Crypto.com tops USD-supported crypto exchange trading volume in July

It emerged on Wednesday that the Indian version of the Apple App Store has blocked access to eight crypto exchanges that were recently subject to a show cause notice from an Indian government agency, the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU). The development occurred only two weeks after these global firms were flagged for allegedly operating "illegally" in the country. The FIU had cited non-compliance with India's anti-money laundering rules. In its statement on Dec. 28, the FIU urged India's IT Ministry to block the websites of all nine services in the country. The affected exchanges include Huobi, Gate.io, Bittrex, Binance, Kraken, Kucoin, MEXC Global and Bitfinex. Binance acknowledged the issue in a social media post, stating that it will continue to work with local regulators. Interestingly, Bitstamp, another exchange mentioned by the FIU, remained operational on the App Store in India. While these apps have been removed from the Apple App Store, they are still available on the Google Play Store in India and their websites remain accessible within the country. Users who had previously installed these apps on their devices can still access them. Photo by Naveed Ahmed on UnsplashTax avoidanceThe backdrop for this action involves a trend where many Indian traders had shifted to global cryptocurrency platforms rather than native digital asset exchanges. India initiated cryptocurrency taxation last year, imposing a 30% tax on gains and a 1% deduction on each crypto transaction.  While Indian-based exchanges like CoinSwitch, CoinDCX and WazirX maintain compliant know-your-customer verifications, global platforms have not followed suit. Notably, WazirX has experienced a drastic 97% drop in trading volume over two years as many traders migrated to global apps. It’s thought that as many as five million crypto users have shifted their trading activity to offshore exchanges. The tax has proven to be controversial and according to Dr. Vikash Gautam, the author of a report on the tax measure published last November, “it just isn’t enforceable . . . It is possible to be done with international cooperation, but we do understand it is a long process. Some of the other countries have some arrangements with international exchanges to track that." Leveling the playing fieldIt’s amid that competitive backdrop that native Indian exchanges lobbied the Indian government through the Bharat Web3 Association (BWA) to take action against unregulated offshore exchanges recently. CoinSwitch's co-founder and CEO, Ashish Singhal, urged offshore exchanges to comply with local regulations, suggesting registration with the FIU and adherence to India's Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Counter-Terrorist Financing (CFT) measures. Singhal, whose CoinSwitch platform is a founding member of the BWA industry advocacy group, highlighted that this would not only benefit offshore exchanges but also enhance consumer protection in India through increased regulatory oversight. Earlier warnings from Indian cryptocurrency exchanges foresaw users shifting to decentralized exchanges or non-compliant services due to the New Delhi government's taxation policy on crypto. In response, CoinDCX announced incentives for customers transferring their crypto assets from global exchanges to its India-based platform. Taking to social media on Wednesday, CoinDCX founder Sumit Gumpta stated:”This is a defining moment for [virtual digital assets] in India, and we're dedicated to facilitating a seamless and secure transition for investors navigating these changes.”   

