Positive market sentiment ahead of Bitcoin halving

Blockchain technology and digital assets feature strongly in a fintech ecosystem report carried out by InvestHK, an agency within Hong Kong’s government responsible for foreign direct investment.Photo by Shubham Dhage on UnsplashGrowing fintech sectorThe recently published report, identified that as of July 2024, there were 175 blockchain application/software firms located in Hong Kong. In the area of cryptocurrency and digital assets, it identified the presence of 111 firms, while there were 122 payment and remittance firms. All in all, the report found that in excess of 1,100 fintech firms had been established in Hong Kong as of mid-2024. It highlights the fact that the sector has seen robust growth in Hong Kong in recent years, while making the point that this has come about in part due to “substantial resources” having been committed by the Hong Kong government to enable such growth within the local fintech sector. The report cites data from a study carried out by DataCube Research, which projects that the fintech market within the Chinese autonomous territory will reach $606 billion by 2032. This forecast incorporates an expectation of an annual growth rate of 28.5% over the course of the next eight years. As well as forecasting further growth for the fintech sector in general in Hong Kong, the InvestHK report also foresees artificial intelligence, blockchain and distributed ledger technology (DLT) and digital assets contributing to that growth. 250% blockchain startup growthThe research identifies that since 2022, there has been a 250% increase in the total number of blockchain-related startups that are located within the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR). The number of crypto and digital asset firms based in Hong Kong has grown by 30% during the same period.  Finding talentIn formulating this report, InvestHK surveyed 130 local fintech firms. One challenge that was identified through that process is the need for the appropriate talent to be in place in order to secure projected growth rates over the coming years. Hong Kong is having to compete on a global basis for appropriate fintech talent, with almost 60% of the companies surveyed by InvestHK suggesting that this is a major challenge. Taking cryptocurrencies as a key component for future growth, last year’s Bitcoin price surge led to a crypto hiring boom with some of the large global fintech companies actively hiring crypto talent.  Other centers such as Singapore are taking measures to attract that talent. Access to capital was another area of concern, with 44% of respondents indicating it as an area of difficulty. In an interview with English-language newspaper China Daily recently, Brian Ah-Chuen, managing director of ABC Banking Corp., said that InvestHK has been aggressive in its approach to certain initiatives. He said that the agency has been successful in drawing capital and talent from around the world to Hong Kong.

Gemini Targets UAE Crypto LicenseGemini, the US-headquartered cryptocurrency exchange owned by the Winklevoss twins, has announced its intention to obtain a cryptocurrency service license in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The move comes as the exchange seeks to navigate the perceived “hostility and lack of clarity” surrounding cryptocurrency regulations in the United States.In a blog post published on Wednesday, Gemini highlighted the growing interest in cryptocurrencies among UAE citizens and referred to positive interactions with UAE regulators as driving factors behind its pursuit of the license. The co-CEOs of Gemini, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, explained in an interview with The National that their decision was influenced by the challenges they faced with crypto regulation in the US. Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss expressed optimism about the regulatory environment in the UAE, stating:“We’ve been super encouraged with our conversations here with the regulators. There’s an effort to make the UAE a home and a hub for crypto and, most importantly, to enact thoughtful regulation that connects, that protects both consumers, but also a company’s ability to innovate.”Photo by Nextvoyage on PexelsAbu Dhabi or Dubai — or bothAs of now, the Winklevoss twins have not yet determined the specific location for Gemini’s operations in the UAE. They hinted that the exchange’s headquarters could be established in both Abu Dhabi and Dubai, reflecting the potential for growth and development in both cities.Gemini’s decision to pursue a crypto license in the UAE underscores the country’s growing importance in the cryptocurrency industry. With its efforts to create a favorable regulatory environment and attract crypto-related businesses, the UAE aims to position itself as a crypto hub while safeguarding the interests of both consumers and innovators.Discouraging US outlookAccording to Gemini’s Global State of Crypto Report, which provides insights into cryptocurrency adoption and usage, more than 35% of respondents surveyed in the UAE reported purchasing crypto. In contrast, only 20% of respondents in the United States said they had bought cryptocurrencies.The report also revealed that nearly 32% of non-crypto owners in the UAE expressed their intention to enter the market within the next year. Furthermore, 33% of UAE crypto holders indicated that they plan to use their digital assets for in-person purchases at physical retailers, a significantly higher percentage compared to the global average of 19%.Although still a US-headquartered business, Gemini has been turned off the US market more recently. The Winklevii twins have taken a similar stance to Coinbase’s Brian Armstrong and Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse. Coinbase has expanded in Singapore, acquired digital asset licensing in Bermuda, and has the intention of establishing a presence in Abu Dhabi.Garlinghouse has matched Armstrong’s outspokenness in criticizing the regulatory approach to digital assets in the United States. Likewise, he has acted to place Ripple on an international footing, establishing a presence in Dubai. In April, Gemini announced the opening of an engineering center in India, together with plans to expand its base in Singapore.As Gemini proceeds with its application for the UAE crypto license, industry observers will be closely monitoring the development, anticipating the potential impact of this expansion on the exchange’s operations and the broader cryptocurrency landscape in the region.

