Top

The coming crypto bull run ‘an Asian story’

Markets·January 09, 2024, 3:10 AM

Australian venture capitalist and founder of MHC Digital Group, Mark Carnegie, is optimistic about bitcoin's potential for a bullish trend, while believing that Asia will be the real force driving the market beyond the exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval hype in the United States.

https://asset.coinness.com/en/news/6239144835d133a8fbb76cee833e2a90.jpg
Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash

$50,000 bitcoin retest

In a recent interview with CNBC, Carnegie expressed his belief that bitcoin is "clearly primed for a bit of a run and a retest to $50,000." The bitcoin unit price stood at around $43,600 at the time of the interview. At the time of writing, it’s weighing in at $46,773. While there’s likely to be considerable resistance in the leading cryptocurrency getting past the psychologically important $50,000 level, the digital asset is certainly heading in the direction that Carnegie had predicted.

 

Looking ahead, Carnegie shared his short-to-medium-term outlook, stating:

"So my feeling is short term, long, medium term, which is, you know, 30 to 90 days, probably a retrace." This suggests that Carnegie anticipates a positive trajectory for bitcoin in the coming months, likely as an initial response to a spot bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S.

 

Last week a report from Singapore-based digital asset financial services firm Matrixport speculated that spot bitcoin ETF applications would be rejected as they have been over the past few years.

 

Market risk factors

However, he also voiced concerns about the current state of the U.S. equity markets and potential recession indicators.

 

Reflecting on the recent miss on payrolls, Carnegie commented:

"I feel like that miss on payrolls last week makes me feel like there's a big flip. And everyone's going to start panicking about a recession."

 

Despite the uncertainty in traditional markets, Carnegie remains optimistic about bitcoin's performance. When asked about the specific impact on cryptocurrencies, he admitted, "How's that going to affect crypto? I don't really know."

 

In a blog post published last Friday, Arthur Hayes, the CIO of Hong Kong-based family office Maelstrom, similarly points to market turbulence in the short to medium term while remaining bullish on bitcoin over the longer term.

 

An Asia-powered bull run

Carnegie highlighted the influence of spot bitcoin ETFs and suggested inflows, noting that there are more net flows from Asia than the U.S. He stated:

“You could easily see $50 - $100 billion in net new flow out of Asia this year, and if that happens..!”

 

He mentioned the anticipation of approximately $5 billion waiting to come into the U.S., characterizing it as substantial but perhaps not as impactful as expected in the short term. "It's an Asian story this time round,” Carnegie claimed.

 

Carnegie also expressed a preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current financial landscape. He stated:

"Bitcoin feels more solid to me at the moment. So on a relative basis, I can talk like I can talk to you. I feel like for the next little while, Bitcoin feels better to me than Ethereum."

 

Mark Carnegie's positive outlook on bitcoin's potential rally to $50,000 aligns with his preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current market conditions, despite concerns about the broader economic landscape.

 

 

More to Read
View All
Web3 & Enterprise·

Apr 19, 2023

Korean Web3 Enabler Participates in NFT.NYC 2023

Korean Web3 Enabler Participates in NFT.NYC 2023The Moon Labs, a Korean Web3 enabler, participated in NFT.NYC 2023 that took place in New York from April 12 to 14, according to Maeil Business Newspaper.Photo by Luca Bravo on UnsplashCollaborations with SuperchiefIn collaboration with New York-based underground artist supporter Superchief Gallery NFT, the Moon Labs advertised its decentralized autonomous organization project LeisureMetaverse on Time Square’s digital screen. Previously, the Moon Labs co-hosted NFT Korea Festival 2023 with Superchief Gallery NFT.A2E incentivization modelThe Moon Labs boasts the web 3.0 community LM Nova, the NFT marketplace PlayNomm, and its native wallet, LM Wallet. In particular, LM Nova has adopted an act-to-earn (A2E) model to provide incentives to users.About NFT.NYCNFT.NYC, one of the world’s largest NFT events, has been held annually since 2018. The show attracted not only crypto entrepreneurs but also artists, investors, and influencers. More than 500 brands took part in the event, and over 1,500 speakers delivered their talks at the conference.The Moon Labs CEO Moon Seong-eok said the company will seize this opportunity to expand global partnerships and further commit to the growth of the NFT ecosystem.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Feb 01, 2024

