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Report: Can Bitcoin Replace Gold As a Safe Asset?

Markets·April 24, 2023, 9:07 AM

In light of the substantial increase in Bitcoin (BTC) prices this year, a report from KB Financial Group in South Korea examined the potential for BTC to replace gold as a safe asset.

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The study delves into the factors behind the recent BTC price surge and emphasizes the need for caution when considering BTC as an alternative to traditional safe assets.

 

3 drivers behind BTC surge

From January 1 to March 31 this year, BTC experienced an impressive return of 71%. This surge can be attributed to three main factors: an anticipated increase in liquidity due to market expectations of unchanged or falling interest rates; central banks supplying liquidity to mitigate risks in the traditional banking system; and concerns over the potential delisting of cryptocurrencies should the US court’s decision on the Ripple-SEC case classify XRP, Ripple’s native token, as securities, prompting investors to shift their focus to BTC.

The report suggests that the current BTC boom is more likely a result of short-term arbitrages and social conformity, given the greater information asymmetry in the crypto market, which lacks the disclosure system present in traditional stock markets.

 

Persisting risk factors

Last month, blockchain tracker Whale Alert spotted a transfer of 11,125 BTC from an anonymous address to Binance. The primary reason for moving assets from a private address to an exchange address is to sell them, indicating that investors should keep a watchful eye on Bitcoin trading volumes, particularly for any signs of large sell-offs.

Data from the crypto data analysis platform Glassnode revealed that the percentage of the BTC supply that was active over a year ago reached an all-time high of 68% in late March. Historically, such an increase has been associated with falling BTC prices.

This year, the BTC supply is set to grow due to the US government’s liquidation of seized BTC. As detailed in a March 31 Cointelegraph article, the US government seized 51,352 BTC in a case related to Ross Ulbricht, the creator of the online black market Silk Road. The government has already sold 9,861 BTC, with the remaining amount expected to be liquidated in four additional portions throughout the year.

Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, has been struggling to find banks in the US to store client funds after crypto-friendly banks Silvergate and Signature closed their doors.

 

Need for caution

Although various media sources often portray BTC as a safe asset, the report advises caution in accepting these claims. Although some liken BTC to “digital gold,” the two assets share little in common beyond their finite and scarce nature. In fact, gold and BTC diverge significantly in terms of social consensus, intrinsic value, price volatility, and investor protection.

Gold serves as a highly liquid asset with applications in both jewelry and industrial goods, in addition to its role as an investment vehicle. In contrast, BTC’s intrinsic value is still debatable. The price volatility of BTC is also a concern, as evidenced by its 71% spike in the first quarter of 2023, compared to gold’s modest 8% increase. Additionally, gold investment products are regulated by law, whereas BTC is not. The report thus recommends treating BTC as a high-risk product and incorporating it into a diverse investment portfolio.

It is worth noting that since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the crypto market has demonstrated a stronger correlation with the global stock market in response to negative signals. This trend can be partially attributed to the growing presence of institutional investors in the crypto market, who often sell risky assets first to secure liquidity in the face of unexpected shocks.

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Policy & Regulation·

Aug 23, 2023

Chinese Official Gets Life Sentence on Crypto Mining-Related Corruption Charges

Chinese Official Gets Life Sentence on Crypto Mining-Related Corruption ChargesA former Chinese government official, Xiao Yi, has been handed a life sentence for engaging in illicit business activities connected to a $329 million Bitcoin mining venture, together with other unrelated acts of corruption, according to Cointelegraph.The Intermediate People’s Court of Hangzhou City declared the verdict on Tuesday, finding Xiao Yi guilty of corruption and abuse of power.Yi, previously associated with the Jiangxi Provincial Political Consultative Conference Party Group and holding the position of Vice Chairman, faced charges stemming from a range of offenses. The corruption allegations dated back to 2008 and extended till 2021, involving instances of bribery.Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashAdditional abuse of power chargesSimultaneously, the abuse of power accusations spanned from 2017 to 2021 and centered around providing financial and electricity incentives to Jiumu Group Genesis Technology, a company headquartered in Fuzhou that once managed over 160,000 Bitcoin mining machines.Prosecutors contended that Yi took deliberate steps to conceal the extent of the mining operation. He was said to have directed relevant departments to falsify statistical reports and manipulate electricity consumption classifications. During the period between 2017 and 2020, the energy consumption attributed to Jiumu amounted to 10% of Fuzhou’s overall electricity usage.Moreover, Xiao Yi’s involvement in facilitating crypto mining activities as a Party Secretary of Fuzhou city between 2017 and 2021 led to significant losses to public property, national interests, and people’s interests. This underscores the broader consequences associated with his actions and their impact on the community.The court ruling disclosed: “Yi pleaded guilty and repented, actively returned the stolen funds, and all the bribes and their profits have been seized.”Crypto mining and trading prohibitionIn the context of China’s current cryptocurrency regulatory stance, all forms of cryptocurrency transactions, exchange operations, and fiat-to-crypto onboarding, together with crypto mining, are prohibited. However, direct ownership of cryptocurrencies is not explicitly banned. In a recent development on August 3, a Chinese court declared a $10 million Bitcoin lending contract null and void based on the nation’s Bitcoin restrictions, without the possibility of legal debt recovery.Another incident on August 14 led to the sentencing of a Chinese national to nine months in prison for facilitating the acquisition of Tether (USDT) by an acquaintance, earning a profit from the transaction.Xiao Yi’s case reflects the Chinese government’s ongoing efforts to enforce its stringent stance on cryptocurrency-related activities, including Bitcoin mining, which has garnered increasing attention due to its energy consumption and potential economic implications.Bitcoin mining was outlawed in China in 2021. Many of its miners left the country, establishing operations in places like Kazakhstan and in North America. However, it’s understood that there is still a significant level of mining activity ongoing in China despite the ban.The life sentence serves as a stark warning against illegal Bitcoin mining and financial misconduct, aligning with the Chinese government’s intention to maintain control over its financial sector and prevent unauthorized financial activities. The detailed revelations about Yi’s role in facilitating crypto mining activities highlight the broader implications of his actions on the public and national interests.

