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Matrixport Bullish Despite Bitcoin’s Price Standoff

Markets·September 21, 2023, 2:14 AM

The crypto market, with a total capitalization of around $1.08 trillion, finds itself in a tense state of anticipation towards October, which has been historically the most robust month for Bitcoin with average returns of over 20%, according to Singapore-based digital assets ecosystem firm Matrixport.

Photo by Dmytro Demidko on Unsplash

 

Technical struggles

Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) has been unable to breach the $27,400 mark, facing formidable resistance and failing to surpass its 50-day moving average. From a purely technical standpoint, the situation for Bitcoin appears bearish. The corrective rebound in BTC has concluded, with prices falling below key moving averages and short-term oversold conditions correcting themselves.

This technical analysis reflects the cautious stance adopted by financial markets globally ahead of pivotal monetary policy decisions in countries like the US, Switzerland, the UK, and Japan.

 

Mining difficulty increase

Another notable development in the world of Bitcoin is the recent 5.48% increase in mining difficulty, bringing it to 57.12 T. This surge in mining difficulty is indicative of the ongoing robustness of the Bitcoin network, with the 7-day moving average reaching a substantial 423.4 EH/s, as reported by Glassnode.

The leading cryptocurrency has a number of challenges and regulatory uncertainties that it must wrestle with currently.

The regulatory issues at leading global crypto exchange Binance represent one of those challenges. Trading volumes on the Binance exchange have plummeted by 57% over the past week, driven by users seeking refuge on platforms yet to be subjected to regulatory crackdowns. Meanwhile, a court decision opted against ordering Binance’s US unit to provide the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States with further customer fund information, encouraging collaboration between the parties.

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are another area where the market anticipates a resurgence in the cryptocurrency space, driven by a wave of applications to launch spot Bitcoin ETFs. This development, according to Matrixport, has the potential to be a catalyst for Bitcoin’s growth should a spot BTC ETF be approved. The leading digital currency’s market dominance is currently approaching 50%.

Meanwhile, the announcement of a new Bitcoin fund by Laser Digital Asset Management, a subsidiary of Japan’s largest investment bank and brokerage group, Nomura, has been interpreted as bullish news. Laser Digital has introduced a Bitcoin fund targeting long-term institutional investments, further demonstrating the growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies.

Further good news has emerged via Citigroup in the United States, which has launched Citi Token. The offering leverages blockchain technology and smart contracts for business-to-business payments and trade finance, reinforcing the adoption of blockchain within the financial industry.

 

Divergent Predictions

Although Matrixport’s outlook is bullish, it comes amidst a backdrop of regulatory developments and technical challenges, with analysts offering contrasting outlooks for Bitcoin’s future. Matrixport projects a bullish fourth quarter for Bitcoin, citing historical trends of strong performance during this period. It anticipates potential gains of up to $37,000 by year-end.

Mike Novogratz, the Founder of crypto-focused financial services firm Galaxy Digital, envisions Bitcoin reaching $500,000 by 2024, fueled by increased adoption and maturation of the crypto market.

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Policy & Regulation·

Dec 29, 2023

Samjong KPMG and Xangle to host a seminar to discuss crypto regulatory compliance

