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Bitcoin-Yen pair sets new record amid pressure on Japan’s fiat currency

Markets·February 16, 2024, 5:33 AM

Early on Thursday bitcoin surged to a record high in terms of its valuation in Japanese yen, outpacing its valuations in other leading fiat currencies such as U.S. dollars, euros, British pounds and Australian dollars.

 

Currency devaluation

This increase in yen valuation can be attributed to the recent depreciation of the Japanese currency against the backdrop of continued money printing by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and resurging inflation, which have collectively weakened sentiment surrounding the yen.

 

Fiat currencies, including the Japanese yen, lack backing by hard assets and derive their value solely from market perceptions. The current rally of bitcoin is indicative of the prevailing market sentiments, with the yen exhibiting particular vulnerability among major fiat currencies.

 

For instance, early market activity on Thursday witnessed bitcoin, often hailed by proponents as digital gold, hitting a fresh all-time high of 7.9 million yen on Tokyo-based cryptocurrency exchange bitFLYER. In contrast, the cryptocurrency's dollar-denominated price hovered above $52,000, still 32% below its peak of $69,000 in November 2021. This price disparity underscores the strain on the Japanese yen, fueled by the Bank of Japan's persistent liquidity easing measures, rising inflationary pressures and indications of economic fragility.

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Entering recession

This recent surge coincides with reports confirming Japan's descent into an economic recession by the end of the previous year, slipping to fourth place behind Germany in terms of the world’s largest economies.

 

While central banks worldwide, including the Federal Reserve, aggressively raised interest rates in attempts to curb inflation, the Bank of Japan maintained near-zero interest rates and continued printing fiat currency. A recession characterized by inflation without corresponding growth prompts investors to seek refuge in safer havens like gold and digital gold. With that, there could be further opportunities for bitcoin to make further in-roads in Japan.

 

In 2023, Japan's core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy components from the consumer price index (CPI), rose by 3.1%, marking its most significant increase since 1982. Consequently, the yen depreciated to a 33-year low against the dollar, declining by 13% and 7.5% against the dollar previously, with an additional 6.4% decrease this year.

 

Bitcoin's persistent premium in Japanese yen terms suggests that it may continue to maintain higher valuations unless the Bank of Japan accelerates its exit from the ultra-loose monetary policy it has been pursuing. That would make yen holdings relatively more attractive compared to other assets.

 

Although a complete regulatory framework for digital assets in Japan is still lacking, the country has recently moved to make tax rules more crypto-friendly. Bitcoin's elevated valuation against the Japanese yen underscores the challenges facing Japan's fiat currency, driven by monetary policy decisions and economic uncertainties.

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Policy & Regulation·

Jun 16, 2023

SEC Opposes Motion to Dismiss Terraform Labs Lawsuit

SEC Opposes Motion to Dismiss Terraform Labs LawsuitLawyers representing the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have responded to a motion to dismiss the lawsuit filed by Dentons, the lawyers representing Singapore-based Terraform Labs and its Founder Do Kwon.Photo by Miguel Á. Padriñán on PexelsCourt filingAccording to its arguments, set out in a court filing lodged to the District Court of the Southern District of New York on Thursday, the SEC’s counsel claims that the additional documents provided by Dentons lack sufficient grounds for dismissing the case.It claims that the internal SEC emails presented by Dentons are irrelevant to the current lawsuit. The SEC asserts that the parameters of an “investment contract” are clearly defined by the Howey test and argue that TerraUSD ($UST) should be classified as a security.The reliance by US regulators on the Howey test, a legal test case that implicated citrus grove contracts that date back to 1946, has proven to be controversial. Naturally, there could have been no consideration of the digital innovation that digital assets present today almost eighty years ago. Notwithstanding that, the SEC maintains that the principle factors of what constitutes an investment contract are covered by the case regardless.During the court hearing held on June 15, Dentons submitted supplementary documents to strengthen their motion to dismiss the lawsuit. The primary focus of the hearing was to determine whether the digital assets developed by Terraform Labs should be categorized as securities based on the criteria of an “investment contract.”Dentons maintains that the algorithmic stablecoin, $UST, should not be considered a security and emphasizes its practical purpose rather than its classification as an investment contract. To support their motion, Dentons included additional documents such as the US House Financial Services Committee hearing on digital asset regulation and stablecoin issuance, the SEC’s request for a restraining order against Binance.US, and the Hinman emails from the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit.Judge to decideThe defense lawyers highlighted what they perceive as a “regulatory gap” in classifying crypto assets as securities, particularly as the US Congress engages in discussions about regulatory frameworks for digital assets and stablecoin issuance. Furthermore, they argued that the SEC is exceeding the scope of securities laws and relying on internal emails related to “investment contracts” to determine the security status.A decision on the motion to dismiss will be arrived at by July 14. Judge Jed Rakoff, who is presiding over the case, will be responsible for that, once he’s weighed up the merits of the arguments presented by both parties.It is noteworthy that Dentons has previously represented Kwon in challenging the US SEC’s subpoena during the investigation of the Mirror Protocol in 2021, as well as in a class-action lawsuit in the Singapore High Court in 2022. The law firm also provides representation to Terraform Labs in other legal matters.In a separate development, the Basic Court in Podgorica, Montenegro, has granted bail for Kwon and former Terra Chief Technology Officer Han Chang-joon. However, Kwon has recently been taken into custody for extradition in Montenegro while the court deliberates on South Korea’s extradition request for the Terra founder.As the legal proceedings continue, the outcome of the motion to dismiss will have significant implications for the ongoing dispute between Terraform Labs, Do Kwon, and the SEC.

