TRYB Emerges as Turkish Alternative to Dollar-Pegged Stablecoins

QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price PotentialBitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashCrucial price action time-frameAccording to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.Rally potentialThe analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.Macroeconomic trendsTurning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.

Amid the ongoing cryptocurrency market slowdown, a South Korean analyst said a rebound will hinge on effective policy measures and sustainable business models.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashAnalyst urges policy and profitabilityAccording to an analysis by iM Securities researcher Yang Hyun-kyung, cited by local outlet Etoday, the current downturn stems from several factors: a liquidity crunch in short-term funding markets, a strengthening U.S. dollar, rising risk aversion, and a prevailing narrative of a cyclical correction. Yang noted that a strong dollar typically drains market momentum, as tighter global liquidity prompts investors to deleverage and reduce exposure to risk assets. He added that growing uncertainty over potential U.S. rate cuts in December has further fueled risk aversion among institutional investors, putting selling pressure on both major cryptocurrencies and altcoins. While the expected resolution of the U.S. government shutdown may create a more favorable environment for a modest technical rebound, Yang argued that the crypto sector still needs to develop profitable business models and gain growth momentum through supportive policy measures. Brokerage frames crypto as diversifierDespite the current headwinds, another Korean brokerage firm released a quarterly report framing digital tokens as an emerging alternative asset class. According to Etoday, Hanwha Investment & Securities CEO Jang Byung-ho wrote in the report that the primary goal of retail investment is to preserve purchasing power. He drew a parallel to the U.S. market in the 1980s, when bond investors would have seen their returns erode had they failed to recognize equities as a viable investment vehicle. Citing that lesson, Jang suggested investors consider digital assets as a new pillar for portfolio diversification. Diverging approaches from global central banksThese evolving viewpoints on crypto come against a complex global macroeconomic backdrop. From one perspective, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has begun quantitative easing (QE). Otavio Costa, a macro strategist at Crescat Capital, shared a chart on X showing that the value of the PBOC’s balance sheet assets is on track to surpass that of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Costa predicted the Fed would soon follow suit, stressing that investors are underexposed to hard assets. This potential easing contrasts with speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise interest rates next month. One BOJ board member noted at a recent policy meeting that most conditions for a hike have already been met and added that a move is likely once wage negotiations scheduled for spring point to sustained pay growth, as long as the global economy avoids major disruptions. These diverging policy directions have mixed implications for the crypto market. Typically, dovish measures like QE are seen as supportive, as increased liquidity tends to boost risk appetite. Rate hikes, by contrast, withdraw liquidity from the system, limiting the upside for risk assets like digital tokens. As economic conditions evolve and the industry adapts, investors will be watching closely to see how these shifts shape the market’s next moves. 

The Inland Revenue Board (IRB) of Malaysia has launched an operation, which has been dubbed as “Ops Token,” to tackle tax evasion within crypto trading circles in the southeast Asian nation. Klang Valley raids According to the Malaysian English language newspaper, The Star, the special operation is a coordinated effort involving the Royal Malaysia Police and CyberSecurity Malaysia (CSM) alongside the IRB. The Malaysian tax authority raided ten locations, with 38 personnel involved in the raids, which were carried out within the Klang Valley region. The main objective of the raids and the operation overall, is to identify crypto corporate entities and individuals that had failed to report trading activities and therefore, associated revenues, profits and taxes. The initiative aligns with the Malaysian government’s broader strategy of stamping out tax evasion across all sectors, reducing revenue leakage and optimizing the nation’s tax take.Photo by Esmonde Yong on UnsplashStern warning for traders Datuk Abu Tariq Jamaluddin, CEO of the IRB, issued a stern warning to crypto traders: declare and pay taxes or face compliance actions. Jamaluddin clarified that crypto traders are subject to the same income tax rules that are applied to businesses across various sectors throughout Malaysia. While cryptocurrency is not regarded as legal tender by Malaysia’s central bank, crypto-centric businesses must adhere to the nation's income tax regulations. The IRB commented on the operation via a statement published on June 15. It stated: "Through this operation, it was possible to find stored cryptocurrency trading data in mobile devices and computers. We have successfully identified the digital assets that are traded, which has caused significant tax revenue leakage." The agency intends to carry out further analysis on the data that it seized in a bid to ascertain the trading revenues generated, the profits derived from that trading activity and the taxes owed as a consequence. The IRB has asserted that a number of corporate entities and partnerships were specifically formed with the purpose of tax evasion. The agency estimates the total value of crypto-related transactions to date in 2024 to amount to 1.441 trillion Malaysian ringgits, approximately $310 billion. International enforcement efforts Malaysia is not alone in its efforts to ensure tax compliance relative to cryptocurrency trading and investing. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has established a set of crypto tax rules, namely the Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF). The initiative is part of an effort to achieve a Common Reporting Standard (CRS) relative to crypto on an international basis, with OECD member states transposing the CARF into domestic law. The CARF is due to go live in 2027. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) maintains that crypto presents itself as a major headache for tax authorities globally. In a research paper published last year, it outlined that countries would need to update their tax systems in order to deal with the challenge that crypto presents with the potential for a leakage in tax revenues. In the United States, an Internal Revenue Service (IRS) official stated in December 2023 that the agency has seen an increase in its caseload relative to crypto tax cases.