The coming crypto bull run ‘an Asian story’

Thaksin Shinawatra, who served as Thailand's 23rd prime minister from 2001 to 2006 and whose daughter Paetongtarn Shinawatra currently serves as the Southeast Asian nation’s prime minister, expressed positive views on crypto while speaking at an event in Bangkok on Monday.Photo by Evan Krause on UnsplashIssuing stablecoins According to a report by Reuters, in his speech, Shinawatra called on Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to enable the trading of stablecoins and cryptocurrencies that are otherwise backed by real-world assets (RWAs). Addressing the consideration of systemic risk posed by cryptocurrencies, Shinawatra stated:"There will be no risk, it is just another currency in the world."  Shinawatra also commented on a government plan to make the Thai tourist resort city of Phuket a potential location for a pilot program which would trial crypto payments. Bullish on crypto This is not the first occasion in which the former Thai prime minister expressed a bullish view on crypto. He has been a long-standing advocate for cryptocurrencies. His comments earlier this week mirror similar views he expressed while speaking at an event at the Intercontinental Hotel in Hua Hin in December. On that occasion, he stated: “There are already many cryptocurrencies. Some people say that in the future, we will have more currencies than countries.”  In Hua Hin, he also suggested that his friends believe that Bitcoin could reach a unit price of $850,000. With that potential rise in value, Shinawatra wants Thai citizens to be well-positioned for the crypto wave. He encouraged the Thai government to engage positively with digital assets and to take the time to study the emerging asset class. Back in August, Thailand’s SEC launched the Digital Asset Regulatory Sandbox as part of an initiative to permit interested service providers to trial crypto-related services within a controlled sandbox environment.  Building on that sentiment expressed by Shinawatra in December, in his latest speech, he called on the country’s financial institutions to be more open to cryptocurrency.  Paying attention to U.S. policy on crypto In making that call, he cited developments in the United States. Particularly, he focused on the incoming U.S. administration’s positive embrace of digital assets. This includes positive commentary made by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and the appointment of Paul Atkins by Trump as the new head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the U.S. Atkins has already outlined plans to collaborate with crypto-friendly SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda, with a view towards shaping the agency’s crypto policies.  Beyond crypto, the former prime minister had a number of other suggestions that he feels would be good for Thailand. With regard to the country’s stock market, he called for tighter regulatory oversight, tax incentives for long-term investors and improved corporate governance. He encouraged the opening of a carbon credit trading venue in order to ensure better pricing. Shinawatra believes that Thailand should legalize online gambling on the basis that it is currently losing 100 billion Thai baht ($4 billion) in annual tax revenue from the activity. The Thai government has moved to approve a draft law that would legalize casinos and gambling.