Samjong KPMG, the South Korean division of global accounting firm KPMG, is gearing up to host a seminar on virtual assets. The event is scheduled for Jan. 5 (KST) and is organized in partnership with Xangle, a Web3 data intelligence platform. Earlier this month, the two entities agreed to collaborate in exploring on-chain data relevant to crypto accounting.Photo by Markus Winkler on UnsplashGrowing crypto marketRecently, there has been a notable increase in the crypto market activity in South Korea, with the daily trading volume of virtual assets surpassing KRW 10 trillion (approximately $7.8 billion), equivalent to approximately $7.8 billion. In response to this burgeoning market, South Korea is looking forward to the implementation of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act in July. Additionally, last week, the country’s financial regulators issued the final version of new guidelines for cryptocurrency accounting and disclosure. In light of these recent developments in South Korea's crypto market, the event organized by Samjong KPMG and Xangle aims to bring together crypto entrepreneurs to discuss strategies for adapting to the new corporate regulations concerning accounting, disclosure and internal control. This seminar will provide an opportunity for stakeholders in the crypto industry to prepare for the upcoming regulatory changes, ensuring compliance and effective management in this evolving financial landscape.From market forecast to taxationIn the upcoming seminar, a series of talks are slated to shed light on the shifting landscape of the cryptocurrency market. The first presentation will feature Junwoo James Kim, Co-CEO of Xangle, who is set to present a forecast for the cryptocurrency market in the next year.  Following Kim's presentation, Park Jong-baek, a Partner at law firm Bae, Kim & Lee, will take the stage. Park's expertise in legal matters will guide the audience through the current and forthcoming regulatory trends in virtual assets. Meanwhile, Choi Yeon-taek, Director at Samjong KPMG, will address the practical aspects of the recently released guidelines for cryptocurrency. His discussion will focus on their application in corporate accounting, disclosure and internal control. Xangle’s Co-CEO Lee Hyun-woo will highlight the importance of complying with disclosure rules for virtual asset information, focusing on aspects like circulating supply. Furthermore, Samjong KPMG’s Director Kim Byung-kook will address taxation issues related to virtual assets.Accounting transparency and investor protectionAccording to a report by local news outlet The Maeil Business Newspaper, Park Sung-bae, the head of the virtual asset business consulting division at Samjong KPMG, expressed optimism about the upcoming seminar’s potential impact. He hopes that the event will play a significant role in fostering a healthy cryptocurrency market. The focus will be on changing regulations that aim to enhance accounting transparency and protect investors, underlining the importance of adapting to these changes. Echoing Park's sentiments, Lee from Xangle emphasized the importance of clear and well-defined regulations for the cryptocurrency market, given that such regulations enhance transparency and help maintain the overall health of the crypto ecosystem. He highlighted that despite various challenges and concerns, the crypto market has continued to grow. Lee expressed his hope that the seminar will be particularly beneficial for individuals and organizations involved in Web3 projects, aiding them in navigating and understanding the evolving regulatory environment.  

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Policy & Regulation·

Aug 24, 2023

Thailand’s Incoming Prime Minister Signals Crypto Embrace

Thailand’s Incoming Prime Minister Signals Crypto EmbraceIn a recent parliamentary decision on August 22, real estate magnate Srettha Thavisin emerged as Thailand’s forthcoming Prime Minister. Thavisin, acclaimed for his prior role as the CEO of Sansiri — one of Thailand’s major real estate developers — has a history entwined with the cryptocurrency sector, hinting at potential ramifications for the nation’s crypto landscape.Photo by Markus Winkler on UnsplashParliamentary selection winThe appointment came under the banner of the Pheu Thai Party, with Thavisin securing 482 votes out of 747 in the parliamentary endorsement.Thavisin’s ascent to power could potentially herald a significant shift in Thailand’s approach to cryptocurrencies, leveraging his involvement with Sansiri’s foray into the digital asset domain. Departing from his role as Sansiri’s CEO in April, Thavisin relinquished his 4.4% stake in the company, setting the stage for him to pursue a career in politics.Crypto firm investmentSansiri, under Thavisin’s leadership, undertook active participation in the country’s digital asset arena. Notably, in 2021, the company participated in a substantial $225 million fundraising round for XSpring Capital, a crypto-friendly investment management firm. This strategic partnership paved the way for XSpring to launch a fully integrated cryptocurrency trading platform in 2022, with aspirations to establish a presence among the top crypto exchange companies by 2025.Thavisin’s impact on the crypto sector goes beyond investment. His company also introduced the “SiriHub Token” via XSpring in 2022, presenting a real estate-backed initial coin offering (ICO) that extended 240 million tokens to the public. This duality of involvement from crypto firm investment to token issuance, demonstrates that the new Thai premier has not been afraid to get involved with crypto innovation at an early stage.Crypto airdrop proposalIt appears that Thavisin’s affinity for cryptocurrency transcends corporate endeavors, as his political affiliation with the Pheu Thai Party, which he joined in November 2022, introduced a novel proposition. The party proposed disbursing 10,000 Thai baht (approximately $300) to citizens, executed through digital currency transactions. The synergy between his cryptocurrency background and this proposal raises questions about the potential influence of his past on Thailand’s future crypto policies.As Thavisin’s administration prepares to assume office by the end of September, the extent to which his crypto engagement shapes the nation’s policies remains a topic of speculation. However, the confluence of his real estate expertise and cryptocurrency ventures offers a unique blend of experiences that might foster innovative approaches.Notably, Thavisin’s journey isn’t the sole instance of Thailand’s government engaging with the crypto industry. Earlier in 2023, Thailand’s cabinet introduced tax breaks for companies issuing investment tokens. These measures, announced in March, aim to generate 128 billion baht ($3.7 billion) from investment token offerings over the next two years.Political importanceThavisin’s perceived embrace of cryptocurrency in Thailand comes at a time when crypto and blockchain innovation is being supported by political candidates in multiple jurisdictions. In the United States, the Republican Party is holding a debate on Wednesday between its eight candidates for the presidential nomination, with several of them being pro-crypto.On the Democratic Party side, Robert F. Kennedy is pro-bitcoin, having recently stated that bitcoin is an exercise in extending civil liberty. Meanwhile, in Argentina, Javier Milei, a libertarian pro-bitcoin candidate, topped the poll in the country’s recent presidential primary.

