Binance subsidiary becomes third firm to secure license in Indonesia

Australian venture capitalist and founder of MHC Digital Group, Mark Carnegie, is optimistic about bitcoin's potential for a bullish trend, while believing that Asia will be the real force driving the market beyond the exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval hype in the United States.Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash$50,000 bitcoin retestIn a recent interview with CNBC, Carnegie expressed his belief that bitcoin is "clearly primed for a bit of a run and a retest to $50,000." The bitcoin unit price stood at around $43,600 at the time of the interview. At the time of writing, it’s weighing in at $46,773. While there’s likely to be considerable resistance in the leading cryptocurrency getting past the psychologically important $50,000 level, the digital asset is certainly heading in the direction that Carnegie had predicted. Looking ahead, Carnegie shared his short-to-medium-term outlook, stating:"So my feeling is short term, long, medium term, which is, you know, 30 to 90 days, probably a retrace." This suggests that Carnegie anticipates a positive trajectory for bitcoin in the coming months, likely as an initial response to a spot bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S. Last week a report from Singapore-based digital asset financial services firm Matrixport speculated that spot bitcoin ETF applications would be rejected as they have been over the past few years. Market risk factorsHowever, he also voiced concerns about the current state of the U.S. equity markets and potential recession indicators. Reflecting on the recent miss on payrolls, Carnegie commented:"I feel like that miss on payrolls last week makes me feel like there's a big flip. And everyone's going to start panicking about a recession." Despite the uncertainty in traditional markets, Carnegie remains optimistic about bitcoin's performance. When asked about the specific impact on cryptocurrencies, he admitted, "How's that going to affect crypto? I don't really know." In a blog post published last Friday, Arthur Hayes, the CIO of Hong Kong-based family office Maelstrom, similarly points to market turbulence in the short to medium term while remaining bullish on bitcoin over the longer term. An Asia-powered bull runCarnegie highlighted the influence of spot bitcoin ETFs and suggested inflows, noting that there are more net flows from Asia than the U.S. He stated:“You could easily see $50 - $100 billion in net new flow out of Asia this year, and if that happens..!” He mentioned the anticipation of approximately $5 billion waiting to come into the U.S., characterizing it as substantial but perhaps not as impactful as expected in the short term. "It's an Asian story this time round,” Carnegie claimed. Carnegie also expressed a preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current financial landscape. He stated:"Bitcoin feels more solid to me at the moment. So on a relative basis, I can talk like I can talk to you. I feel like for the next little while, Bitcoin feels better to me than Ethereum." Mark Carnegie's positive outlook on bitcoin's potential rally to $50,000 aligns with his preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current market conditions, despite concerns about the broader economic landscape.  

