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Japan eyes crypto tax reform as macro headwinds pressure digital asset markets

Policy & Regulation·December 02, 2025, 6:37 AM

The Japanese government and ruling coalition have begun coordinating plans to introduce a flat 20% separate tax on cryptocurrency gains, based on a Dec. 1 report by Nikkei cited by CoinDesk Japan. The change is expected to be reflected in the 2026 tax reform outline.

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Lower crypto taxes, aligned with stocks

Under the proposal, income from crypto trading would be taxed in line with traditional financial instruments such as stocks. This would mark a notable decrease from the current regime, under which cryptocurrency gains are treated in principle as miscellaneous income, combined with salary and other earnings, and taxed on a comprehensive basis at rates that can climb to around 55% including local taxes.

 

Policymakers are reportedly treating the move toward separate taxation as contingent on the establishment of a stronger investor-protection framework through tighter regulation. The planned reforms are also seen as potentially laying the groundwork for the eventual domestic approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by crypto assets.

 

Market pullback deepens on policy signals

The more favorable tax outlook for investors came against a weaker market backdrop. According to CoinMarketCap, the total crypto market capitalization declined about 1.73% over the past 24 hours, extending a pullback that followed recent communications from the central banks of Japan and China.

 

In a Dec. 1 report by Reuters, Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that the central bank intended to consider the possibility of an interest-rate increase at its next policy meeting. His comments are interpreted as suggesting a potential shift toward higher rates in December, prompting concern that yen-funded carry trades could begin to be unwound. Such trades typically involve borrowing yen at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets, and their reversal can create pressure on broader asset markets.

 

In a separate weekend statement, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) restated that digital asset trading remains illegal in China and highlighted what it described as a renewed pickup in speculative crypto activity. The central bank also singled out stablecoins as a source of risk, pointing to concerns about fraud, money laundering, and unauthorized cross-border capital flows that could undermine Beijing’s efforts to maintain capital controls.

 

Against this policy backdrop, major cryptocurrencies moved in mixed directions. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin inched up around 1.02%, Ethereum declined about 0.86%, and XRP fell roughly 0.9%.

 

Analysts split amid weak market activity

Analysts and market commentators continued to diverge on the implications of the latest pullback. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggested on X that Bitcoin may be entering a deeper corrective phase similar to those seen in past bull markets. He cited historical instances of “exponential decay” and suggested the price could retrace toward $50,000 before potentially advancing to the $200,000–$250,000 range in the next rally cycle.

 

Author Robert Kiyosaki, known for “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” reiterated his preference for assets such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum in a Nov. 29 post on X, linking this stance to his view that the Japanese carry trade had effectively run its course. Roughly a week before that message, he had disclosed selling about $2.25 million worth of Bitcoin at around $90,000 per coin, noting that his initial purchase price had been close to $6,000.

 

By contrast, long-time Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff continued to argue in favor of precious metals. He contended that gold derives inherent value from industrial and commercial uses tied to its physical properties, including conductivity, ease of shaping, and resistance to corrosion, while maintaining that Bitcoin lacks practical utility and instead depends on investor belief.

 

SwanDesk CEO Jacob King, another skeptic of the asset, offered an even more pessimistic assessment. He said he did not expect Bitcoin to revisit its previous all-time high and characterized the current decline as the final bear market before the asset ultimately fades from relevance.

 

Shorter-term indicators have reinforced expectations for muted trading conditions. According to CNBC, Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl pointed to a decline in open interest for perpetual futures, interpreting it as a sign of reduced speculative positioning and leverage. He also highlighted relatively subdued trading volumes on both centralized and decentralized exchanges, suggesting that near-term market activity is likely to remain restrained.