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Policy & Regulation·

Sep 07, 2023

BitGo CEO Emphasizes Separation of Trading and Custody to Prevent Crypto Bankruptcies

BitGo CEO Emphasizes Separation of Trading and Custody to Prevent Crypto BankruptciesMike Belshe, Founder and CEO of digital asset trust company BitGo, emphasized the importance of separating cryptocurrency trading and custody to prevent incidents similar to those involving Mt. Gox and FTX in his keynote speech at Impact, the main conference of Korea Blockchain Week (KBW) 2023.Established in 2013, BitGo is currently the world’s largest provider of virtual asset custody services, serving more than 1,500 institutions in over 50 countries, including the US, Switzerland, and Germany. Major exchanges like Bitstamp, Korbit, Bullish, Gate.io, and Crypto.com entrust BitGo with safeguarding their virtual assets.Clear divisionDuring his speech, Belshe repeatedly stressed the need for custody services for the sustainability of the virtual asset ecosystem, asserting that separating trading and custody can enhance trust in the industry and attract traditional financial institutions.Unlike stock markets, where payment institutions and custodians are separate entities, this kind of separation does not exist in the virtual asset market. To steer traditional financial institutions toward the virtual asset ecosystem, this issue needs to be addressed, Belshe said.He went on to cite the Mt. Gox hack in 2014 and the FTX collapse last year as examples that underscored the importance of virtual asset custody. Mt. Gox, once the world’s largest Bitcoin exchange, reportedly lost some 650,000 to 850,000 Bitcoins — worth more than $450 million at the time — due to a hacking incident, leading to its bankruptcy. FTX also faced insolvency after it was revealed that it inflated its assets using its native token FTT and that its management was misusing customer investment funds.Photo by Melinda Gimpel on UnsplashBelshe suggested that when Mt. Gox employees discovered the Bitcoin theft during the hack, it was already too late. If custody had been treated separately, the theft could have been detected much faster. Regarding the FTX debacle, he argued that even with just a few auditors, the problems in that situation could have been apprehended. FTX’s ability to provide custody of customer assets themselves led to unauthorized activities, including cross trading and insider trading, ultimately resulting in the misuse of customer funds.Korea’s favorable conditionsBelshe also assessed that South Korea is well-positioned for the establishment of virtual asset custody systems due to its high trading volume and a solid commitment to drafting crypto-related legislation. Seven such bills are currently underway, reflecting the authorities’ determination to address problems in the ecosystem. Korea thus has the potential to establish itself as a hub in Asia, he said.Indeed, BitGo’s partnership with Hana Bank to establish a joint venture for digital asset custody services in Korea is driven by these factors. Through its entry into Korea, BitGo aims to share its extensive knowledge and experience in digital asset business institutionalization and investor protection. It will also apply the expertise and strategies it has accumulated through close communication with regulatory authorities and supervisory agencies in various countries, including the US, to support the integration of virtual assets into the regulated framework in Korea.Belshe commented that through this partnership, BitGo will seek to enhance its understanding of Korea and utilize its technology and expertise to boost confidence in the Korean cryptocurrency market.

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