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Policy & Regulation·

Jun 28, 2023

Hong Kong Web3 Companies Invest Millions in VASP Licenses

Hong Kong Web3 Companies Invest Millions in VASP LicensesWeb3 firms in Hong Kong are making significant financial investments to obtain Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) licenses.According to a report by Foresight News on Tuesday, the cost of these licenses is ranging between 20 million and 200 million Hong Kong dollars ($2.55 million and $25.5 million).Industry sources explained to the publication that the high costs are due to the lack of existing infrastructure in traditional financial institutions, requiring significant investments in various aspects such as products and teams. Even experienced cryptocurrency institutions find the cost of obtaining a license to be substantial.Photo by Daniam Chou on UnsplashEarly licenseesAnalysts at Foresight highlighted that several Hong Kong subsidiaries of exchanges, including OKX, BitgetX, HashKey Pro, OSL, and Gate.io, have already commenced operations. OKX, in particular, has witnessed impressive growth in Hong Kong, with 8,800 registered users and a cumulative trading volume of $150 million as of June 27.To regulate the cryptocurrency exchange industry, Hong Kong introduced new VASP licensing requirements on June 1.These requirements mandate firms to disclose user statistics and company financials to the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) of Hong Kong for regulatory approval. Exchanges that fail to comply with the requirements will be compelled to halt operations in the special administrative region (SAR) by mid-next year.Virtual asset ratingsOn the same day, the Hong Kong Virtual Asset Consortium unveiled its virtual asset index, which encompasses major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, as well as altcoins and privacy tokens. The consortium aims to offer ratings services and indexes to facilitate retail crypto trading in the SAR. Notably, it has received support from prominent players in the industry, including Huobi, KuCoin, Bitget, and others.The introduction of VASP licenses and the subsequent investments made by Web3 companies demonstrate the evolving regulatory landscape in Hong Kong. With the stringent licensing requirements, the industry aims to enhance transparency and accountability, ensuring the protection of investors and fostering a more secure environment for cryptocurrency trading.The involvement of established exchanges and the formation of the Hong Kong Virtual Asset Consortium further underscore the growing interest and support for cryptocurrencies in the region. These initiatives are designed to provide retail investors with reliable information.In that way, they enable them to make informed decisions while participating in the digital assets space. The consortium’s collaboration with industry leaders reflects a collective effort to promote the growth and adoption of cryptocurrencies in Hong Kong.Last week’s news of banking stalwart HSBC offering Hong Kong-based crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to its banking customers has also delivered a shot in the arm to the development of crypto in the Chinese autonomous territory.As the regulatory framework continues to evolve and mature, it is expected that Hong Kong will attract more Web3 companies seeking to operate in a regulated and compliant environment.The investment in VASP licenses signals a commitment to long-term growth in establishing a base in Hong Kong. Ongoing developments in Hong Kong over the course of the past six months point to the recognition of the potential benefits that cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can bring to the financial landscape of Hong Kong and level of the level of intent locally to progress the technology.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Sep 22, 2023

