Thailand’s SEC considers Bitcoin ETF approval

In a recent report, Singaporean digital asset financial services firm Matrixport has made a bold forecast regarding the future of bitcoin prices and the potential rejection of spot bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States.Photo by André François McKenzie on UnsplashMinority viewWhile most ETF and crypto industry analysts in recent weeks have been suggesting a greater than 90% chance of the imminent approval of a spot bitcoin ETF coming from the SEC, Matrixport has had its say, speculating that the regulator will once again reject all such applications. In a note published to its website on Wednesday, the firm stated:”The current five-person voting Commissioners leadership critical for the ETF approval of the SEC is dominated by Democrats. SEC Chair Gensler is not embracing crypto in the U.S., and it might even be a very long shot to expect that he would vote to approve bitcoin spot ETFs.” The report emphasizes the dominant influence of Democratic leadership within the SEC, particularly Chairman Gary Gensler's cautious approach to crypto regulation. The Democrat-led administration in the United States has been decidedly anti-crypto in its policies throughout the ongoing term of U.S. President Joe Biden. Matrixport also suggests a potential delay in ETF approvals until Q2 2024, dampening hopes of an imminent market boost. Potential bitcoin price slumpShould the company be right in that speculation, it extrapolates that this turn of events will potentially lead to a substantial decline in bitcoin's value, with the bitcoin unit price possibly dropping to as low as $36,000. This revelation has sent shock waves through the market, prompting Matrixport to advise investors to take protective measures. The recommended strategies include purchasing put options or engaging in direct shorting of bitcoin to mitigate potential losses. With an ominous Jan. 5, 2024 deadline looming, traders could decide to hedge their long exposure by purchasing $40,000 strike put options expiring at the end of January or opting for outright short positions through options. Matrixport's report challenges the previously optimistic expectations surrounding bitcoin's future, highlighting the SEC's likely rejection of spot ETFs as a significant factor. Despite the platform's earlier bullish stance, it now expresses skepticism about the SEC's willingness to embrace cryptocurrencies. The firm contends that the current influx of funds into crypto, driven by expectations of ETF approval, could result in significant liquidations if the SEC denies the proposals. The report estimates that about $10 billion of the $14 billion additional investments might be linked to optimistic ETF prospects. Notably, Matrixport foresees a rapid 20% decline in bitcoin's price, reverting to a range of around $36,000 to $38,000 should the SEC reject the ETFs. Positive long-term outlookDespite the potential setback with the SEC, Matrixport maintains a positive long-term outlook for bitcoin, expecting the BTC price to end 2024 above the $42,000 mark, where it started the year. The analysis also considers historical trends in U.S. election years and bitcoin mining cycles for the potential rally. At the time of writing, the bitcoin unit price is down 4.75% over the course of the past 24 hours, now standing at $42,838. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming SEC decision and may well be heeding Matrixport's advice to navigate potential market volatility.  

Incheon Partners with Daehong to Implement Web3-Driven Urban Marketing StrategyIncheon Metropolitan City, renowned for its international airport in South Korea, has partnered with Daehong Communications, a marketing solutions subsidiary of the country’s retail giant Lotte Group, to leverage Web3 technology for the purpose of promoting the city.Daehong has established an extensive global network within the blockchain industry. Among its notable partners are layer 1 blockchain Aptos, Metaverse company Animoca Brands, and decentralized social protocol CyberConnect. One of Daehong’s primary initiatives is the NFT project associated with Bellygom, a pink bear character of Lotte Homeshopping, a media commerce affiliate of Lotte Group.Photo by Daesun Kim on UnsplashHarnessing blockchain for city promotionThrough this collaborative effort, Incheon aims to harness blockchain technology to explore innovative ways of promoting the city and building stronger connections with its residents.Incheon has recently been very dedicated to Web3 initiatives in promoting the city. Last month, it worked with The Sandbox, the virtual gaming platform of Animoca Brands, to create a metaverse representation of the Incheon Landing Operation to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the Korean War Armistice Agreement. More recently, the city unveiled its NFT membership program named “Incheon Heroes,” demonstrating its commitment to pioneering its unique path in the era of Web3.Daehong’s role in Web3 adoptionIn the private sector, Daehong has been working towards the widespread adoption of Web3. The marketing firm introduced business models that integrate NFTs into areas that have significant public engagement, such as ticketing, memberships, and brand characters. Daehong has been actively working to facilitate many brands’ entry into the Web3 space.Lee Se-woong, Brand Manager of Incheon City, anticipates that the collaboration with Daehong will serve as a fresh catalyst for Incheon, expressing excitement about the potential synergies between Incheon’s public infrastructure and Daehong’s industrial expertise.Incheon is set to initiate a range of projects by leveraging the Incheon Heroes NFT membership program and the Incheon Universe, a virtual space that allows visitors to immerse themselves in various facets of the city. Furthermore, the city is in the process of establishing collaborations with enterprises, brands, and artists who share a common interest in promoting the sustainability of both the planet Earth and the city itself.