 

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Mar 05, 2025

Silver lining for Bybit with UAE trading license approval

After being targeted in a $1.4 billion hack, the global crypto exchange platform Bybit was awarded in-principle approval to establish itself as a Virtual Asset Platform Operator (VAPO) within the United Arab Emirates (UAE). While Bybit announced the milestone via a press release published on Feb. 27, the approval had been awarded on Feb. 18, three days before the platform was hacked.Photo by Saj Shafique on UnsplashRegulatory challengesIn addition to the recent exploit, the crypto exchange platform had been having difficulties on the regulatory front in recent months, and from that perspective, this licensing award is a welcome development. Last December, the Malaysian Securities Commission reprimanded the platform and its CEO, Ben Zhou, for carrying out digital asset trading activities in Malaysia without having obtained the necessary licensing. Consequently, the firm left the Malaysian market, promising to return once it had obtained the required licenses. For similar reasons, Bybit left the Indian market in January, citing a need to “operate in full compliance” with local regulations. The company said that it was working with the regulator to finalize its registration as a Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) in India. The platform also experienced difficulties in complying with the recently introduced Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) regulation in Europe. However, it has been working with regulators in Austria in an effort to acquire MiCA licensing. Consequently, the French regulator, Autorité des Marchés Financiers, removed the firm from its blacklist. Earlier this month, Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) ordered Apple and Google to remove the apps of a number of unregistered crypto platforms, including Bybit, from the Japanese versions of their app stores.  Commenting on this recent achievement in the UAE, Ben Zhou stated: “This approval marks a crucial step in our journey to providing secure and transparent crypto trading solutions. Bybit remains dedicated to working hand-in-hand with regulators to foster a compliant and innovative digital asset ecosystem to both retail and institutional investors in the UAE.” Hack falloutIt’s unclear to what extent the recent hack, which is understood to be one of the largest thefts of any kind, may be diverting resources and focus away from the efforts the company was making to address regulatory issues globally. However, it’s reasonable to assume that recent events make for a challenging time for the company. On Feb. 26, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) in the United States said that North Korea was responsible for the hack. The agency warned exchanges to freeze transactions linked to the stolen funds. The FBI outlined that “TraderTraitor” actors have been converting the funds to Bitcoin and other digital assets in an effort to launder the funds and eventually extract the funds in fiat currency. North Korea’s Lazarus hacking group has gained notoriety for its successes in hacking crypto platforms and the sophisticated nature of the attacks mounted in the process. The group is suspected of having hacked the Indian crypto platform WazirX last year, which resulted in the theft of $235 million in digital assets.

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Policy & Regulation·

May 26, 2023

Silence From Multichain’s Chinese Developers Stokes Fear

Silence From Multichain’s Chinese Developers Stokes FearA prolonged silence from the project leadership behind Multichain, a cross-chain routing network, is causing growing concern among the users of the cross-chain protocol. The network currently holds $1.5 billion in total value locked (TVL).The protocol has experienced five days of stuck transactions, and multiple cross-chain bridge pathways, including Kava, zkSync, and Polygon zkEVM are still offline. Initially, the project’s China-based team attributed the issues to an upgrade that was being fixed. That explanation was changed recently to an ambiguous “force majeure,” leaving users with more questions than answers.Photo by Santiago Lacarta on UnsplashPossible arrests in ChinaAdding to the uncertainty are rumors circulating on Twitter that the core leadership team may have been arrested in China. Although the rumors remain unconfirmed, they have contributed to the growing sense of unease within the community. DJ Qian, one of the co-founders of Multichain who is no longer involved with the project, took to Twitter to share his attempts to seek clarification. Qian mentioned reaching out to Multichain CEO Zhaojun and founding partner Xu Guochang for technical assistance. When asked about Zhaojun’s availability, Qian stated that he was “not available yet.”Users and investors eagerly await updates and clarity from Multichain’s leadership team. However, the team’s lack of communication extends across various forms of social media. In group Telegram messages with the Multichain team, there have been no responses from Zhaojun, and direct messages through the same app have gone unanswered as well. This silence has left the community members puzzled, with little information to rely on.$MULTI price plummetsMeanwhile, the price of Multichain’s native token, $MULTI, has continued to decline. It currently stands at $4.37, representing a 20% decrease over the past 24 hours. The lack of communication and uncertainty surrounding the project have likely contributed to this downward trend in token price. Over the course of the past seven days, the token has decreased in price by 45%.In response to the situation, layer 1 blockchain project Conflux Network has taken precautionary measures by suspending Multichain’s co-mint privileges. This move prevents Multichain from minting tokens on the Conflux blockchain. The Conflux Network has also assured users that it will work with them in case any losses arise due to the ongoing issues.Flight to safetyOther projects and individuals have also reacted to the silence from Multichain’s team. Hong Kong-based HashKey Group, a crypto investment firm, has transferred $250,000 to crypto exchange Gate.io as a precautionary measure. Tron founder Justin Sun has withdrawn 470,000 of the $USDD stablecoin from the Multichain protocol. These actions reflect a growing concern among stakeholders, representing their efforts to mitigate potential risks associated with the uncertainty surrounding Multichain.Furthermore, the Fantom Foundation has withdrawn $2.4 million in liquidity of the protocol’s native $MULTI tokens from the decentralized exchange SushiSwap. It later tweeted out an update stating that the Fantom-Multichain bridge was operating as normal. These withdrawals signal a loss of confidence in Multichain and its native token, as stakeholders seek to protect their investments.As the silence persists, users and investors remain anxious for updates and clarifications from Multichain’s leadership team. The lack of communication and the circulating rumors have cast a shadow of uncertainty over the project, leaving stakeholders in a state of limbo.