Terraform Labs claims bankruptcy protection will help SEC lawsuit appeal

Singapore’s Terraform Labs, the company founded by incarcerated crypto entrepreneur Do Kwon, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection as a mechanism to shield itself from potential severe penalties in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) securities fraud lawsuit.Photo by Melinda Gimpel on UnsplashPursuing an appealThe bankruptcy filing, submitted on Tuesday in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware, aims to allow Terraform Labs to pursue an appeal against the SEC's allegations. In the filing, Terraform Labs CEO Chris Amani emphasized the critical nature of the bankruptcy protection for the company's ongoing operations, preservation of value for creditors, including the Terra community, and the pursuit of an appeal against the SEC enforcement action. Amani expressed concerns that, without Chapter 11 protection, the company could face liquidation after the trial, forfeiting its right to appeal and leading to disastrous consequences for its business. Having acted as Terraform’s chief operating officer earlier in 2023, last July Amani was appointed as the firm’s CEO. Protection afforded by Chapter 11The estimated assets and liabilities of Terraform Labs fall between $100 million and $500 million, as disclosed in the firm’s bankruptcy filing earlier this month. Amani highlighted the potential financial strain resulting from a substantial money judgment, indicating that the company might not be able to satisfy such a judgment or post the necessary supersedeas bond for an appeal, a bond that must be provided by a petitioner who attempts to have a judgment set aside, without the protection afforded by Chapter 11. The SEC charged Terraform Labs and former CEO Do Kwon with securities fraud in February 2023, accusing them of orchestrating a "multi-billion dollar crypto asset securities fraud." The Commission claimed the company raised billions from investors through unregistered transactions, offering an interconnected suite of crypto asset securities. Terraform Labs disputes the SEC's summary judgment decision, asserting that the cryptocurrency tokens in question are not securities under the Acts and that the SEC's jurisdiction is not applicable. The potential consequences of liquidation extend beyond the company itself, impacting hundreds of thousands of Luna cryptocurrency holders, the same individuals the SEC purportedly seeks to protect. Luna operates on the Terra blockchain maintained by Terraform Labs. Terraform Labs, known for the algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD and its sister cryptocurrency Luna, filed for bankruptcy protection in the wake of the infamous collapse of both in May 2022. The SEC's case stems from that $40 billion collapse of TerraUSD and a previous version of Luna, accusing Terraform Labs and Kwon of misleading investors about the stability of TerraUSD. Kwon was arrested in March of last year in Montenegro for using false documents. He is currently detained in Montenegro, following his attempt to travel to Dubai with a fake Costa Rican passport. The Terraform founder is currently awaiting extradition to either the United States or South Korea. Both Do Kwon and Terraform Labs deny committing fraud, with the SEC trial scheduled to commence in New York in late March.   

news
Policy & Regulation·

Nov 07, 2024

Crypto community optimism across Asia following Trump’s election victory

Recognition of Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election on Nov. 6 has led to many crypto proponents in Asia foreseeing a positive outcome for crypto within the Asian region, and globally.Photo by Kevin Lanceplaine on UnsplashBright future for cryptoAccording to a report published by the South China Morning Post (SCMP), crypto proponents in China are expectant of a bright future for crypto both on the Chinese mainland and in Hong Kong. The mindset seems to be that a pro-crypto stance in the U.S. will lead to other jurisdictions taking a similar approach. HashKey CEO Livio Weng expressed such a view, stating:“Trump’s pro-crypto stance is expected not only to invigorate the US virtual-asset industry, but also to encourage Hong Kong to further relax its own virtual-asset policies in its quest to become a global Web3 hub.”  Prior to being elected, Trump had promised to fire Gary Gensler, who as Chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has pursued a strategy of regulation by enforcement, a course of action that has been broadly criticized by crypto market participants in the United States. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse wasted no time in calling on Trump to act, and to fire Gensler. Influencing regulatory attitudesThere seems to be a consensus among commentators that the regulatory approach to crypto in the U.S. is going to become crypto-friendly. Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher suggests that “a Trump victory is a WIN for US tech innovation, as it would solidify [the United States’] status as a crypto powerhouse.” Weng believes that “this shift could also positively influence regulatory attitudes toward virtual assets in mainland China.” That view is mirrored in South Korea by KP Jang, head of Xangle Research. Jang asserts that “if Trump implements bold virtual asset policies while improving existing regulations, it is expected to accelerate regulatory reforms in Korea as well.” Sumit Gupta, CEO and co-founder of India’s largest crypto exchange, CoinDCX, outlined on X that Trump’s victory is a pivotal moment for global crypto, adding:”The direct effects of Trump’s policies might not alter India’s regulatory environment right away. However, global sentiment and investor behaviour will be influenced, eventually reaching India.” The CoinDCX CEO believes that should Trump now appoint regulatory leadership that’s crypto-positive, any resultant crypto regulatory framework adopted by the U.S. could become a blueprint for use by other nations. Gupta identified further potential upside insofar as the implementation of positive crypto policies by Trump would lead to a more attractive environment for crypto, “potentially opening up enhanced funding opportunities and partnerships for Indian startups as investors seek global growth.” Bitcoin price surgeAt the time of writing, the Bitcoin unit price is up 0.64% over the course of the past 24 hours, at $74,884. American business news channel CNBC reported that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 before Trump even takes office.  Matthew Hougan, chief investment officer (CIO) at crypto asset fund manager Bitwise, said that Trump’s election victory could herald in a “golden age of crypto,” with a friendlier regulatory environment leading to greater institutional investment and mainstream adoption.

news
Loading