India’s RBI Cites Stablecoin Risks With Call for Global RegulationIn its latest Financial Stability Report released on Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) expressed concerns about the potential harm stablecoins could inflict on emerging markets and developing economies (EMDE).Photo by rupixen.com on UnsplashPerennial criticThe RBI has been a consistent critic of cryptocurrencies, but particularly so in the case of stablecoins, from an EMDE perspective. However, the lack of authenticated data and inherent data gaps in the crypto ecosystem hindered a comprehensive assessment of financial stability risks.According to the report, one of the ways stablecoins could pose a threat to an EMDE is through currency substitution. Since the underlying assets of stablecoins are generally denominated in freely convertible foreign currencies, the widespread adoption of stablecoins could lead to currency mismatches on the balance sheets of banks, firms, and households, resulting in an increased risk to the economy.Monetary policy headacheFurthermore, the presence of stablecoins in the economy could create challenges for an EMDE’s central bank in setting domestic interest rates and managing liquidity conditions. The decentralized, borderless, and pseudonymous characteristics of crypto-assets make them potentially attractive instruments for circumventing capital flow management measures.Another concern highlighted by the RBI is that stablecoins could undermine credit risk assessment and interfere with banks’ ability to mobilize money and create credit by offering an alternative to the domestic financial system. Additionally, the report emphasized the difficulty in tracking peer-to-peer transactions, on the basis that they increase the potential for illicit activities.In light of these risks, the RBI reiterated its call for global coordination and regulation. It emphasized the need for a globally coordinated approach to analyze the risks posed to EMDEs compared to advanced economies (AEs). As India holds the G20 presidency, one of its priorities is to establish a framework for the global regulation of unbacked crypto-assets, stablecoins, and decentralized finance (DeFi).Establishing a CBDCWhile the RBI has been cautious about cryptocurrencies, it has shown more enthusiasm for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). In November, the RBI launched a wholesale digital rupee pilot project. It followed that up in February with a retail digital rupee pilot project. In March, it signed an agreement with the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates to study a CBDC bridge aimed at facilitating trade and remittances.By calling for global regulation and highlighting the risks associated with stablecoins, the RBI aims to foster a safer and more secure environment for financial transactions while exploring the potential benefits of CBDCs in facilitating trade and remittances.As the discussions around stablecoins and CBDCs continue, we’re likely to see ever greater collaboration between regulators, policymakers, and international organizations with a view towards establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework that addresses the challenges and harnesses the potential of digital assets on a global basis.

Venture Smart Financial Holdings Ltd. (VSFG), a Hong Kong-based financial services company, is gearing up to initiate an exchange-traded fund (ETF) directly investing in bitcoin in the first quarter of this year.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashThat’s according to a report by Bloomberg on Friday. The move aligns with Hong Kong's strategic efforts to establish itself as a digital asset hub, and with that, the company plans to submit an application to the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) for ETF approval. Brian Chan, the group head of investment and product at VSFG, expressed optimism about the potential of this market, setting a goal of achieving $500 million in assets under management by the end of the year. Long-term objectiveWhile the firm has taken the decision to focus on spot crypto ETFs amid a backdrop of spot bitcoin ETF approval in the United States earlier this month, it’s an objective the firm has been working on for some time. In June of last year, crypto media reported that VSFG were planning the launch of such a product. Notwithstanding that intention, the recent launch of several high-profile bitcoin funds in the United States, including offerings from BlackRock and Fidelity Investments, will likely assist the company in getting product approval in Hong Kong. Immediately following U.S. approval, a Hong Kong lawmaker suggested that the Chinese autonomous territory should respond proactively. Johnny Ng outlined that Hong Kong had to respond to secure its global position in developing the digital assets space in Hong Kong. Positive soundingsTowards the end of December, there appeared to be positive soundings on the possibility of spot bitcoin ETF approval in Hong Kong emerging from the local regulator. SFC CEO Julia Leung stated that the regulator was open to the notion of retail participation in spot crypto ETF products. Her comment was followed shortly afterwards by a joint announcement from the SFC alongside the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) that they were prepared to accept applications for such funds. The approval process for such products typically takes weeks to months, following the precedent of traditional ETFs. Hong Kong presently permits futures-based crypto ETFs, with three already listed: CSOP Bitcoin Futures, CSOP Ether Futures and Samsung Bitcoin Futures. However, these funds have a combined asset value of around $50 million. Samsung Asset Management has not ruled out exploring the launch of a spot ETF, while CSOP Asset Management remains silent on the matter. VSFG is one of Hong Kong's first SFC-approved virtual asset managers, offering both traditional and digital wealth management services. Aegis Custody, a digital asset custodian, is in discussions with four asset managers about listing spot crypto products in Hong Kong. The regulatory requirements in the city may lead issuers to impose higher fees compared to the low management levies seen in many new U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs. Although bitcoin experienced substantial growth in anticipation of these U.S. products, it has seen a 10% decline since their trading commenced on Jan. 11. Nevertheless, many industry commentators expect a stronger bitcoin unit price in the medium to long term as a direct consequence of these products.