Matrixport’s Market Sentiment Index Points Towards Bullish Momentum

Wemade Signs Contracts with Game Developers to Expand WEMIX PLAY’s LineupSouth Korean gaming company Wemade has signed contracts with global game developers to bring three new games to its blockchain gaming platform, WEMIX PLAY.Photo by Riho Kroll on UnsplashThree gamesOne of these developers is Cfire Network, based in Singapore, which is working on a strategic card game called Magic Card Duel. In this game, players collect heroes and build decks of cards to challenge each other in battle.Dubai’s Project SEED is also part of the initiative, preparing to release a fantasy action role-playing game (RPG) called Outland Odyssey in the third quarter of this year.Korean company SpaceProbe is contributing to the lineup with Raid of Legends, a mobile action RPG where players can develop characters to explore dungeons, join raids, and engage in combat against each other.WEMIX PLAY’s expansive reachWEMIX PLAY boasts a user base of 9 million and has already added more than 100 blockchain games to its platform, spanning various genres like massively multiplayer online role-playing games (MMORPGs), shooters, and social network games. The platform’s standout feature is its inter-game economy, allowing players to transfer currencies between different games seamlessly.Wemade’s upcoming showcase of its blockchain gaming vision and WEMIX PLAY’s ecosystem will take place at G-STAR 2023, a global game exhibition happening from November 16 to 19 in Busan, Korea.

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three ScenariosRecently, concerns over a potential US default have heightened due to the ongoing disagreement between Republicans and Democrats in the US Congress regarding the necessity of increasing the debt ceiling. Democrats, along with the Biden administration, advocate for authorizing additional debt, while Republicans propose spending cuts.Considering the historical patterns observed in the US and the inherently political nature of this matter, it is improbable that the uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling raise will endure for an extended period. In the past, when faced with a similar situation in 2011, the debt ceiling was ultimately approved despite significant political divisions. Particularly with upcoming elections next year and escalating concerns of an economic downturn, it is likely that a resolution to the debt ceiling issue will be reached soon.In light of these circumstances, the economic research institute at one of South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Bithumb released a report that outlines three distinct scenarios depicting the potential unfolding of the debt ceiling issue in the US. Additionally, it has offered insights into the potential implications for Bitcoin under each scenario.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashBipartisan agreement to increase the debt ceilingIn the scenario where the debt ceiling is promptly raised as a result of a significant bipartisan agreement, the US is anticipated to adopt an expansionary fiscal policy by issuing government bonds to prevent a default. If a debt ceiling deal is reached, it is projected that short-term bond issuance will reach a net amount of $1.4 trillion by the end of the year. There is also a growing consensus that medium- and long-term bond issuance may commence in the third quarter. Additionally, the possibility of interest rate cuts as early as the second half of this year entered the equation. In the long term, this could potentially lead to a depreciation of the dollar as market liquidity increases, thereby weakening the currency. It is worth noting that historically, the value of Bitcoin tended to go up when market liquidity rises.Debt ceiling disagreement and delayed negotiationsAnother scenario entails the failure of the two parties to reach an agreement and a subsequent delay in approving a raise to the debt ceiling. Should the debt ceiling not be raised in a timely manner, the US would potentially encounter an unparalleled default on its debt obligations. This default could trigger a severe credit crunch, resulting from international credit downgrades and a weakened global standing for the US. Such circumstances would further escalate the risk of an economic crisis.As the negotiations on the debt limit continue to be delayed, there will be a prolonged period of uncertainty in both Treasury issuance and secondary markets. This uncertainty poses risks to money market funds (MMFs) that hold a significant portion of short-term Treasuries, potentially resulting in losses. Consequently, there could be a shift towards reverse repo (RRP) transactions as investors seek alternative avenues. In fact, Treasury liquidity has recently exhibited signs of deterioration, with MMFs and RRPs garnering considerable attention in the market.Heightened concerns regarding short-term Treasuries could lead to a higher volume of reverse repo trades compared to repo trades. Repo transactions use Treasuries as collateral, whereas reverse repo transactions involve depositing funds with the Fed or lending money to the Fed in exchange for collateral, which often includes Treasuries, thereby earning interest. In such a scenario, market liquidity could become trapped in the Fed, potentially rekindling risks within the banking system.Given their sensitivity to liquidity conditions, crypto markets are anticipated to experience a temporary decline. However, Bitcoin has exhibited a historical pattern of appreciating in value as an alternative to the US banking system, especially during instances of small and medium-sized bank failures. In the event of prolonged negotiations and an escalating risk of a US default, the demand for safe-haven assets like Bitcoin might surge. As a result, Bitcoin could gain favorability as investors seek refuge in alternative assets amidst uncertain market conditions.Linking debt ceiling increase to spending reductionThe last scenario involves a conditional agreement accompanied by measures aimed at reducing the deficit, as proposed by Republicans. Given the longstanding concerns surrounding excessive US deficits, any agreement to raise the debt ceiling would likely be contingent upon fiscal consolidation and spending cuts. Notably, as of March 31, 2023, the US federal deficit is approximately 8% of GDP, a figure comparable to the 8.3% average observed in 2011 when the possibility of a US default reached its peak.While fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure fiscal sustainability, unless the US significantly increases tax revenues, an increase in the debt ceiling may be negotiated at the expense of significant cuts to the national budget. In such a case, the US economy would inevitably experience the adverse effects of reduced government spending.The Republican party has put forth a demand of $4.8 trillion in deficit reduction over the next ten years as a condition for raising the debt ceiling. This figure translates to an average of $480 billion per year or approximately 1.8% of the current year’s GDP (as of May). However, it is important to note that in the medium to long term, reductions in government spending without complementary expansionary monetary policies have the potential to accelerate GDP decline. If Congress agrees to cuts in government spending, it could increase the probability of the Fed swiftly reversing its tightening policy. Unless the Fed halts its tightening measures, the likelihood of a US recession may become more pronounced.If the Fed decides to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated in response to the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Bitcoin, which is known to be more responsive to long-term monetary policy, might be able to overcome the short-term downturn and experience an upward trend.The authors contend that at present, market attention is primarily directed towards the matter of raising the debt ceiling, taking into account the potential risks of a US default and the possibility of a bond rating downgrade. However, they believe it is unlikely that US politicians will make radical decisions in the run-up to next year’s presidential election.While the issue of raising the debt ceiling will have a short-term impact, the report argues that the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price in the medium to long term will be the Fed’s monetary policy and the occurrence of Bitcoin’s halving event.It is important to note that there is a time lag between the end of the Fed’s tightening measures and the halving of Bitcoin. In the short term, the price trajectory of Bitcoin will likely be influenced by factors such as the potential failure of additional small and medium-sized US banks (which is concerning given recent outflows of US bank deposits) and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the delay in raising the debt ceiling. These factors will play a greater role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term performance.

