HTX experiences $258 million outflow post-hack

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

Japan’s Premier Says the Country is Committed to Fostering Web3Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, in a keynote address at the WebX conference in Tokyo, emphasized Japan’s commitment to fostering the Web3 industry and its potential to revolutionize the internet and catalyze societal change.During his address, Kishida underscored the transformative impact of Web3, envisioning it as a catalyst for innovation across various industries. He expressed his hope for the Web3 sector to regain attention and vitality, fostering the birth of numerous novel projects.EOS Foundation CEO Yves La Rose, present at the conference, noted the Prime Minister’s encouraging words and highlighted the welcoming attitude Japan is cultivating towards Web3 in the Asian region.Photo by Bastian Riccardi on UnsplashRegulatory progressKishida went on to describe Web3 as part of “the new form of capitalism,” recognizing its potential to drive economic growth while addressing social issues. Koichi Hagiuda, Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party’s Policy Research Council chairman, added that the country is diligently working to establish a robust regulatory framework to safeguard investors, providing a foundation for further Web3 policies.Japan has proven to be ahead of the curve already on workable regulation when it comes to digital assets by comparison with most of its international peers. Last month, the local regulator, the Financial Services Authority (FSA), announced that it was participating in Singapore’s “Project Guardian,” an initiative by the Singaporean regulator to explore the potential of digital assets.The country has found itself with a more progressive regulatory policy in place as a direct response to the collapse of the Mt.Gox crypto exchange in 2014. For that reason, FTX Japan had to safeguard client funds and is in a position to look towards restarting the business.Hagiuda also pointed to the significance of initiatives like “Start Next Innovator,” a project by Japan’s Economy, Trade and Industry Ministry that aims to send 1,000 entrepreneurs and students to Silicon Valley over five years to foster Web3 startups.Japanese launch imminent for BinanceThe event, which was initially reported on by local media on Tuesday, coincided with a significant announcement from Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, revealing the imminent launch of the cryptocurrency exchange’s services on a new Japanese platform in August 2023.Binance, in its bid to enter the Japanese market, confirmed its plan to offer cryptocurrency services to Japanese users starting in August. The exchange had acquired the local platform Sakura Exchange Bitcoin (SEBC) in November 2022, which paved the way for its reentry into the country.Binance’s CEO, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), virtually addressed the WebX conference, praising Japan’s innovative approach to the Web3 sector and recognizing it as a leading country in terms of Web3 regulatory environment. He fondly recalled his own experiences living in Japan during the early stages of his career as a developer, emphasizing the clarity of Japan’s regulatory boundaries towards cryptocurrencies and stablecoins since 2017.The Web3 industry in Japan witnessed a flurry of headlines in June 2023, with the national tax agency revising legislation to exempt token issuers from paying corporate taxes on unrealized cryptocurrency gains.Prime Minister Kishida’s affirmation of Japan’s commitment to Web3 and Binance’s planned launch in the country reflect the growing interest and enthusiasm surrounding the Web3 sector in the Asian nation.

Animoca Brands Partners With Yuga Labs on ‘Wreck League’ LaunchHong Kong’s Animoca Brands and its San Francisco-based subsidiary nWay, a developer and publisher of multiplayer games, have partnered with Yuga Labs, unveiling their latest creation: “Wreck League.”Photo by Haidan on UnsplashLeveraging Web3Diving into uncharted waters in the realm of esports, this game leverages Web3 technology to empower players with the ability to construct, possess, and engage in battles with their very own distinctive Mech fighters.“Wreck League” challenges the traditional boundaries of gaming by permitting enthusiasts to craft their fighters, engage in fierce competitions, and secure on-chain rewards. Set to debut its maiden season, the game will draw inspiration from the Web3 stalwart, Yuga Labs.The game boasts a dual-pronged design, encompassing both Web2 and Web3 versions. In a savvy maneuver to capture a wide-ranging audience, nWay has devised a marketing strategy that seamlessly integrates effective user acquisition techniques from their previous ventures while circumventing complex blockchain terminology.Clarifying the ingenious concept behind the game, Taehoon Kim, the CEO of nWay, explained: “Wreck League stands as a fusion of Web3 and Web2 concepts. Our mission revolves around unifying communities and players, tapping into the creative wellspring of the Web3 community to consistently elevate the game’s content.”Designed for player retentionWithin the player community, creators, owners, and participants converge to partake in league events. The crux of the game revolves around the assembly of high-performance Mechs, crafted from a collection of 10 distinct Mech Parts NFTs.Player retention is a cornerstone of its design, driven by an engaging trajectory of in-game progression through upgradable mech parts, enhancing gameplay dynamics, and embedding the notion of asset ownership. The more players invest in refining their assets and advancing through levels, the stronger their bond with the game becomes. Active participation in events and tournaments further reinforces player allegiance.Yat Siu, the Co-Founder and Executive Chairman of Animoca Brands, is optimistic regarding the transformative potential of “Wreck League” within the esports sector. Siu envisions the game, where digital asset ownership is the norm, as a harbinger of a monumental shift in competitive gaming dynamics.Expanding market reachFor Yuga’s part, the NFT and metaverse company is using gaming, through this particular partnership, as a mechanism to broaden the reach of its well-established NFT brand. That said, it has also made its own individual efforts in that regard recently. The Web3 studio, best known for having created the Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) NFT collection, has released two games, Dookey Dash and Forge, independently.nWay and Animoca Brands get to benefit from access to Yuga’s well-known NFT collections through the partnership. The companies confirmed that as part of the gaming experience, gamers will be able to collect and take ownership of in-game digital assets in the form of NFTs.Animoca acquired nWay in December 2019 for $7.69 million. The games developer and publisher creates and distributes triple A games on console, PC, and mobile platforms. At the time of the acquisition Animoca Brands outlined that it foresaw nWay innovating in the area of blockchain-based games, with the intention of both companies working together relative to that endeavor.