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Matrixport Bullish Despite Bitcoin’s Price Standoff

Markets·September 21, 2023, 2:14 AM

The crypto market, with a total capitalization of around $1.08 trillion, finds itself in a tense state of anticipation towards October, which has been historically the most robust month for Bitcoin with average returns of over 20%, according to Singapore-based digital assets ecosystem firm Matrixport.

Photo by Dmytro Demidko on Unsplash

 

Technical struggles

Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) has been unable to breach the $27,400 mark, facing formidable resistance and failing to surpass its 50-day moving average. From a purely technical standpoint, the situation for Bitcoin appears bearish. The corrective rebound in BTC has concluded, with prices falling below key moving averages and short-term oversold conditions correcting themselves.

This technical analysis reflects the cautious stance adopted by financial markets globally ahead of pivotal monetary policy decisions in countries like the US, Switzerland, the UK, and Japan.

 

Mining difficulty increase

Another notable development in the world of Bitcoin is the recent 5.48% increase in mining difficulty, bringing it to 57.12 T. This surge in mining difficulty is indicative of the ongoing robustness of the Bitcoin network, with the 7-day moving average reaching a substantial 423.4 EH/s, as reported by Glassnode.

The leading cryptocurrency has a number of challenges and regulatory uncertainties that it must wrestle with currently.

The regulatory issues at leading global crypto exchange Binance represent one of those challenges. Trading volumes on the Binance exchange have plummeted by 57% over the past week, driven by users seeking refuge on platforms yet to be subjected to regulatory crackdowns. Meanwhile, a court decision opted against ordering Binance’s US unit to provide the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States with further customer fund information, encouraging collaboration between the parties.

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are another area where the market anticipates a resurgence in the cryptocurrency space, driven by a wave of applications to launch spot Bitcoin ETFs. This development, according to Matrixport, has the potential to be a catalyst for Bitcoin’s growth should a spot BTC ETF be approved. The leading digital currency’s market dominance is currently approaching 50%.

Meanwhile, the announcement of a new Bitcoin fund by Laser Digital Asset Management, a subsidiary of Japan’s largest investment bank and brokerage group, Nomura, has been interpreted as bullish news. Laser Digital has introduced a Bitcoin fund targeting long-term institutional investments, further demonstrating the growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies.

Further good news has emerged via Citigroup in the United States, which has launched Citi Token. The offering leverages blockchain technology and smart contracts for business-to-business payments and trade finance, reinforcing the adoption of blockchain within the financial industry.

 

Divergent Predictions

Although Matrixport’s outlook is bullish, it comes amidst a backdrop of regulatory developments and technical challenges, with analysts offering contrasting outlooks for Bitcoin’s future. Matrixport projects a bullish fourth quarter for Bitcoin, citing historical trends of strong performance during this period. It anticipates potential gains of up to $37,000 by year-end.

Mike Novogratz, the Founder of crypto-focused financial services firm Galaxy Digital, envisions Bitcoin reaching $500,000 by 2024, fueled by increased adoption and maturation of the crypto market.

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Policy & Regulation·

Nov 15, 2023

Taiwanese cryptocurrency exchange under investigation for money laundering

Taiwanese cryptocurrency exchange under investigation for money launderingBitgin, a cryptocurrency exchange in Taiwan, is currently under police investigation for alleged money laundering, with its Chief Operating Officer, Yuting Zhang, arrested in connection to the infamous “88 Guild Hall” money laundering incident. The exchange is cooperating fully with the investigation and has assured users that its operations remain unaffected.Photo by Adam Jang on Unsplash‘88 Guild Hall’ scandalThe “88 Guild Hall” scandal, which unfolded from late 2021 to March 2022, implicated Zhang in a massive money laundering network. The controversy exposed a multi-billion dollar operation orchestrated by local businessmen Zhemin Guo and Chengwen Tu, utilizing a network of foreign exchange offices and crypto exchanges.Yuling Tsai, General Counsel of the Taiwan VASP Association, addressed the situation, stating: “This time, a member of the preparatory group was involved in the investigation case. The preparatory group immediately held a meeting and issued a public response. The members involved in the case also took the initiative to suspend participation in the work of the preparatory group.”Business as usualIn an official statement, Bitgin confirmed Zhang’s association with the scandal and clarified that the ongoing investigation has not disrupted its operations. The exchange emphasized its commitment to cooperating with authorities, providing all necessary assistance to facilitate a smooth investigation process.The statement reads: “At present, Bitgin is fully cooperating with the investigating unit and actively providing all necessary assistance to ensure the smooth conduct of the investigation and hopes that the facts can be clarified as soon as possible.”Bitgin also confirmed that in light of the charges, the COO has ceased all communications with counterparties.Focus on regulationTaiwan’s Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) outlined earlier this year its intention to restrict the activity of non-compliant offshore crypto exchanges. While cryptocurrency exchanges are not officially regulated yet, local operators have taken cues from the FSC to move towards self-regulation. A preparatory group was formed in September with Bitgin participating as a founding member.While Taiwan still doesn’t have a regulatory framework in place, it has applied anti-money laundering (AML) regulation to crypto businesses. In August, leading crypto exchange Binance initiated steps to register for AML compliance in Taiwan.Earlier this year, Taiwanese officials suggested that they would foster self-regulation while proposing the classification of crypto regulations within their own unique business category. Efforts were furthered last month when legislators introduced a cryptocurrency bill for its inaugural reading.JPEX falloutBeyond Bitgin, Taiwan is grappling with the fallout from wayward crypto exchange JPEX, which is accused of orchestrating Hong Kong’s largest financial scam. The authorities raided the local office of JPEX and identified suspects involved in the alleged fraud. To compound matters, local police also uncovered a $320 million crypto money laundering operation earlier this month.The incidents highlight the ongoing challenges faced by regulators in the region as they strive to protect investors from fraudulent activities.As the investigation unfolds, the Taiwanese cryptocurrency industry, along with its self-regulatory initiatives, remains under scrutiny, emphasizing the broader need for regulatory frameworks to safeguard the interests of investors and maintain the integrity of the market.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Dec 18, 2024