Coins.ph leads Digital Asset Exchange Alliance in Southeast AsiaCoins.ph, a leading Filipino cryptocurrency exchange, has taken a step towards promoting responsible and secure cryptocurrency usage in Southeast Asia through the establishment of the Digital Asset Exchange Alliance (DAEA).Photo by Mike L on UnsplashRegional industry partnershipIn a press release published on Friday, the company announced the formation of the industry body. The strategic partnership includes other prominent licensed exchanges in the region, namely Coinhako (Singapore), Indodax (Indonesia) and Bitkub (Thailand).Wei Zhou, CEO of Coins.ph, expressed enthusiasm about the collaborative effort, stating:“Coins.ph is excited to work with our Southeast Asian counterparts in advancing the responsible and secure use of cryptocurrencies and promoting the development of user-friendly and compliant products for users.”Zhou emphasized the belief that the alliance’s combined efforts would contribute to building a more robust and resilient cryptocurrency ecosystem in Southeast Asia.Unifying licensed exchangesThe DAEA represents a milestone in unifying licensed exchanges across the Southeast Asian region, aiming to enhance regulatory advocacy by leveraging the collective expertise and experience of the four founding exchanges. It seeks to foster collaboration by sharing protocols and best practices to elevate service quality and bolster security measures.Educating users about the benefits of trading on licensed exchanges and the importance of following regulatory guidelines is a core commitment of the Alliance. This extends to promoting financial literacy, consumer protection and responsible trading practices in the cryptocurrency space.The cryptocurrency sector has experienced an outsized proportion of scams and fraud. Within that, Southeast Asian crypto users and platforms have been hardest hit, with instances in recent months of malicious activity across the region, from pig butchering scams to exchange hacks and crypto-related phishing. Regulators have started to counteract such problems, but a level of greater organization within crypto through bodies like the DAEA will go some way further towards protecting crypto users.Building a safer ecosystemYusho Liu, CEO of Coinhako, highlighted the significance of the Alliance for the entire cryptocurrency industry, emphasizing the role of licensed exchanges in fostering trust and growth. He stated:“By collaborating with Coins.ph, Indodax, and Bitkub, we are taking a monumental step towards building a safer and more transparent ecosystem for users in the region.”As the blockchain space evolves with a growing emphasis on regulatory compliance, Coins.ph, along with Coinhako, Indodax and Bitkub, has distinguished itself by prioritizing security and trust through obtaining licenses from their respective regulatory bodies.Moving towards self-regulation2022 brought with it some spectacular crypto platform failures such as FTX, which affected locations like Singapore disproportionately. A regulatory backlash has resulted in 2023, and it is amid that backdrop that we are seeing increasing efforts towards better organization and self-regulation within the crypto sector.The formation of the Digital Asset eXchange Alliance in South Korea, involving a consortium of the top five exchange businesses in the country in July of this year, is a stand-out example. In Taiwan, regulators have been actively fostering self-regulation. Those efforts have resulted in the establishment of an industry group of Taiwanese Exchanges.

Many commentators in the crypto space were pointing to a lowering of interest rates last week by the Federal Reserve in the United States as being a positive development for the pricing of digital assets. However, the introduction of a stimulus package to revive the Chinese economy may also have a role to play. Stimulus packageBloomberg reported on Sept. 24 that People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng had cut a key short-term interest rate. Furthermore, the Bank of China governor plans to implement a reduction in the reserve requirements that are applied to the country’s banks. The Reserve Requirement Ration (RRR) will be cut by 50 basis points, which will mean that $142 billion will be freed up for new lending.  Additionally, a package of measures has been introduced to rejuvenate China’s beleaguered real estate market, lowering the borrowing costs related to $5.3 trillion in mortgages.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashBullish for crypto?Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at financial research platform Real Vision, took to X to comment on the development. Coutts wrote: “The bottom is in for global central bank liquidity for this cycle. Sit back and watch the other CBs fall into line. In a credit-based fiat fractional reserve system, debasement is a feature, not a bug.” Coutts signed off with a “Bitcoin” hashtag, with the inference that the development will have positive implications for Bitcoin. Similarly, market analysts at Singaporean crypto-asset trading firm QCP Capital perceive the move as being bullish for crypto and risk assets more generally. QCP Capital analysts stated: "We believe more easing is coming from the People's Bank of China (PBoC), and they have communicated as much, and combined with the U.S. Federal Reserve joining the global cutting cycle, all major central banks, except Bank of Japan, are now ready to inject more liquidity into the market. The macro space continues to look more and more bullish for risk assets, including crypto."  Taking that consideration further, the QCP Capital analysts suggest that market participants in the crypto space may be caught off guard by a resultant uptick in crypto pricing, stating: "We know how explosive crypto prices can be, and with so many bullish catalysts, we think the next move higher will leave many people surprised and sidelined.” Fed rate cutsMany market commentators were similarly enthused last week following an announcement in the U.S. by Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman, of a 50 basis point rate cut, with the suggestion that further cuts may be implemented going forward. However, not all market pundits are of the same view. Some believe that small interest rate cuts occurring in an overall high rates environment won’t move the needle and that it’s only in a zero rates environment where Bitcoin and crypto skyrocket.  Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at the Maelstrom Fund, asserted in his keynote speech at TOKEN2049 in Singapore last week that he wasn’t enthusiastic about rate cuts driving crypto.  “While I think a lot of people are looking forward to a rate cut, meaning that they think the stock market and other things are going to pump up the jam, I think the markets are going to collapse a few days after the Fed’s rates,” he stated. Markets didn’t collapse subsequently although it seems that they are responding to this latest monetary stimulus introduced by China.