Matrixport’s Market Sentiment Index Points Towards Bullish Momentum

Despite interest expressed by a Japanese lawmaker earlier this month for Japan to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, the country’s prime minister has declined to offer support for the idea.Photo by Su San Lee on UnsplashInsufficient informationJapanese crypto media outlet CoinPost reported on Dec. 26 that the country’s prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, refrained from endorsing the notion of a Japanese strategic Bitcoin reserve on the basis that he and his government lack sufficient information on the subject. With that, Ishiba feels that it’s “difficult for the government to express its views” on the matter. The Japanese prime minister was prompted to offer his views on the subject having been queried by Japanese Member of Parliament (MP), Satoshi Hamada. During a question and answer session earlier this month, Hamada cited the United States and Brazil as examples of states that are currently considering the addition of Bitcoin as a reserve asset.  The Japanese lawmaker suggested that policymakers in those countries were leaning towards the consideration of Bitcoin as a hedge against economic risks, and that on that basis, he believed that the Japanese government should give the use of Bitcoin as a national reserve asset consideration. Hamada stated: “I think Japan should follow the example of the United States and consider turning some of its foreign exchange reserves into crypto assets such as Bitcoin.” Ishiba has responded by stating that his government lacks sufficient information relative to this “movement of introducing Bitcoin reserves that the United States and other countries are proceeding with.” Additionally, the Japanese government maintains that stability and liquidity are of paramount importance when it comes to the country’s foreign exchange reserves. With those factors in mind, it believes that Bitcoin is incompatible due to its price volatility. Unsustainable debt levels Some proponents of Bitcoin suggest that it offers a way forward for countries that have developed an unsustainable level of debt. In an X post published on Dec. 27, Thomas Jeegers, chief financial officer (CFO) at Swiss Bitcoin-only app enterprise Relai, set out a case for Bitcoin on that basis. Jeegers outlined that the United States has a debt of $36 trillion, accounting for 120% of gross domestic product (GDP).  He describes the Japanese scenario as being considerably worse, where the country’s debt accounts for 200% of GDP. Jeegers forecasts that the trajectory is unsustainable, with debt having grown “far beyond manageable levels.” The Relai CFO warns that the financial world is at breaking point and “it’s not a matter of 'if' but 'when' the system buckles under its own weight.” Earlier this month, investment manager VanEck published a report claiming that a strategic Bitcoin reserve could facilitate the U.S. in reducing its national debt by up to 36% by 2050. Like Japan, Russia has also decided against a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Although Finance Minister Anton Siluanov pointed towards Bitcoin’s unit price volatility being an issue, he is open to reassessing the matter in the future.

Dubai Regulator Issues Reprimand to OPNX FoundersThe Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA), the regulator that concerns itself with the digital assets market in the Emirate of Dubai, has formally reprimanded the founders of digital asset exchange OPNX.Photo by Kai Pilger on UnsplashVARA issued an investor and marketplace alert on April 12 to inform investors that OPNX was not a licensed entity regulated by VARA and with that, it urged investors to be cautious. The regulator has now gone one further, this time formally writing to OPNX’s founders to reprimand them.The statement cites the following rationale for the issuance of the reprimand:”Carrying out VA (Virtual Asset) Exchange Services on an unregulated basis in and from the Emirate of Dubai; and Marketing, promoting and/or advertising OPNX services and its native token [FLEX] without the necessary permits from VARA.”Contextual backgroundThe statement goes on to provide the context for the regulator’s most recent action. VARA became aware of OPNX soliciting the public to use the exchange in February of this year. It noted that the business was actively marketing through various social media channels “without establishing warranted restrictions for residents of Dubai/UAE.” VARA went on to explain that OPNX commenced trading in April without having secured a regulatory license despite the activity warranting such a license.Cease and desistOn February 27, VARA issued OPNX with a cease and desist order, relative to the foundation of the business and the marketing and promotion of services. Thereafter, the exchange applied certain restrictions but the regulator deemed the measures to not have been applied comprehensively across all OPNX communication channels, prompting it to issue a further cease and desist order the following month.The investor and marketplace alert followed in April as OPNX proceeded to launch its exchange. The written reprimand was then issued on April 18, “to address historical and ongoing activity conducted on an unregulated basis.” The recipients included the OPNX founders, (Mark Lamb, Sudhu Arumugam, Kyle Davies and Su Zhu) and the firm’s CEO Leslie Lamb.Given what the regulator deems to have been “a continued lack of satisfactory remedial action [taken] by the responsible parties,” it is continuing to actively monitor the situation. VARA stated that it will further investigate OPNX’s activity to assess further corrective measures that may be required to protect the market.Lack of industry supportThe digital assets industry is in no way enamored with founders Davies and Zhu. Their record has been badly blemished by the unceremonious collapse of their crypto hedge fund, Three Arrows Capital, in 2022. That failure wreaked major damage on the overarching crypto space, directly leading to the failure of other crypto businesses later that year.Prominent crypto venture capitalist Michael Arrington said of their capital raise for OPNX that it was “the saddest bulls**t I’ve heard in a long time.” It later transpired that two of the investment firms that OPNX suggested were backing the start-up refuted the claim.In response to this latest development, OPNX’s CEO Leslie Lamb told Blockworks that the business was initially launched in Hong Kong. “To confirm, we have no Dubai or UAE customers and do full KYC on all users,” she stated.

