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NVT Ratio Signals Overvalued BTCThe network value to transaction (NVT) ratio of Bitcoin, which has been staying at a high level since the beginning of the year, has signaled its overvaluation, according to Yonhap Infomax.However, some argue that this will not necessarily lead to a crypto winter, considering that the nature of Bitcoin as an asset has changed and there is no sign of overheating in other indicators.©Pexels/PixabayPrice and NVT ratio correlationYonhap Infomax found out that the correlation between the NVT ratio and the price of Bitcoin over the past six years is -0.35. A value of 1 represents a completely positive correlation, while a value of -1 represents a completely negative correlation.Extending this period to 2010 makes the correlation close to 0, but during the early years, NVT ratios showed high volatility, shooting up to four digits. Such a high volatility doesn’t suggest much correlation. Until 2021, there was a high correlation of up to -0.44.The NVT ratio is calculated by dividing the market cap by the transacted volume. Conceptually, it is similar to the price-to-earnings ratio for the stock market.In 2017, when the crypto market was bullish, the average Bitcoin NVT ratio was 7.3. This number became 8.7 in 2021 when the market experienced a similar pattern. In retrospect, single-digit NVT ratios usually hint at bullish markets.This year so far, Bitcoin has been relatively overvalued, given that the average NVT ratio is 23.6.BTC price recoveryWhen the crypto market sentiment lost its confidence due to the FTX bankruptcy last year, the price of Bitcoin went down to $15,000. It later recovered to the near $30,000 level. The Bitcoin price once had reached an all-time high in 2021, surpassing $65,000.The years that manifested similar patterns as this year were 2018 and 2019. In those years, the Bitcoin NVT ratio plateaued around 20.Uncertain outlookThe NVT ratio itself could point to a possible crypto winter, but researchers say it’s hard to say.Jang Kyung-pil, a research analyst at crypto data platform Xangle, said that people now consider Bitcoin as a store of value rather than a means of transactions, pointing out that BTC’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has hit the bottom at 0.84 and now reached 1.4. According to Jang, MVRV values under 1 indicate undervaluation and those above 3 indicate overvaluation.Jung Seok-moon, head of the research center at crypto exchange Korbit, said that the current NVT ratio signals BTC overvaluation. He added that the Fed is likely to turn dovish in its monetary policy, which would prompt a strong BTC uptrend.

Ripple Pursues International Growth Via Dubai ExpansionThe Dubai Fintech Summit was held in the Venice of the Gulf earlier this week, bringing with it an announcement from Ripple outlining its plans to expand in the Middle Eastern location.Photo by Christoph Schulz on UnsplashResponding to the regulatory environmentRipple CEO Brad Garlinghouse was a keynote speaker at the Summit on Monday, and he took that opportunity to outline the company’s plans within the region. Immediately following his speech, Garlinghouse took to social media to confirm those plans. He tweeted out:“As I just shared on stage at #DubaiFintechSummit, @Ripple is expanding in Dubai. With 20% of our customers based in MENA and clear regulatory regimes being developed, it’s no surprise that Dubai is emerging as a key global financial hub for crypto innovation to thrive.”It’s no coincidence that at the very same event, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong was present alongside the company’s executive team. Armstrong also spoke at the event and the outcome of that involvement saw Coinbase too, signaling that it sees potential in setting up a regional base in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).In Coinbase’s case, it’s understood that it is considering the Emirate of Abu Dhabi as opposed to Dubai. Nonetheless, the rationale for pursuing such a move by both leading digital assets companies is the same. Both have been outspoken about the issues they have with the regulatory situation as it exists in the United States right now, relative to digital assets.Office presenceAs an initial step in that Middle East expansion, Ripple is opening an office in Dubai. The office will be located within the Dubai International Financial Centre (DFIC). In what appears like an effort to underscore the company’s official arrival in the United Arab Emirates, Ripple is holding its seventh annual customer conference in the country’s capital later this year.This week, Garlinghouse confirmed that the company’s prolonged legal battle with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States is projected to cost the company a whopping $200 million. The Biden administration is using all the major financial agencies in the US to clamp down on the sector. It’s little wonder, therefore, that companies like Ripple and Coinbase are seeking refuge overseas.That regulatory and administrative landscape in the United States relative to crypto stands in total contrast to the experience of Navin Gupta, Ripple’s Managing Director of South Asia & MENA in respect of the UAE. In an interview with CoinDesk TV Gupta said that the “UAE as a market is very attractive to us, the Middle East as a market is doing very well.”Gupta drew on his experience in working in Silicon Valley previously and recalling how back then it had three ingredients that made it function that he believes is now the case for the UAE: talent, venture capital investment and a workable regulatory approach.

Korea considers legal recognition of virtual assets as trust assets for investor protectionSouth Korea’s Ministry of Justice (MOJ) is assessing whether customers’ virtual assets on cryptocurrency exchanges should be legally recognized as trust assets. This classification would give users priority in claiming their virtual assets in case of an exchange’s bankruptcy, thus strengthening investor protection. There’s a noted concern about potential disputes in such bankruptcy situations, as users’ digital assets are typically considered to be in the custody or storage of these platforms.Photo by Daniel Bernard on UnsplashLegal study by Seoul National UniversityAccording to a Tuesday report by local news outlet ChosunBiz, citing industry and legal sources, the MOJ has initiated a legal study on this subject. The research is being conducted by the Seoul National University R&DB Foundation, which started the project earlier this month.Through this study, the MOJ is expected to examine the legal classification of cryptocurrency as property. This review is significant because, for cryptocurrencies to be held in a trust, they must be legally recognized as property. Meanwhile, the upcoming Virtual Asset User Protection Act, set to come into effect next July, mandates that only cash deposits made by users be segregated from the assets of the exchange itself.In Korea, under the current provisions of the Capital Markets Act, virtual assets are not recognized as being held in a trust. Instead, staked cryptocurrencies are seen as being under custodial management or storage. In such arrangements, only a debtor-creditor relationship concerning virtual assets is acknowledged, differing from the legal framework of a trust.Prioritization of rightsIf a cryptocurrency exchange becomes insolvent and enters liquidation, the current legal framework could end up prioritizing the rights of the exchange’s creditors or shareholders over those of the crypto investors. This situation has faced criticism for its inadequate protection of investors. However, if the crypto assets were considered to be held in trusts, it would enable users to acquire “rights to foreclose outside bankruptcy.” This means users would have the right to receive priority reimbursement for their crypto assets, offering them a higher level of protection in the event of an exchange’s bankruptcy.Regarding this development, an official from the MOJ said that while the study is a fundamental legal review focused on exploring ways to protect users through the application of trusts for various cryptocurrency transactions, including those involving decentralized finance (DeFi), it is too early to provide specific details at this stage.