Ongoing access to crypto market in Russia despite sanctions

A Hong Kong-based entity has emerged as the largest new shareholder of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), according to a recent regulatory filing.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashAs of Dec. 31, the firm held roughly 8.79 million shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), valued at $436 million, per a Form 13F disclosure filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The filing identifies the shareholder as "Laurore" and the reporting individual as Zhang Hui. While the entity is listed as Hong Kong–based, the document provides no further details regarding the company’s background or sources of capital. Because Form 13F filings disclose institutional equity holdings only at the end of each quarter, the specific timing of Laurore's accumulation of the IBIT stake remains unclear. Workaround for Chinese Bitcoin restrictionsJeff Park, Chief Investment Officer at ProCap Financial, noted on X that the entity appears to lack a public footprint. He observed that the filer’s name is common in China, suggesting limited traceability, and added that the “Ltd.” designation may indicate an offshore structure often utilized to access U.S. markets. Park further suggested that because IBIT is the firm's sole disclosed holding, Laurore likely functions purely as a $436 million Bitcoin exposure vehicle rather than a diversified fund. He theorized that this structure might reflect Chinese capital seeking regulated Bitcoin exposure via a U.S.-listed ETF, potentially signaling early indications of institutional capital flight. This disclosure arrives amidst a prolonged downturn for Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency is currently trading near $67,000, representing a decline of about 47% from its Oct. 7 peak of $126,000. Analysts split as BTC trades 47% below peakMarket analysts have offered diverging outlooks on Bitcoin’s next move. According to CoinDesk, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mike McGlone stated on X that he has raised his downside target for Bitcoin to roughly $28,000, up from a previous $10,000, arguing that this revised level better aligns with historical price distribution. This update follows McGlone's earlier warning that a continued crypto selloff could signal broader financial stress, and that Bitcoin could fall toward $10,000 if U.S. equities peak and a recession ensues. Conversely, Chase Guo, a former Binance executive, predicts Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high this year. As reported by BeInCrypto, Guo argues that this move will be driven by liquidity dynamics rather than fundamentals, with capital flows, market positioning, and consensus playing decisive roles. Guo believes a liquidity squeeze, fueled by derivatives exposure and capital rotation, could push prices beyond previous highs. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin’s fixed supply, he suggests that even modest institutional or sovereign inflows could exert an outsized impact on price. 

The Japanese Financial Services Agency (FSA), a government body that oversees banking, securities and the digital assets market in Japan, is gearing up to approve the country’s first stablecoin pegged to the yen. Local media platform Nikkei reported on Aug. 18 that it is anticipated that the FSA will approve the issuance of the JPYC stablecoin in the coming months.Photo by Dayo Adepoju on UnsplashEfficient payment infrastructureJPYC, Inc. was founded by Noritaka Okabe in 2019, establishing the JPYC yen-pegged stablecoin in 2021. Okabe believes that the company can better enable innovation in Japan through a more efficient payment infrastructure that JPYC claims to provide via its stablecoin. Prior to launching the stablecoin, JPYC had entered into proof-of-concept and regulatory discussions with the FSA. The JPYC stablecoin has almost complete market dominance within its domestic market, with stablecoins to the value of 30 billion yen ($202.7 million) having been issued. In 2022, JPYC registered with the FSA as a third-party prepaid payment instrument service provider. It’s understood that the company will seek registration once again within the month, this time as a money transfer business. Japan’s Payment Services Act recognizes the issuance of stablecoins by banks, trust companies and money transfer businesses. JPYC backs its stablecoin with liquid assets such as Japanese government bonds and bank deposits. Growing stablecoin importanceOn a global basis, the leaders in terms of stablecoin market capitalization are Circle (USDC) and Tether (USDT), both U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins. The U.S. recently enacted its GENIUS Act stablecoin legislation with many politicians and market commentators taking the view that USD-pegged stablecoins will promote ongoing use of the U.S. dollar internationally.U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent took to X on Aug. 18 on that topic, stating:”Stablecoins will expand dollar access for billions across the globe and lead to a surge in demand for U.S. Treasuries, which back stablecoins.”Foreign governments are starting to see the significance of supporting stablecoins pegged to their country’s sovereign currency. The ongoing development of U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins has not escaped the attention of Chinese officials. In July, government officials in Shanghai held a meeting to explore policy strategies for stablecoins. The same month, Darryl Chan, Deputy Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), said the authority was likely to issue its first stablecoin license in early 2026. His comments preceded the rollout of Hong Kong’s stablecoin regulatory framework on Aug. 1. Last week, JPYC’s Okabe said that JPYC would soon start "buying up Japanese government bonds.” He added, “The interest rates on government bonds in countries where stablecoin issuance does not grow will likely continue to rise. It’s no exaggeration to say that the interest rates on Japanese government bonds rest on JPYC’s shoulders.” Okabe is also going out of his way to draw a clear distinction between his company’s stablecoin and cryptocurrency. On X, he stated that “JPYC is an electronic payment method, not a cryptocurrency.” He went on to assert that given that the JPYC stablecoin is a currency-denominated asset whose value is linked to fiat currency, it incorporates the best qualities of both digital cash and deposits.

