CBDC-like payment system. The company is also involved in CBDC projects in Papua New Guinea and the Solomon Islands, while spearheading a project aimed at enabling seamless cross-border payments among Asian countries. Japanese fundingIn the case of Pakistan’s pilot project, Soramitsu’s CBDC platform will facilitate the digital rupee while funding is being provided by the Global South Future-Oriented Co-Creation Project, an initiative from Japan’s Ministry of Economy that seeks to promote the formation of co-creation business models. Infrastructure, such as the internet and power, can be unstable in some parts of Pakistan. Consequently, the proposed CBDC will incorporate the ability for the user to transact with it using their smartphone, even if the phone doesn’t have an active internet connection. Digital transformationMasato Toriya, an associate professor at Tokyo University of Foreign Studies and an expert on Pakistan, outlined the behavioral change that would be required in getting Pakistanis in rural areas to use such a currency. He stated: “Many transactions in rural areas are cash-based, even for wage payments, and the rate of people with bank accounts is low."  However, cash-based systems have significant overheads, and it's thought that a CBDC could reduce such costs considerably. Last month, the Pakistan Institute of Development Economics published an article written by Dr. Ahmed Fraz, an assistant professor of finance with the organization, in which he claimed that the digital rupee pilot project is part of a “profound digital transformation” that Pakistan is moving towards.  Dr. Fraz asserted that a CBDC would enhance financial inclusion in Pakistan through the reduction of transaction fees, digitization of welfare payments and the financial inclusion of millions of unbanked citizens within the formal economy.He added that the digital rupee “is not intended to replace existing payment systems immediately but to complement platforms” and to modernize Pakistan’s financial architecture.

Rotonda, the operator of the Bithumb Burrito Wallet, has agreed to work with Swiss digital asset AI platform Smart Valor, according to South Korean news website Greenpost Korea. Burrito Wallet will adopt the features of Smart Valor’s Elonn.ai – a digital investment advisor that provides investors with AI-generated market news analysis and research for optimized investment. Photo by Shubham's Web3 on Unsplash"Our collaboration with Smart Valor, who was the main sponsor of our NextBlock blockchain conference last year, is significant. The company will serve as an ideal partner for us to lay out the blueprint of the global Web3 market together," said Max Shin, CEO of Burrito Wallet. Leading the European Web3 industryFounded in 2017, Smart Valor is a Swiss-based Web3 AI company and the first European digital asset platform to be listed on the NASDAQ First North Growth Market. It specializes in crypto AI market intelligence application programming interfaces (APIs), as well as investment platforms and crypto trading and custody infrastructure for banks, fintech firms and European investors. Global expansion and market access in South KoreaThrough the newest partnership, Burrito Wallet aims to provide high-quality investment services for users and contribute to the expansion of the Web3 ecosystem as a key partner for Smart Valor's global expansion. In particular, the collaboration will also serve as a bridgehead for Smart Valor's entry into South Korea. The firm’s VALOR token is currently listed exclusively on Bithumb among Korean cryptocurrency exchanges and will be supported for trading on Burrito Wallet, offering Korean users the opportunity to experience a more expanded Web3 market. To celebrate their cooperation, the two companies will be holding a Valor token trading event until Feb. 1. The first thousand Bithumb users to trade at least 30 Valor tokens during the event will receive an additional 30. Also, the first 2,000 users who sign up for Burrito Wallet and trade at least 30 tokens will receive 60 tokens for free.  "Starting with this event, we will not only expand the scope of our partnership with Smart Valor but also initiate various collaborative activities and develop features to ensure that Burrito Wallet is recognized as a unique Web3 wallet,” Shin added. Burrito Wallet has been accelerating efforts to expand overseas. The service recently increased its number of supported blockchain networks to 18 and entered global markets in Asia and Latin America.

