Night Crows now available for global users

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

The Financial Services and the Treasury Bureau (FSTB), a policy bureau attached to the government of the special administrative region of Hong Kong, has released a new digital assets policy statement, incorporating its “LEAP” framework for the digital assets industry within the city. The document, outlining the government’s objectives and guiding principles relative to the digital assets sector, builds on its first policy statement for the industry which it published in October 2022.Photo by Harry Shum on PexelsA ‘LEAP’ towards an integrated digital assets ecosystemThe FSTB suggests that this new policy statement builds upon foundational initiatives pioneered through the initial policy statement, asserting that “Hong Kong is poised to 'LEAP' towards a trusted, sustainable, and deeply integrated [Digital Assets] ecosystem embedded within the real economy.” The government agency also suggested that this “Policy Statement 2.0” also builds on the “ASPIRe” digital asset regulatory roadmap introduced by the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) in February, outlining the next phase of digital asset sector development in Hong Kong. Strengthening global hub statusThe government has set out to home in on strategic measures to bring about greater liquidity in digital asset markets and diversify digital asset product offerings, while strengthening the Chinese autonomous territory’s position as a global hub for the digital asset sector. “LEAP” is an acronym for the proposed initiatives that underpin the new framework, including: - Legal and regulatory streamlining- Expanding the suite of tokenized products- Advancing use cases and cross-sectoral collaboration- People and partnership development The framework focuses heavily on the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), with particular emphasis on bond tokenization. In February 2023, Hong Kong pioneered the issuance of the world’s first-ever tokenized government green bond. Building on that, it now seeks to bring about the regularization of the issuance of tokenized government bonds. The Hong Kong government would also like to see tokenization efforts expanding into “a broader range of assets and financial instruments.” It cited sectors such as precious metals, non-ferrous metals and renewable energy as candidates for tokenization. Promoting tokenized ETFsThe authorities are also encouraging tokenized exchange-traded funds (ETFs), with plans to introduce a stamp duty waiver for these products as an incentive. Additionally, the Hong Kong government is interested in nurturing the development of secondary market trading of such tokenized ETF products, whether that’s through digital asset trading platforms or other channels. The framework considers the further development of stablecoins. The city’s new licensing regimen for stablecoin issuers commences on Aug. 1. The FSTB maintains that stablecoins have the potential “to transform payments, supply chain management, and capital market activities by offering a cost-effective and efficient alternative to traditional systems.” In order to capitalize on this potential, the Hong Kong government, together with the city’s regulators, intends to enable licensed stablecoin issuers in the city “to explore and implement different stablecoin use cases.” Cyberport, a Hong Kong business park and digital technology incubator that hosts in excess of 1,650 startups, will also extend its support through its incubation ecosystem to further the objectives set out in the Hong Kong government’s new digital assets policy statement.

Binance to Incubate Startups, Provide Blockchain Education in Incheon CityBinance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, intends to educate students on blockchain technology and foster startups in Incheon, according to Korean blockchain media Decenter.Photo by Hon Kim on UnsplashBinance’s planOn Tuesday, at the 2023 Incheon Metanomics event, Leon Sing Foong, the Head of Asia-Pacific Operations at Binance, emphasized the strategic advantages of Incheon’s location near the nation’s capital and its prestigious universities, which make it an ideal hub for attracting top talent. Binance has plans to offer blockchain education to college students, as well as incubation services for startups in Incheon. Additionally, the prominent cryptocurrency exchange intends to provide guidance to blockchain projects and generate public interest in the field.Effective communicationFoong also emphasized the importance of effective communication between cryptocurrency companies and government entities. He suggested that clear and consistent crypto regulations would enable international companies to secure large-scale funding, while unrestricted capital inflow would facilitate efficiency and innovation within the industry. Foong also noted that attracting capital to the Incheon Free Economic Zone (IFEZ) requires a predictable and stable regulatory environment. To achieve these goals, Foong proposed that companies and governments engage in constructive dialogue on regulatory matters.Incheon’s five-year initiativeMeanwhile, Incheon has allocated 13.3 billion KRW (equivalent to $10 million) for a five-year urban blockchain initiative that will run until 2026, as per Incheon City’s press release. Since last year, the city has been conducting pilot programs utilizing blockchain technology for public parking and recycling systems.During the conference, IFEZ Commissioner Kim Jin-yong said, “We are dedicated to offering support and constructing infrastructure to attract enterprises to the IFEZ, enabling them to drive innovation in high-tech industries.”Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok of Incheon City highlighted the city’s aspirations to become a forward-thinking city and a major hub for blockchain technology. He emphasized Incheon’s commitment to fostering collaboration among various sectors to create a diverse range of exceptional services and innovative business models.