HKX management has advised Hong Kong resident users of the platform to withdraw assets following the company’s decision to halt operations in Hong Kong.  The company publicized its decision on July 18, making the following statement on its website: “We would like to inform you that our management team has, after careful consideration, decided to withdraw our application for the Type 1 and Type 7 licenses under the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Cap. 571) and the virtual asset service provider license under the Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Ordinance (Cap. 615).”Photo by Zhe ZHANG on UnsplashCompliance strugglesHKX’s exit from Hong Kong is the latest in a series of crypto exchange withdrawals from the Chinese autonomous territory. Other exchanges such as OKX, KuCoin, Gate.io and Binance had all bowed out back in May.  HKX initially applied for a Hong Kong license in February. However, like many others, the exchange failed to comply with Hong Kong’s regulatory requirements. While Hong Kong has been making a concerted effort to establish a regulatory framework and licensing system in order to create the conditions for it to become a crypto hub, it has also been grappling with making regulations strict enough to stamp out fraud in the wake of the JPEX exchange scandal. With that, it appears that many exchanges are finding the regulatory requirements difficult to live with. Originally, 24 exchanges had applied for a virtual asset trading platform (VATP) license. As it stands today, 12 of those original applicants have dropped out, with one more having its application returned with no clarity emerging as to the reason why. HKX has suspended new user registrations. The company’s management has not suggested that they will reapply for a license and reboot the service at a later stage. The company had flagged its intentions back in May, suspending trading and deposit services on May 29. OKX announced on May 24 that it was withdrawing from the Hong Kong market, citing a review of its business strategy. Around the same timeframe, Gate.io withdrew from the market in Hong Kong having failed to achieve compliance in accordance with the new licensing requirements.  Notwithstanding that outcome, the firm suggested that it planned to revamp its platform in line with the Chinese autonomous territory’s licensing requirements, and return to the market once that had been achieved. In a notice posted to its website on May 22, it stated: “Gate.HK is actively working on the aforementioned overhaul. We plan to resume our business in Hong Kong in the future and contribute to the virtual asset ecosystem after obtaining the relevant licenses.” That overhaul has yet to be completed as right now, the platform only allows the withdrawal of funds by its previous Hong Kong-based customers. Back in May 2023, Eddie Yue, the CEO of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, suggested that there would be no light touch regulation in Hong Kong. HashKey Exchange, alongside OSL, was the first business to secure licensing under the new framework. In April, HasKey CEO Livio Weng told the Financial Times that these regulations block access to overseas investors while the local market in Hong Kong isn’t very big. It emerged in recent weeks that Hong Kong regulators are reviewing whether crypto regulation is “excessively stringent.”