The Japan Exchange Group (JPX), operator of the Tokyo and Osaka stock exchanges, is considering measures to curb the expansion of publicly listed digital-asset treasury (DAT) firms, according to sources speaking to Bloomberg. JPX is reportedly exploring various regulatory avenues, ranging from tightening backdoor listing rules to mandating new audits for applicable firms. Following recent scrutiny from the exchange, three Japanese public companies have suspended their cryptocurrency purchase plans since September. These firms were reportedly warned that pursuing crypto investment as a core strategy could restrict their ability to raise future capital. While JPX currently lacks binding regulations explicitly prohibiting listed companies from accumulating digital assets, a representative stated that the exchange is monitoring firms with potential governance and risk issues to protect the interests of shareholders and investors.Photo by Su San Lee on UnsplashMetaplanet responds to regulatory concernsFollowing the Bloomberg report, Metaplanet, a Japanese public company that has adopted a Bitcoin accumulation strategy similar to that of the American firm Strategy, issued a clarifying statement. The firm asserted that it "has not been subject to any regulatory actions or investigations by relevant authorities concerning our business operations." Metaplanet emphasized its willingness to engage in constructive dialogue with regulators should any inquiries arise. According to BitcoinTreasuries.net data, Metaplanet is currently Japan’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder and ranks fourth globally among public companies, trailing only Strategy, MARA Holdings, and XXI. The extent of the firm’s commitment to this strategy was highlighted by Shinpei Okuno, Metaplanet’s Head of IR and Capital Strategy, who shared the company’s holdings via X. Balance sheet data as of September 30, 2025, reveals that Bitcoin accounts for 99% of Metaplanet’s total assets, 542.7 billion yen out of 550.7 billion yen. Okuno noted that the company aims to maintain a balance sheet structure that supports the issuance of digital credits collateralized by its crypto holdings. Market performance and sector outlookThe stock performance of DAT firms highlights the market's reaction to these risks. According to Yahoo Finance data, Metaplanet’s share price has declined 40.29% over the past six months to 372 yen. This drop outpaces Bitcoin’s 8% decline over the same period. This downward pressure is visible across the broader DAT sector. Decrypt reported that Strategy's stock has fallen 50% from its July peak, while SharpLink, which invests in Ethereum, has dropped nearly 90%. Data from StrategyTracker indicates that the market-net-asset values (mNAVs) of these firms have slipped to near or below 1, reflecting depressed valuations. Analysts warn that low mNAVs complicate capital raising efforts, potentially forcing these firms to liquidate crypto holdings to cover operating expenses. At the same time, the analysts acknowledged possible tailwinds. Fakhul Miah, Managing Director at GoMining Institutional, told Decrypt that Bitcoin-oriented DATs generally outperform those investing in multiple, higher-risk crypto assets. He suggested that if U.S. economic data indicates easing inflation and the Federal Reserve cuts rates in December, Bitcoin could rally. Yaroslav Patsira, Fractional Director at CEX.IO, echoed this sentiment, noting that the outlook for DATs is tied closely to Bitcoin’s potential upside. Taking a longer-term view, Decrypt noted that despite the recent pullback, crypto-related equities have shown strong year-to-date (YTD) performance relative to the underlying asset. Galaxy Digital is up 73.4% and SharpLink 43.2% YTD, compared to Bitcoin’s 8.6% gain, suggesting the current correction is taking place within a broader uptrend. Japanese stablecoin push faces U.S. resistanceBeyond the equity markets, Japanese crypto initiatives are also encountering regulatory friction in the U.S. Decrypt reported that a coalition of small U.S. banks has formally objected to a bid by Connectia Trust, a proposed subsidiary of Sony Bank, to issue dollar-backed stablecoins in the U.S. Sony Group’s banking arm last month applied to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency for a national trust charter to facilitate these issuances. The Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) argues that the Japanese institution is attempting to exploit regulatory gaps to avoid the oversight applied to traditional banks, noting that Connectia’s stablecoin bears similarities to bank deposits. However, Kadan Stadelmann, CTO of Komodo Platform, offered a different view, telling Decrypt the concerns are “overstated and driven by big-bank interests.” As Connectia’s application undergoes U.S. regulatory review, it has once again exposed the underlying divide between established banking interests and crypto-native approaches to financial services, particularly around how stablecoin issuers should be overseen.