Crypto’s four-year cycle may matter less amid shifting macro forces, report says

As cryptocurrencies continue to captivate South Korea, the world of ordinary digital asset investors is set for its primetime debut. Today, major broadcaster MBC is scheduled to premiere “To the Moon,” a new television drama that explores the risks and rewards of crypto investing. In crypto slang, “to the moon” refers to expectations of a sharp price surge, a phrase often used by traders to signal bullish sentiment. The series, airing Fridays and Saturdays, is an adaptation of Jang Ryujin’s 2021 novel of the same name, with an English edition released on June 19 of this year. It chronicles the lives of three young women who, despite landing what most would consider solid positions at a confectionery company, find their ambitions stifled by economic realities. Confined to small studio apartments and seeing little room for advancement, they turn to the volatile world of cryptocurrency as their pathway to upward mobility. The publisher describes these burnt-out protagonists’ journey as one that oscillates between humor and despair.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashEthereum’s rally and rising optimismIn the original novel, the plot is ignited when one of the women achieves a significant windfall by investing in Ethereum (ETH), inspiring her colleagues to join the fray. What follows is a familiar tale for many investors. They experience a period of wild price swings and respectable profits, only to see their winning streak abruptly halted by a severe market downturn. At the time the book was published in April 2021, ETH traded at roughly $2,100. Today, by contrast, CoinMarketCap data shows the asset trading at $4,543.14, more than doubling since the book’s release. Support for this bullish outlook comes from well-known market voices. Tom Lee, Fundstrat founder and chairman of ETH treasury firm Bitmine, told CNBC that Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC), and the Nasdaq 100 would benefit most if the Federal Reserve cut rates, predicting a strong rally in the next three months. He made these comments before the Fed’s actual move, a quarter-point rate cut announced at its Sept. 17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conference. In a separate Fox Business interview, VanEck’s CEO echoed this view, saying ETH will emerge as the leading asset as banks adopt blockchain for stablecoin transactions. Data also points to growing strength. According to Token Terminal, the supply of Ethereum-based stablecoins has recently reached an all-time high of $168 billion. This milestone is largely attributable to the fact that over half of the entire stablecoin supply now operates on the Ethereum network, underscoring its foundational role in the digital economy. Talent drain and security risksStill, there are headwinds that could slow Ethereum’s ascent. A recent survey by Protocol Guild, an independent funding group for Ethereum core developers, revealed a compensation gap that threatens the network's long-term health. The survey found that Ethereum core developers are receiving external job offers with a median salary of $300,000—more than double the $140,000 median they currently earn for maintaining and upgrading the network. Protocol Guild has noted that this disparity could precipitate a talent exodus, potentially slowing future development. Security has been an ongoing concern, with ETH often targeted by hackers. In a reminder of the sector's vulnerabilities, the crypto exchange Bybit reported a theft of 401,000 ETH in February, an amount valued at roughly $1.5 billion at the time. The U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation later identified the exploit, one of the largest in crypto history, as the work of the North Korean hacker known as “TraderTraitor.” "To the Moon" is set to air at a time when its themes of innovation and risk are playing out in the real world of crypto. The industry is riding a wave of institutional adoption and high valuations, but it's also facing a talent crunch and security concerns. These dynamics continue to keep digital assets on investors’ radar in South Korea and beyond. 

Korea’s Internet Agency Encourages More Blockchain Tech Adoption to Overcome Crypto WinterVirtual asset and blockchain technology needs to be more broadly adopted to overcome crypto winter, an official from the Korea Internet and Security Agency (KISA) said at the 2023 Blockchain Meetup Conference on Wednesday.©Pexels/Helena LopesUser-friendly apps and regulatory supportPark Sang-hwan, the leader of the blockchain technology promotion group at KISA, encouraged the blockchain industry to develop user-friendly applications to give positive impressions, adding that blockchain-based apps should be faster and efficient to meet users’ expectations.He also said the blockchain industry needs regulatory support, explaining that regulatory issues can hinder the growth of the industry’s growth.KISA’s support for blockchain industryAccording to Park, the quasi-government internet agency introduced a business quality control system to offer advice on legal, technological, and business issues to companies, as well as to provide them with business problem-solving support. KISA will continue driving the development of key blockchain technologies, create new business plans for Web 3.0, and devise a mid- to long-term roadmap for research and development, he said.Blockchain projects in KoreaDuring his speech at the conference, Park presented several KISA-led public sector projects that will unfold this year, as reported by the Korean economics newspaper Hankyung. They include blockchain-based online voting systems, the establishment of digitally formed national licenses, and the verification of personal identification.Endeavors in the private sector were also revealed, including NFT-based concert tickets, oil waste disposal systems, and identification using soulbound tokens.

The long-awaited approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. on Tuesday is anticipated to have a more substantial impact on the development of cryptocurrencies in Asia. That’s the view of Yat Siu, the co-founder of Animoca Brands, a Hong Kong-based crypto venture capital and game software firm. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) approval is expected to attract new capital to the crypto industry, providing a safer avenue for the crypto-curious.Photo by André François McKenzie on UnsplashPotential for surge of interest in AsiaIn an interview with The Block, Siu emphasized the positive effect on Asia, attributing it to the region's regulatory clarity and the willingness of governments and regulators to build a crypto ecosystem. Strengthening regulatory oversight was a finding of a recent report relative to a number of Asian hubs. Industry leaders believe that the approval of spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. could lead to a surge of interest in Asia, where crypto adoption is already higher than in other continents. The perception of cryptocurrencies as investment assets, rather than just for transactions, might shift in the Asian market, with the ETF offering a regulated and lower-risk avenue for investment exposure. Additionally, Yat Siu noted that Asian investors, particularly the younger generation, have a more open view towards capitalism compared to their U.S. counterparts. In a recent interview with CNBC, Australian venture capitalist and founder of MHC Digital Group, Mark Carnegie, also expressed the opinion that the digital asset markets in Asia would flourish once the hype of the U.S. ETF approval has subsided. ETF focus on Singapore and Hong KongPost the U.S. approval, attention turns to Asia, with Hong Kong and Singapore emerging as potential candidates for introducing spot crypto ETFs. Hong Kong, in particular, has undergone regulatory renewal, positioning itself as a crypto hub, with it reportedly already attracting interest from fund managers, including those backed by Chinese capital, looking into launching spot crypto ETFs. Yat Siu alongside Glenn Woo, Head of Sales of APAC at Web3 infrastructure company Blockdaemon, were both positive in their assessment of Hong Kong as a worthy location for the offering of spot bitcoin ETFs in comments made last month. In November, the CEO of Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) indicated an openness to considering proposals for spot crypto ETF products aimed at retail investors. Singapore, known for its mature regulatory environment, is also considered a strong contender. Meanwhile, Japan may witness significant regulatory movement following the U.S. ETF approval. However, challenges and variables remain for Asia. The scale of capital inflows in Asia, compared to the U.S., and the caution of regulators in the face of crypto industry volatility and trust issues are cited as potential hurdles. Some experts suggest that Hong Kong and Singapore may initially be cautious in encouraging retail participation in virtual asset investments due to previous losses experienced by residents. Still, in the medium to longer term, increased interest and appetite for virtual assets are expected.