Thailand’s KBank uses stablecoins to enable baht to Singaporean dollar payments

According to a report by Nikkei Asia, Kasikornbank (KBank), Thailand’s second-largest bank, has entered into a partnership with Bangkok-based firm Orbix Technology and Singapore’s StraitsX to roll out a cross-border payments solution based on the use of stablecoins. StraitsX provides payments infrastructure for digital assets in Southeast Asia. It also issues XSGD, XUSD and XIDR, stablecoins that are pegged to the Singapore dollar, the U.S. dollar and the Indonesian Rupiah. Orbix Technology contributes towards the collaboration by providing blockchain infrastructure, in this case, its Quarix blockchain, which was developed to support transactions in both foreign currencies and baht, convert real-world assets into digital tokens and enable real-world identity confirmation of the blockchain user.Photo by Mathew Schwartz on UnsplashProject Carina The groundwork for this latest collaboration was accomplished through a partnership between KBank and American investment bank JPMorgan’s JPM Coin (now known as Kinexys Digital Payments) in April. Known as Project Carina, the collaboration explored wholesale cross-border payments using Q-money, KBank’s digital Thai baht, which runs on Orbix Technology’s Quarix blockchain and forms part of Thailand’s regulatory sandbox. The objective of Project Carina was to effect the transfer of Thai baht, using Q-money, to a U.S. dollar-denominated bank account, via Kinexys Digital Payments. Using that process, a cross-border multi-currency transfer could be effected efficiently in real time. Spending Thai baht in Singapore In part, building upon that earlier project, this latest collaboration, which commenced at the end of November, brings StraitsX into the fold alongside KBank and Orbix. The service targets Thai tourists visiting Singapore, enabling them to spend their Thai baht-based Q-money at retail outlets in Singapore. Thai visitors account for 2.4% of arrivals to the city-state each year. Many retail stores in Singapore now enable the use of payment systems like PayNow, a real-time payment service offered by a group of Singaporean banks; GrabPay, a payments wallet that features as part of the Grab super-app; and Alipay+, another cross-border mobile payments system. StraitsX has collaborated with these payment systems, opening up access to this latest offering led by KBank. In November, StraitsX added access to the GrabPay and Alipay+ systems. Users of the Q-money app can scan the codes generated via these payment systems, enabling the user to pay in Thai baht for the item they are purchasing priced in Singaporean dollars. Effectively, the system enables and exchange and conversion of digital baht for the StraitsX XSGD Singaporean dollar stablecoin. The three companies showcased their blockchain-based cross-border payment innovation at the Singapore FinTech Festival last month. At the time, Orbix Technology Managing Director Yarnvith Raksri stated:”Quarix has played a significant role in driving the Q-money by KBank app and integrating it with the StraitsX system to allow seamless cross-border payments via blockchain, making them as convenient as domestic transactions.” KBank competitor Siam Commercial Bank (SCB), Thailand’s oldest bank, announced in October that it was partnering with fintech firm Lightnet to launch a stablecoin-based remittance service.

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Policy & Regulation·

Apr 10, 2023

Korean Lawmakers Complete First Rough Draft of Virtual Asset User Protection Bill

Korean Lawmakers Complete First Rough Draft of Virtual Asset User Protection BillKorean lawmakers have completed the first rough draft of the virtual asset user protection bill at a National Policy Committee meeting held later last month.©Pexels/Matthias ZomerAgreeing on term usage ‘virtual assets’So far, 18 bills have been proposed to regulate cryptocurrencies, and the lawmakers and the Financial Services Commission (FSC) agreed to use the term “virtual assets” to encompass similar terms such as digital assets and crypto assets.Phased enactment of billsThe bills are likely to be reviewed under the title “Virtual Asset User Protection Act.” The bipartisan group agreed to enact the bills in phases, introducing the user protection bill in the first phase and the virtual asset listing and issuance bill in the second phase.Meanwhile, there were mixed opinions on the content of the bills. In particular, there was debate over whether the bills should stipulate that the central bank digital currency (CBDC) is excluded from virtual assets, and whether the bills should include a standard for determining if a virtual asset is a security.Debate over stipulating CBDC’s statusThe stipulation of excluding CBDC from virtual assets was the most divisive topic since it would lead to defining the conditions for other assets such as non-fungible tokens. Moreover, the Act on Reporting and Using Specified Financial Transaction Information, which currently regulates virtual asset service providers (VASPs), does not contain any stipulation on CBDC. Some raised concerns that such discrepancies could later cause confusion. In the end, assembly members decided to discuss the matter again in April after consulting with the Bank of Korea and the Ministry of Government Legislation.Criteria for classifying virtual assets as securitiesRegarding whether to include criteria for classifying virtual assets as securities, the lawmakers and financial regulators took different sides.Lee Yong-woo, a member of the Democratic Party of Korea, underlined that a clear statement of the relationship between the issuer and the recipient of virtual assets in a whitepaper can determine their security status. He added that such provisions should be included in the bills.Park Min-woo, an FSC official, on the other hand, commented on a cautious note that in case virtual assets fall under the category of securities, they may not be applicable to the virtual asset act. He explained that VASPs might deal with both securities and virtual assets, and in such cases, there could be a misunderstanding that VASPs are not subject to the virtual asset act simply because they trade securities.

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