South Korea’s cryptocurrency industry is entering a politically sensitive stretch as investors, exchanges, and regulators confront a mix of tax uncertainty, shrinking trading volumes, and growing scrutiny over crypto-linked money laundering. At the center of the debate is the government’s plan to begin taxing crypto gains in January 2027 after three previous delays. Under the current plan, annual crypto profits exceeding 2.5 million won ($1,650) would be taxed at 22%. The framework was first formalized in 2020, but implementation was postponed several times amid concerns over investor protection, market readiness, and political resistance. According to the Hankyoreh newspaper, opposition has intensified after lawmakers scrapped the country’s financial investment income tax, which would have applied to gains from stocks and funds. Critics argue that taxing crypto while most retail stock investors remain exempt from capital gains tax creates an uneven playing field.Photo by Tara Winstead on PexelsCrypto tax petition advancesA public petition calling for the abolition of crypto taxation has already gathered more than 54,000 signatures, clearing the threshold for review by a National Assembly committee. The petitioner argued that the issue needs a full reconsideration, including the possibility of scrapping the tax altogether. The opposition People Power Party has also proposed legislation to abolish the crypto tax, saying it would be inconsistent to impose a separate income tax on crypto assets after eliminating the broader financial investment tax. The ruling Democratic Party, meanwhile, is expected to take up the issue more seriously after the June 3 local elections. The government says there has been no change to its position and that crypto taxation is still scheduled to begin next January. But it has ruled out, at least for now, any renewed discussion on the financial investment income tax, fueling claims that the tax system is treating crypto investors unfairly. The tax dispute comes as Korean crypto exchanges are already grappling with a steep drop in trading activity. Retail investors have been shifting money into equities, drawn by a strong KOSPI rally and momentum in chip and AI stocks, draining activity from the crypto market. According to CoinMarketCap data cited by ETNews, Upbit’s average daily trading volume in the first quarter stood at about $1.55 billion, down 38.8% from the second half of last year. Bithumb’s first-quarter daily average was roughly $647 million, a 44.4% drop over the same period. The decline continued after the first quarter. From Jan. 1 to May 20, Upbit’s average daily volume fell to about $1.38 billion, down 45.5% from the second half of 2025. Bithumb’s average dropped to about $600 million, widening its decline to 48.5%.That slowdown has hit earnings. Dunamu, the operator of Upbit, reported first-quarter operating revenue of 234.6 billion won and operating profit of 88 billion won ($58 million), down 55% and 78% year-on-year, respectively. Bithumb posted revenue of 82.5 billion won ($55 million) and operating profit of just 2.9 billion won ($2 million), down 57.6% and 95.8%, while swinging to a net loss of 86.9 billion won ($58 million). The structural problem is that Korean exchanges still rely heavily on retail spot-trading fees. Unlike major global exchanges, domestic platforms have limited room to expand into derivatives, institutional custody, stablecoin payments, and other higher-margin businesses. Rising compliance costs, including customer verification and anti-money-laundering (AML) upgrades, are adding to the burden. USDT dominates $77M laundering caseSeparately, Korean police said they apprehended 149 suspects accused of laundering about 117 billion won ($77.5 million) through a network linked to a China-based laundering group in Shenzhen, according to the Seoul Economic Daily. Seven suspects were formally arrested, and police said all suspects identified so far are Korean nationals. USDT accounted for 72% of the funds moved, while bogus gift-card operations made up 19% and ordinary bank transfers 9%. Authorities said the scheme used accounts opened under other people’s names and overseas crypto exchanges to make the funds harder to trace. Meanwhile, sentiment among Korean crypto investors remains mixed but not entirely bearish. A weekly survey by CoinNess and Kratos found that 34.1% of respondents expected Bitcoin to rise or surge this week, while 36.3% expected sideways movement and 29.6% expected a decline. Asked whether the crypto market could recover this year, 38.5% said the current downturn looked like a healthy correction with room for a rebound, while 29.7% said the market would not only recover but also set new highs. Combined, 68.2% of respondents expected some form of recovery this year. Still, pessimism remains. Another 17.7% said the crypto market had peaked and was unlikely to rebound, while 14.1% said they had already left the market and no longer had expectations. At the time of publication, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $76,677.43, up 0.1% over the past week, reflecting a largely range-bound market.