Bullish Market Analysis Finding as Asia Doubles Crypto Users

Hong Kong last week entered the pilot phase of Project Ensemble, an initiative focused on developing infrastructure for a tokenized market and creating a sandbox where institutions can test blockchain systems in real business environments. Set to run through 2026, the pilot involves the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), several banks, and other industry participants. Its early work will examine how tokenized deposits can be used in money market fund transactions and how these tools might support real-time liquidity and treasury management. Interoperability key to tokenizationCommenting on the development, Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) CEO Julia Leung said, “To scale tokenisation of investment products, interoperability is key.” She added that the measure announced on Nov. 13 by the HKMA “will gradually allow interbank settlement of tokenised deposits in real time 24/7.”Photo by Ibrahim Rifath on UnsplashFollowing the HKMA’s announcement, Ant International, the global arm of Ant Group, revealed that it is joining Project Ensemble’s Architecture Community. As part of this digital finance effort, Ant International will help design and advance the tokenization ecosystem in the special administrative region, contribute to defining industry standards, and support broader industry adoption. Corporate initiatives in digital financeSeparately, Ant International also signed a memorandum of understanding with Swiss bank UBS to explore new opportunities in tokenized deposits, leveraging Ant’s blockchain platform Whale. Under this partnership, UBS Digital Cash, a blockchain-based payment solution developed by UBS, will be used to support Ant International’s global treasury operations. Young Jin Yee, Co-Head UBS Global Wealth Management Asia Pacific and Country Head UBS Singapore, said the collaboration with Ant aims to achieve “a real-time, multi-currency payment solution that sets standards for transparency and efficiency.” Hong Kong has been seeing a noticeable pickup in crypto-related activity more broadly. According to a post on X by Unfolded, AMINA, a Swiss-regulated institution, is now the first international banking group to roll out full crypto trading and custody services in Hong Kong. Adding to this momentum, companies are stepping up their Bitcoin accumulation. In its third-quarter results announcement, Boyaa International, a Hong Kong–listed firm specializing in online card and board games, reported a quarter-over-quarter increase of 738 Bitcoin. As of Sept. 30, its total holdings stood at 4,091 Bitcoin at an average cost of about $68,114 per coin. Adoption trends and market contractionThis push into the crypto sector aligns with broader digital asset adoption across Asia. A recent survey by CoinDesk and Protocol Theory of 4,020 individuals aged 18 to 64 in 10 Asian countries found potential crypto ownership of around 25% among respondents with internet access. The survey also noted that roughly half of adults familiar with crypto plan to use it within the next year or so. Despite the uptick in activity and interest, the market itself is currently in a downturn, with Bitcoin falling below the $90,000 mark on Nov. 18 for the first time since April 22. Analyzing the move, CoinDesk’s Omkar Godbole said Bitcoin looks oversold, as the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) has slipped under 30, indicating the drop may be steep enough to trigger a pause or a possible rebound. Godbole drew a parallel with price action earlier in the year, noting that February was the last time the RSI fell below 30, when Bitcoin was trading under $80,000. After that decline, the market bottomed out at around $75,000 in April, a pattern that traders may be watching closely as they assess the current pullback. At the time of publication, Bitcoin was trading around $90,400 against USDT on Binance. 

