Institutional support expected to cushion crypto volatility, analyst says
Despite ongoing fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, analysts suggest that sustained institutional activity is likely to underpin a near-term rebound. As Bitcoin recovered above $90,000 on Dec. 5, market observers began weighing potential risks against growing evidence of corporate and sovereign adoption.Photo by Austin Hervias on UnsplashStructural risks seen as limitedAccording to South Korean news outlet Etoday, Hong Sung-wook, a researcher at NH Investment & Securities, said that the recent slump in both Bitcoin and Strategy stock may weigh on shareholders but does not fundamentally threaten the company’s solvency. He noted that concerns that typically emerge during Bitcoin downturns seldom reflect new underlying risks. Addressing the potential removal of Strategy from the MSCI index, pending review results expected by Jan. 15, Hong indicated that the impact would likely be limited, as the firm has already exhausted its capacity to make additional Bitcoin purchases. However, he cautioned that prolonged share price weakness could force companies to reevaluate digital asset treasury (DAT) models. Such a shift, he warned, could trigger corporate sell-offs that would burden the broader market. Hong also addressed concerns related to stablecoins and future technology. Despite S&P Global Ratings assigning Tether its lowest grade of "weak," Hong observed that the issuer maintains reserves exceeding the USDT in circulation, rendering a mass withdrawal crisis unlikely. Regarding the threat of quantum computing, he argued that the timeline remains uncertain and that the Bitcoin network could mitigate future risks through consensus-driven protocol upgrades. Policy moves may offer market tailwindsLooking ahead, the analyst identified several constructive developments that could bolster the market, including the potential passage of a U.S. crypto market structure bill early next year. He also pointed to the anticipated nomination of Kevin Hassett as Federal Reserve Chair by President Trump. Hassett is expected to favor interest rate cuts, creating a potentially favorable macro environment. Additionally, Vanguard’s decision to permit the trading of select third-party crypto ETFs and mutual funds was cited as significant, given the asset manager’s historically conservative stance on digital assets. While the market has shifted into a broader risk-off mode, institutional demand for Bitcoin has continued to build, including activity that began well before the recent pullback. The Czech central bank recently established a $1 million test portfolio comprising Bitcoin, a USD stablecoin, and a tokenized deposit to research payment futures, though it clarified that it does not currently plan to add digital assets to its international reserves. In the academic sector, a Form 13F filing with the U.S. SEC revealed that Harvard Management Company, which oversees a $56.9 billion endowment, held 6.8 million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) as of Sept. 30, a threefold increase from the previous quarter. Furthermore, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink reportedly stated at the New York Times DealBook Summit 2025 that multiple sovereign wealth funds have begun accumulating Bitcoin, according to Forbes. Korean banks advance crypto integrationThis shift toward institutional acceptance is also materializing within South Korea’s traditionally conservative banking sector. The Maeil Business Newspaper reported that Woori Bank recently became the first major South Korean lender to display real-time Bitcoin prices on its trading floor, allowing dealers to track the asset alongside equities and foreign exchange rates. Concurrently, Hana Financial Group announced a partnership with Dunamu, the operator of the Upbit exchange, to develop blockchain-based remittance services, according to The Korea Economic Daily. By leveraging Hana’s global network and Dunamu’s technology, the initiative aims to reduce settlement times and costs for cross-border payments. Hana intends to introduce the technology for transactions between its Korean offices and overseas branches as early as the first quarter of next year, with broader expansion planned as domestic regulations evolve. Hana intends to launch the service at overseas branches as early as the first quarter of next year, with gradual expansion planned as domestic regulations evolve.