Bitcoin’s long-standing four-year market cycle tied to halving events may be losing influence, according to a new outlook from crypto exchange Bybit and research firm Block Scholes that examines market conditions through 2026. The report suggests that Bitcoin price action may be increasingly influenced by macroeconomic policy, institutional participation, and market structure rather than by new supply reductions. It says historical cycles have tended to track changes in global liquidity, often measured by global M2, and that this relationship has become more visible, while Bitcoin continues to respond to shifts in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.Photo by Pawel Czerwinski on UnsplashETFs reshaping demand dynamicsThe analysis points to structural changes in demand, citing the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the growth of corporate digital asset treasuries (DATs). The report says ETF flows and corporate balance-sheet allocations are playing a larger role in price formation than retail trading. That shift is disrupting the traditional capital rotation from Bitcoin into Ethereum and then into smaller altcoins and memecoins. As a result, the report suggests broad altcoin rallies may be harder to ignite, with gains depending on whether assets can be incorporated into institutional products such as ETFs. On the macro front, the report says markets are pricing in further Federal Reserve easing, with looser financial conditions potentially supporting a closer relationship between Bitcoin and major stock indexes despite recent underperformance versus U.S. equities. Based on options pricing, the report estimates a 10.3% implied probability that Bitcoin reaches $150,000 by the end of 2026. At present, Bitcoin is trading slightly above $91,000. Index criteria and Japan policy in viewThe analysis also highlights policy risks, including potential volatility tied to concerns over the possible exclusion of Strategy from major stock indexes, which could affect companies holding digital assets on their balance sheets. That risk has since eased after MSCI paused a proposal that would have excluded firms with digital asset reserves, though Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer cautioned that the issue could resurface in future rule reviews. The Bybit-Block Scholes report also cites potential policy tightening by the Bank of Japan later this year as another source of cross-asset risk, following its December rate hike of 25 basis points to a 30-year high of 0.75%. RWA and stablecoinsOne area of focus in the report for 2026 is real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, which it describes as building on the stablecoin adoption that gathered pace last year. That view is echoed in a separate outlook from Moody’s, cited by Cointelegraph, which says fiat-backed stablecoins and tokenized bank deposits are functioning as “digital cash” for settlement, liquidity management, and collateral movement. Moody’s estimates stablecoins processed about $9 trillion in on-chain settlement volume in 2025 and projects banks, asset managers, and infrastructure providers could invest more than $300 billion in digital finance by 2030. As an example, Moody’s cited JPMorgan’s U.S. dollar–denominated deposit token, JPM Coin, as a way digital-cash layers can operate on top of existing banking systems. The bank’s Kinexys unit plans to work with Digital Asset to bring JPM Coin to Digital Asset’s Canton Network in a phased rollout during 2026. This follows JPMorgan’s expansion of the project onto Coinbase’s Ethereum layer-2 network Base for institutional clients. 

Newly Published CoinGecko Index Tracks Alleged Crypto SecuritiesKuala Lumpur-based crypto data aggregator CoinGecko has unveiled a ground-breaking index spotlighting prominent cryptocurrency tokens that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has earmarked as potential securities.Through its “Top Alleged Securities Coins by Market Cap” page, the Malaysian aggregator categorizes a spectrum of cryptocurrency assets based on their market capitalization. At the forefront of this classification stands BNB, the native token of the Binance exchange and the BNB blockchain. It is closely followed by other prominent names such as Cardano, Solana, and Tron.Photo by Shubham Dhage on Unsplash$90 billion in valueThe alleged securities amount to a whopping $90 billion in value according to their combined market capitalization right now. Putting this in context, the overall market capitalization of the entire crypto market currently stands at $1.2 trillion, of which Bitcoin accounts for over half a trillion dollars. This estimation paints a vivid picture of the immense scale of the cryptocurrency market and the potential reverberations of regulatory interventions.CoinGecko’s index came to fruition in the first week of August, meticulously pooling the tokens that the SEC has previously classified as securities during legal proceedings. The decision to consolidate these tokens into a single index underscores the increasingly intricate interplay between the cryptocurrency market and regulatory frameworks.Lack of clarityWhen project teams and other market participants have asked for explicit clarity, SEC Chair Gary Gensler has frustratingly indicated that people need to make a simple determination based on the Howey Test — a historic securities case that has been used in the US to determine what constitutes a security. The case dates back to 1946, long before the onset of digitization let alone digital currencies.Another issue is that the SEC is simply expressing an opinion based on its interpretation of existing securities law and securities case law. Without legislation in the US, clarity can only be provided in the courts. This is a flawed approach, as market participants have to wait for actions taken by the SEC against crypto entities to be adjudicated in the US courts in order to get a better understanding of the legal standing of these assets.This comprehensive analysis provided by CoinGecko’s new index presents invaluable insights into the dynamic terrain of cryptocurrency regulation. It underscores the intricate dynamics between the digital currency market and the regulatory bodies that seek to govern it.Taking the regulation of derivatives as a case in point, their emergence led to a very messy process of arriving at regulatory clarity. The very same thing is playing out with digital assets. While it is imperfect, there is no doubt that clarity will eventually be reached.In the meantime, as the US fumbles where digital assets are concerned, regional authorities in East Asia and the Middle East are capitalizing on US regulatory shortcomings, implying that we will likely see further growth in crypto and Web3 in these locations until the US recovers.