Coinone Boosts Crypto Account Security with Naver Two-Factor AuthenticationCoinone, one of South Korea’s leading crypto exchanges, announced on Wednesday that it has added Naver as another channel for two-factor authentication (2FA) when signing up for an account. This move aims to enhance security and convenience for users by introducing another option for the second step of authentication in addition to KakaoTalk and one-time password (OTP) authentication.Photo by Franck on UnsplashCombatting social engineering attacks“As the popularity of investing in virtual assets is on the rise, attempts to gain unauthorized access to accounts through smishing and phishing have also increased. We hope that users can use Coinone services in a safer, more convenient manner by using Naver as an easy authentication channel,” said Cha Myunghun, CEO of Coinone.All users are required to go through 2FA when signing up for a Coinone account in order to simultaneously protect their credentials and conduct deposits, withdrawals, and transactions. Users must verify themselves with their phone number first, then once more through an additional channel like KakaoTalk, Naver, or OTP authentication.Using KakaoTalk or Naver is easy and convenient since most Koreans already have both of these apps on their phones, and it takes a relatively short amount of time to complete.Extra benefitsUsers can register for Naver authentication on both the Coinone website and the app. Once they do, they can verify themselves through the Naver app without a separate login. These users can be granted more benefits such as increased withdrawal limits, the exchange said. Those who have verified their bank accounts for storing Korean won can have a withdrawal limit of up to 500 million won (approximately $373,000).