South Korean authorities will require homebuyers to disclose funds originating from cryptocurrency sales, a move aimed at increasing transparency in the nation's tight real estate market. The new rule is part of a wider government effort to address housing affordability, which is particularly pronounced in Seoul, and to integrate digital assets into its regulatory framework. The change, announced on Sept. 7 as part of new housing supply measures, will alter the mandatory funding plan submitted during property transactions. Proceeds from digital assets will be listed as a distinct category, similar to funds from stocks or bonds. Officials are also expanding loan disclosure requirements to include business loans and overseas borrowing, closing potential financing loopholes.Photo by Traxer on UnsplashImpact of asset volatility on property valuesThe policy follows growing evidence that volatility in assets like cryptocurrency can spill over into the property market. A 2024 study cited by Maeil Business Newspaper highlighted that both the COVID-era stock rally and Bitcoin's 2023 price surge had a discernible impact on housing values. According to Yu Jung-suk, a professor at Dankook University, apartments in Seoul's affluent Gangnam district are particularly sensitive to fluctuations in Bitcoin and the KOSDAQ index. He noted that high-profile property acquisitions by young crypto investors, even if few in number, can significantly sway market sentiment. Professor Yu suggested that regulators may need more comprehensive tools to manage the risks connecting different asset classes. The government's new measures also seek to cool the capital's housing market, where prices have continued to rise despite a slowdown in growth. In contrast, prices in areas outside Seoul have been declining since 2022. To address the supply-demand imbalance, officials plan to begin construction of 1.35 million new homes in the Seoul metropolitan area between 2026 and 2030. Stablecoin regulation and CBDC trials advanceBeyond real estate, officials are developing a formal regulatory structure for stablecoins. The Presidential Commission on Policy Planning is reportedly considering a model where a consortium of banks and fintech firms would be granted rights to issue a won-pegged stablecoin. Supervision for this new system would fall to a proposed Financial Stability Council, a body intended to serve as a central coordinator for financial policy, comprising the finance ministry, the Bank of Korea, and other regulators. The initiative aims to combine the stability of the traditional banking sector with the innovation of non-bank financial companies. The evolving regulatory environment is attracting attention from global industry leaders. Executives from Tether, the issuer of the USDT stablecoin, met with Shinhan Financial Group CEO Jin Ok-dong in Seoul on Sept. 8. While Tether representatives stated they were monitoring the regulatory climate, they confirmed no specific business plans were discussed. Separately, the Bank of Korea is moving forward with digital currency experiments. In partnership with government agencies and six major commercial banks, the central bank will launch a pilot program to test the use of a digital currency for distributing state subsidies and vouchers.