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Policy & Regulation·

Jan 16, 2024

United Nations report cites popularity of USDT for fraud in Southeast Asia

USDT, the leading U.S. dollar stablecoin issued by Tether, has been highlighted as a major conduit for money laundering and scams in Southeast Asia, according to a United Nations report released on Monday.Photo by Mathias Reding on UnsplashIllicit stablecoin useThe report has been titled “Casinos, Money Laundering, Underground Banking, and Transnational Organized Crime in East and Southeast Asia: A Hidden and Accelerating Threat.” It points out that online gambling platforms, particularly those operating illicitly, are among the favored channels for cryptocurrency-based money launderers, with a notable emphasis on the use of Tether or USDT. In a foreword to the report, Jeremy Douglas, the UN’s Regional Representative for Southeast Asia and the Pacific, noted that technology had aided crime networks in Asia, and in particular, the Mekong Delta region. Developing upon that idea, he added:”This has necessitated a revolution in the regional underground banking architecture, resulting in the development of systems and infrastructure capable of moving and laundering massive volumes of state-backed fiat and cryptocurrencies.”The report itself asserts that illegal and under-regulated crypto exchanges have become “foundational pieces of the banking architecture used by organized crime.” The document highlights law enforcement efforts in disrupting multiple money laundering networks linked to the illicit transfer of Tether funds. Last August, Singaporean authorities dismantled a network through an operation, recovering approximately $735 million in both cash and cryptocurrency. ‘Pig butchering’The UN report further suggests that USDT has been extensively employed in various underground fraud activities, including so-called "pig butchering" romantic scams. Last November, Tether froze $225 million in stolen USDT following investigations by Tether in collaboration with crypto exchange OKX and the U.S. Department of Justice. The money had been held in self-custodied wallets associated with an international human trafficking group in Southeast Asia orchestrating a pig-butchering scam. In December, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino informed U.S. legislators in a shared letter that the company has enlisted the U.S. Secret Service and Federal Bureau of Investigation onto its platform. Later that month, the Chinese authorities uncovered a massive underground banking operation that was designed to evade the country’s foreign exchange controls. There was more related activity in December when it emerged that USDT has been integrated into the shadow economy in Cambodia, against a backdrop of the currency being prohibited for the purpose of trade within the Southeast Asian country. TRM Labs reportIn July of last year, a report by blockchain analytics firm TRM Labs, found that pro-ISIS terrorist groups in Central and Southeast Asia and the Middle East are increasingly using cryptocurrency, with a particular preference for USDT transacted over the Tron blockchain network. The UN report cites the popularity of USDT among those engaged in cyber-fraud and online casino operations, located in Myanmar, along the border with Thailand. Throughout 2023, Tether witnessed a notable expansion in its share of the global stablecoin supply, growing from 50% to 71%. At the time of writing, USDT has a market cap of $95 billion with stablecoins having an overall market capitalization of $134 billion. The UN's findings raise concerns about the stablecoin's role in facilitating illicit activities and underscore the need for enhanced regulatory scrutiny within the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

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