Korea Makes Strides in Establishing the Legal Framework for Security TokensSouth Korea is making significant strides in establishing a legal framework that enables individuals to own and trade fractional shares or portions of real-world assets such as music copyrights, real estate properties, and artworks, through tokenization on blockchain platforms.Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashAmendments to two actsAccording to a report by local news outlet Newsis, the ruling People Power Party (PPP) and the Financial Services Commission (FSC) are actively involved in proposing amendments to the Electronic Securities Act and the Capital Markets Act to legalize security tokens. These amendments will be presented to the National Assembly this month by PPP lawmaker Yun Chang-hyun, who is also a member of the National Policy Committee.Security tokens, which utilize the capabilities of blockchain technology, will play a pivotal role in this context. Once the legal framework is in place, the issuance and distribution of these tokens will be facilitated.In preparation for the proposal of these amendments, PPP lawmakers conducted a hearing today to discuss the matter at hand. The hearing included a presentation by Lee Soo-young, Head of the FSC’s Capital Markets Division, who shed light on the formulation of security token policies to bolster the capital market. Additionally, Choi Jeong-cheol, Head of the Strategy and Planning Division at Korea Securities Depository, outlined the key points of the proposed amendments to the Electronic Securities Act and the Capital Markets Act. Distinguished attendees at the hearing included Park Sun-young, an economics professor at Dogguk University; Hwang Hyun-il, a financial lawyer at law firm Shin and Kim; and Kim Kap-lae, a senior researcher at the Korea Capital Market Institute.Details in subsequent decreesIt is anticipated that these amendments will incorporate the framework introduced by the FSC in February, which focuses on enabling the issuance and distribution of security tokens, as well as establishing account management organizations and over-the-counter (OTC) brokerages. The forthcoming enforcement decrees, following the amendment of these Acts, will specify the precise details, including the authorization requirements for these entities and investment limits.

India Blockchain Week (IBW) 2024 was held on Dec. 4-5 in Bangalore with venture capital and blockchain advisory firm Hashed Emergent presenting a report at the event, with positive findings with regard to India’s Web3 sector. Titled “India's Web3 Landscape 2024 Report,” the research was presented at IBW 2024 by Hashed Emergent Senior Associate Sharanya Sahai. Photo by Asif Methar on PexelsGlobal frontrunnerThe report claims that the Web3 ecosystem in India has risen to the point where it is a global frontrunner when its progress is measured against Web3 development internationally. A broad network of Web3 startups has emerged, comprising of over 1,000 fledgling businesses.  Those enterprises are being supported in India by global investment, with Indian Web3 businesses having secured funding in excess of $3 billion since 2020. Taking a more recent snapshot, the report outlines that from January to September 2024, Indian Web3 startups received investment funding to the tune of $462 million, an 82% growth compared with the same period last year. These startups are spread across finance, infrastructure and entertainment niches within Web3, although the study found that the bulk of investment funding was placed with Web3 infrastructure businesses.  Home to 12% of Web3 developersHashed Emergent claims that India is home to 12% of the global pool of Web3 developers, second in the rankings on this metric with the greatest number of such developers living in the United States. However, the report maintains that India is in line to surpass the U.S. relative to the Web3 developer metric by 2027. The world’s most populous country also has strength and depth in terms of Web3 founders. It ranks third globally in terms of the overall size of its Web3 founder base. The Hashed Emergent report suggests that Indian founders, accounting for 5.4% of global Web3 startups, are responsible for driving growth in India relative to AI, decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN) and scaling solution projects. Stand-out examples of Indian Web3 enterprises include exchange platforms CoinSwitch, WazirX and CoinDCX, crypto developer integration toolkit provider Transak, blockchain scaling platform Polygon, blockchain-based AI startup Sentient and blockchain protocol Biconomy. Hashed Emergent singled out Sentient and Web3 infrastructure platform Avail Network as projects which have showcased “India’s growing influence in decentralized technologies” in 2024. Adoption challengesThe report points to what Hashed Emergent terms as “an undeniable picture of India’s dominance in global crypto adoption.” That finding falls in line with a report produced by Chainalysis earlier this year, establishing India as the global leader in crypto adoption according to data it compiled.  However, in an opinion piece written by Mithil Thakore recently, an Indian co-founder and CEO of Dubai-based Velar, a Bitcoin liquidity protocol, Thakore claims that there is a disconnect between such metrics and the reality of adoption on the ground in India. In the case of the Chainalysis adoption index, the Velar CEO suggests that a “mirage of adoption” is presented, with massive signup numbers not translating into tangible active participation in the market.  While adoption rates are high, he feels that a greater level of active participation is being prevented due to what he terms as an “ambiguous” stance on cryptocurrencies by the Indian government. Regulatory ambiguity puts uncertainty in the minds of investors, holding back the industry’s growth, Thakore claims.