Korean Metaverse Platforms Face Uncertain Future Amidst Mounting Challenges

Korean Metaverse Platforms Face Uncertain Future Amidst Mounting ChallengesSeveral Korean metaverse platforms, which had promised to usher in a new world bridging online and offline experiences, have found themselves in premature jeopardy, according to industry observations. Various companies that had earmarked metaverse platforms as their future growth driver failed to establish an effective revenue structure to bring this to fruition, leading to speculation that there are limits to successfully developing this branch of business.Photo by GuerrillaBuzz on UnsplashDwindling popularityMetaverse platforms first garnered significant attention during the COVID-19 pandemic, but interest has waned since then — in Google Trends, the keyword “metaverse” has been showing a clear decline since reaching its peak in November of 2021.The actual usage rates of such platforms have also been low. According to the Korea Information Society Development Institute, last year’s usage rate was a mere 4.2%, and some local government-funded platforms had only about 200 daily visitors despite considerable budget sizes.As a result, companies struggling with financial difficulties have opted to downsize their operations, strategizing for mid- to long-term approaches to improving efficiency until an era of metaverse popularization arrives.Roadblocks for small and large companies alikeAccording to industry sources on Friday, platforms like Cytown, developed by social networking space Cyworld, have shut down after just a year, while Kakao Games’ collaborative metaverse venture Colorverse and Com2us Group’s Com2Verse have entered into restructuring phases.Com2verse’s decision comes just two months after the official release of its all-in-one metaverse platform. The company plans to provide three months’ salary to those applying for voluntary resignation and prioritize hiring new faces when expanding the workforce in the future. The scale of voluntary resignation has not been disclosed.The restructuring process will affect all employees except those involved in core functions such as development and services. Employees opting for voluntary resignation will also have the option to transfer to other subsidiaries under Com2us Group.Founded in April of last year, Com2Verse recorded an operating loss of KRW 8.3 billion (approximately $6.2 million) in the first half of this year. Its parent company, Com2us, also recorded consecutive deficits, starting with an operating loss of KRW 19.4 billion in last year’s fourth quarter, followed by losses of KRW 14.8 billion and KRW 5.6 billion in this year’s first and second quarters, respectively. Despite maintaining a stable revenue in its game business, the company faced challenges due to the poor performance of its subsidiary companies and the mounting labor costs needed for accelerating new business endeavors.Com2us has thus determined that it would be difficult to boost revenue and improve cost structure in the short term. Hence, the company chose to restructure its organization while retaining key personnel working under the Convention Center, an event platform on Com2Verse, which is expected to drive the business forward.Com2us emphasized that its commitment to the metaverse market remains unchanged, stating, “Given the current situation of local and international metaverse industries, we believe that significant time and investment will always be necessary. Therefore, we have decided that choosing our priorities and focusing on them is the best way to respond to long-term market changes.”Similarly, Kakao Entertainment had signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) last year with Neptune, a game developer in which Kakao Games owns a 35% share, and Colorverse, a metaverse company in which Neptune owns a 44% share, to jointly work on an open three-dimensional metaverse platform also called Colorverse. However, Colorverse has also undergone restructuring since earlier this year to reduce its workforce after it posted an operating loss of KRW 11.5 billion last year.Industry analysts have attributed Colorverse’s business slump to the departure of Namkoong Whon, the former CEO who had pinned his hopes on a metaverse as one of the conglomerate’s promising enterprises.Korean game developer NCSOFT had also said that it is building its own metaverse platform dubbed “Miniverse,” which allows various types of online gatherings from community meetups and study groups to remote classes and work. The company had even conducted a welcome presentation for new employees through Miniverse, but news regarding the project has been scant since then.As these major corporations have been struggling to overcome such hurdles, smaller startups have undoubtedly been facing increasingly dire circumstances as well, with some even resorting to unexpected suspensions of service operations without prior notice. Others have promoted themselves as metaverse platforms and issued virtual assets that can be used within the virtual world, but in many cases, these assets have proven to be of little benefit or use.“A revenue structure that can generate income from metaverse platforms has not yet been established. With the gradual decline in remote education, meetings, and telecommuting after the easing of the pandemic, the value of metaverse platforms has also decreased. Also, factors like increased information technology (IT) labor costs and the overall state of the global economy are influencing business momentum,” an industry insider commented.

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