Japanese Startup Drives Asian Digital Payment Network InitiativeSoramitsu, a pioneering fintech developer from Japan that focuses on blockchain-based solutions, is spearheading an initiative aimed at constructing a seamless cross-border payment system for Asian countries.Photo by Conny Schneider on UnsplashCBDC project involvementAt the core of this emerging international network is Cambodia’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), Bakong, which has garnered increasing attention for its potential to revolutionize digital payments within the region.Soramitsu has played a pivotal role in facilitating the issuance of Asian CBDCs, supporting both Cambodia’s Bakong and Laos’ Digital Lao Kip. Notably, Bakong has already demonstrated its prowess by facilitating QR code-based digital transactions between Cambodia and neighboring nations such as Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam. As of the close of 2022, Bakong boasts an impressive user base of 8.5 million individuals and has facilitated approximately $15 billion in payments.Replicating Cambodian CBDC successTokyo-based news outlet Nikkei reported on Tuesday that the firm’s strategic focus is now on replicating the success of Bakong by enabling comparable cross-border payments between India, China, Laos, and potentially Japan. To this end, Soramitsu’s initial step involves establishing a dedicated Japanese exchange platform for stablecoins.The envisioned system would enable streamlined transactions between countries, converting payments denominated in one CBDC to a stablecoin pegged to the recipient’s currency.Low transaction feesA key advantage of this innovative framework lies in its remarkably low transaction fees. By circumventing conventional interbank networks and intermediary banks, stablecoins can be directly transferred with minimal overhead costs.Although the precise fee structure for the stablecoin exchange remains under consideration, Soramitsu envisions a nominal charge, likely in the range of tens of yen per transaction — a fraction of the cost associated with conventional cross-border transfers.While exchanging stablecoins issued on the same blockchain is straightforward, the challenge arises when dealing with stablecoins issued on disparate blockchains. Soramitsu is actively collaborating with Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking, one of the world’s largest financial services groups, and other prominent partners in Japan to develop the intricate exchange infrastructure necessary to facilitate such cross-blockchain transactions.Japan’s payment landscape received a significant boost in June with the implementation of revisions to the payment law, enabling banks to issue stablecoins. In line with these regulatory changes, local startup JPYC and regional banks are poised to launch yen-denominated stablecoins, some of which are anticipated to debut by 2024.Soramitsu’s vision for constructing a robust cross-border payment network has culminated in the formation of a dedicated project team. Collaborating with Tokyo-based digital services firm Vivit and the Tama University Center for Rule-making Strategies, Soramitsu is also exploring partnerships with major e-commerce platforms to maximize the network’s reach and impact.The underlying motivation is to harness the potential of CBDCs and stablecoins to bridge the gap between Japanese small and medium-sized enterprises and individuals and businesses in Southeast Asia. Given the region’s high smartphone penetration and limited access to traditional banking services, this initiative could prove transformative, granting previously underserved populations greater financial inclusion.