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Policy & Regulation·

Sep 13, 2023

Korean National Assembly Members’ Crypto Holdings to Undergo Investigation

Korean National Assembly Members’ Crypto Holdings to Undergo InvestigationThe Anti-Corruption and Civil Rights Commission of Korea (ACRC) has announced that it has convened a special investigative team to conduct an investigation into the virtual asset dealings of members of the 21st National Assembly, particularly details on acquisition, trading, and losses.Photo by Mediamodifier on UnsplashComing under scrutinyThe National Assembly passed a resolution back in May titled “The Resolution on Voluntary Reporting and Investigation of Virtual Assets of National Assembly Members,” requesting that all members of the Assembly should voluntarily report the status and changes in their holdings of virtual assets for a thorough investigation by the ACRC amid public concern about conflicts of interest and illegal transactions.As a result, individual consent forms for the collection, use, and third-party provision of personal information were submitted to the ACRC last Monday by Assembly members of the ruling and opposition parties.Other minor political parties like the Justice Party, Basic Income Party, and Transition Korea Party that had previously submitted their personal information consent forms have resubmitted their forms in accordance with the format of those submitted by the ruling and opposition parties. Independent lawmakers and some non-negotiation bodies have also voluntarily submitted forms of their own.Extensive legal probeThe scope of the investigation includes the domestic acquisition, trading, and losses of virtual assets by Assembly members starting from the beginning of their term on May 30, 2020, to May 31, 2023, when their personal information consent forms were submitted. The ACRC will compare this information with reports formerly filed by the members themselves.The ACRC appointed Vice Chairman and Secretary General Jung Seung-yoon as the head of the team and assigned some 30 investigators to carry out a census for 90 days starting on September 18. It will be executed under the Act On The Prevention Of Corruption And The Establishment And Management Of The Anti-Corruption and Civil Rights Commission and the Personal Information Protection Act.“As this is an important matter of public interest, we will conduct the investigation promptly and fairly in accordance with the law and guidelines,” said Jung. “We will also strictly protect the data acquired during the investigation process, including the personal information consent forms.”

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Aug 04, 2023

Nomura’s Laser Ventures Invests in Singapore’s Solv Protocol

Nomura’s Laser Ventures Invests in Singapore’s Solv ProtocolSolv Protocol, a Singapore-based DeFi startup, has revealed a significant stride forward with a $6 million funding round, drawing support from Laser Digital, the digital asset subsidiary of Japanese global financial services conglomerate Nomura.The project team provided details on the funding round via a blog post published to its website earlier this week. Accompanying Laser Digital in the funding round, Singapore’s UOB Venture Management also participated, alongside investors such as Matrix Partners, Bing Ventures, Mirana Ventures, Apollo Capital, Bytetrade Labs, and others.Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on Unsplash$14 million cumulative fundingThis injection raises its cumulative funding to an impressive $14 million. The innovative Solv Protocol has been developed to facilitate on-chain fund management within the realm of public blockchains.Delving into the intricacies of the Solv asset management protocol, Olivier Dang, COO of Nomura Securities’ wholesale digital office, expanded on its transformative potential, stating: “Solv has built a trustless institutional DeFi platform integrating brokers, underwriters, market makers, and custodians to create the first fund infrastructure on the blockchain to bridge DeFi, CeFi, and TradFi liquidity.”$100 million in trading volumeSolv Protocol is a DeFi infrastructure project that enables users to create and trade financial NFTs. The protocol concerns itself largely with ERC-3525, an Ethereum standard for semi-fungible tokens, the characteristics of which lend themselves well for financial use cases.At the heart of Solv’s business model lies a unique mechanism. Any fund utilizing its solution inherently allocates a portion of its assets under management. Inaugurated in the second quarter of this year, Solv has already facilitated over $100 million in trading volume.Semi-fungible token innovationThe origins of Solv are rooted in the pursuit of an optimal Ethereum token standard for effective fund management. Dissatisfied with existing standards, the founders, primarily Chinese technologists, forged an innovative path. Traditional ERC-20 fungible tokens weren’t deemed suitable due to the need for a new smart contract token for every customization. Similarly, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) posed limitations, being intrinsically designed as individual units not readily divisible, which is essential for issuing shares in a fund. The security token standard, ERC-1400, didn’t quite align either.Thus, Solv birthed the semi-fungible token through the development of ERC-3525, a groundbreaking solution to its unique challenge.While larger asset managers like Franklin Templeton and Ondo Finance have adhered to fungible tokens, a growing trend is emerging in the traditional asset management sector — a movement toward blockchain integration. UK-based Abrdn recently introduced a fund on the Hedera DLT network, while industry giant Schroders is exploring blockchain tokenization under Singapore’s Project Guardian initiative.It’s been an eventful week for Nomura’s Laser Digital. Alongside news of this investment, the company also announced its recent acquisition of a license from Dubai’s Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (VARA). This regulatory green light bolsters its presence in the global digital asset sector.Nomura’s Laser Digital is amplifying its presence within the blockchain and digital asset domain, marking its sixth such investment within this year alone. Meanwhile, projects like Solv Protocol are pushing the boundaries of innovation through the development of semi-fungible tokens, extending the use cases of blockchain technology as it does so.

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