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Many commentators in the crypto space were pointing to a lowering of interest rates last week by the Federal Reserve in the United States as being a positive development for the pricing of digital assets. However, the introduction of a stimulus package to revive the Chinese economy may also have a role to play. Stimulus packageBloomberg reported on Sept. 24 that People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng had cut a key short-term interest rate. Furthermore, the Bank of China governor plans to implement a reduction in the reserve requirements that are applied to the country’s banks. The Reserve Requirement Ration (RRR) will be cut by 50 basis points, which will mean that $142 billion will be freed up for new lending.  Additionally, a package of measures has been introduced to rejuvenate China’s beleaguered real estate market, lowering the borrowing costs related to $5.3 trillion in mortgages.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashBullish for crypto?Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at financial research platform Real Vision, took to X to comment on the development. Coutts wrote: “The bottom is in for global central bank liquidity for this cycle. Sit back and watch the other CBs fall into line. In a credit-based fiat fractional reserve system, debasement is a feature, not a bug.” Coutts signed off with a “Bitcoin” hashtag, with the inference that the development will have positive implications for Bitcoin. Similarly, market analysts at Singaporean crypto-asset trading firm QCP Capital perceive the move as being bullish for crypto and risk assets more generally. QCP Capital analysts stated: "We believe more easing is coming from the People's Bank of China (PBoC), and they have communicated as much, and combined with the U.S. Federal Reserve joining the global cutting cycle, all major central banks, except Bank of Japan, are now ready to inject more liquidity into the market. The macro space continues to look more and more bullish for risk assets, including crypto."  Taking that consideration further, the QCP Capital analysts suggest that market participants in the crypto space may be caught off guard by a resultant uptick in crypto pricing, stating: "We know how explosive crypto prices can be, and with so many bullish catalysts, we think the next move higher will leave many people surprised and sidelined.” Fed rate cutsMany market commentators were similarly enthused last week following an announcement in the U.S. by Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman, of a 50 basis point rate cut, with the suggestion that further cuts may be implemented going forward. However, not all market pundits are of the same view. Some believe that small interest rate cuts occurring in an overall high rates environment won’t move the needle and that it’s only in a zero rates environment where Bitcoin and crypto skyrocket.  Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at the Maelstrom Fund, asserted in his keynote speech at TOKEN2049 in Singapore last week that he wasn’t enthusiastic about rate cuts driving crypto.  “While I think a lot of people are looking forward to a rate cut, meaning that they think the stock market and other things are going to pump up the jam, I think the markets are going to collapse a few days after the Fed’s rates,” he stated. Markets didn’t collapse subsequently although it seems that they are responding to this latest monetary stimulus introduced by China.

Binance withdraws Abu Dhabi bid amid global licensing reevaluationLeading global crypto exchange Binance has chosen to withdraw its bid for a trading license in Abu Dhabi, according to information gleaned from the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) register and a report published by Reuters on Thursday.Photo by Demid Druz on UnsplashChange of directionThe local subsidiary company responsible for the application, BV Investment Management Limited, initially submitted its licensing bid on Nov. 15, 2022. Much has changed in the crypto space and in the fortunes of Binance over the course of the past year, leading the firm to withdraw its application on Nov. 7.This proposed license would have granted Binance the authority to pool and invest funds from professional investors. The decision to retract the bid is part of Binance’s broader reevaluation of its overall strategy going forward. “When assessing our global licensing needs, we decided this application was not necessary,” a spokesperson from the company told Reuters.Adapting to new circumstancesMuch has changed for Binance in 2023. The company has been combating regulatory pushback in multiple jurisdictions worldwide, not least in the United States, where Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) recently reached a plea agreement with U.S. prosecutors and agreed to pay $4.3 billion for violations related to money laundering and sanctions laws.As part of that process, CZ stepped down as CEO, passing the leadership to Singaporean Richard Teng. Teng is a former regulatory executive who previously oversaw the exchange’s regional operations. A spokesperson for the company maintained that this recent decision relative to licensing in Abu Dhabi is entirely unrelated to the recently agreed-upon settlement in the United States.UAE tiesWhile Binance may be dropping its attempts to gain licensing in Abu Dhabi, in July the company acquired a Minimum Viable Product (MVP) license from the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority in the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) other major center, Dubai. The UAE is also the location where CZ has established his home.Some had speculated that the company had also established its headquarters within the UAE. However, CZ has always refused to disclose the firm’s global headquarters, instead suggesting that the firm has no global headquarters. Teng has taken a similar approach.Binance was originally founded in China in 2017. It then shifted its headquarters to Japan and later established a base in Malta to circumvent regulatory challenges in China. Similarly, it’s thought that regulatory scrutiny provides the rationale for the company’s ongoing stance in refusing to confirm the location of its corporate headquarters.Despite regulatory challenges, Binance had previously expressed a focus on expanding its operations in the Middle East, known for its crypto-friendly environment and specific regulatory frameworks. Binance holds various crypto licenses from regulators in the region. In May of last year, it acquired a Category 4 crypto-asset service provider (CASP) license from the Central Bank of Bahrain.The exchange maintains registrations and licenses across Europe, Asia and other regions. It’s had mixed fortunes in its endeavors over recent months, driven out of some markets while making in-roads in others. Earlier this week, its Binance Japan subsidiary became fully operational. Last week, regulators in the Philippines moved against the company due to regulatory irregularities.

With Thailand just having elected its youngest-ever Prime Minister (PM), speculation has arisen within the crypto sector as to whether the new appointee will be bullish where digital assets are concerned. On Sunday, 37-year-old Paetongtarn Shinawatra was sworn in as the Southeast Asian country’s Prime Minister, having received two-thirds of the votes in a House of Representatives ballot on Friday. On Aug. 18, a pseudonymous crypto commentator, @martypartymusic, told his 109,000 followers on X that Shinawatra’s appointment was positive for crypto. He wrote:”She is a crypto bull. Her father was a crypto bull. IMO: Thailand could be next to adopt crypto as legal tender. Let’s watch it play out."Photo by Evan Krause on UnsplashDigital wallet programShinawatra has committed to continuing a similar approach to policy as followed by her predecessor, Srettha Thavisin. That will include an emphasis on pursuing economic reform and accommodating economic stimulus measures.  One crypto-related measure introduced by her predecessor is the digital wallet handout project. According to Nikkei Asia, the scheme has been burdened with both legal and budgetary challenges. Kasit Piromya, a former Thai Foreign Minister, is understood to have said that Shinawatra would be committing “political suicide” if she continues to drive that project forward.  It’s understood that she has indicated that the government will continue with the project but that it plans to take steps to ensure that the program can proceed in a financially sustainable way. Shinawatra’s Pheu Thai Party had first floated the notion of giving 10,000 baht in digital assets, at the time valued at $300, in April 2023, to Thai citizens above the age of 16. Further moves were made to progress that $14 billion project earlier this year. While insiders have reported that Shinawatra has been non-committal about the digital wallet project, she has been quoted as stating previously that “the digital wallet scheme is a project we intend to use as a major economic stimulus.” As various commentators speculate on her likely course of action, the reality is that these matters will remain unclear until such time as she appoints a cabinet and announces relevant policies. Tanawat Sutunthivorakoon, the CEO of Thai digital asset management platform Bitazza Thailand, expressed the view that this change in leadership will have very little impact on the development of digital asset regulation in the Southeast Asian country. Regulatory developmentThe country has seen a number of crypto-positive developments over recent months. Back in March, the country’s tax authority approved a crypto income tax exemption in an effort to incentivize crypto-based fundraising. The authorities had already made crypto trading VAT-free the previous month. Earlier this month, Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) introduced a digital asset regulatory sandbox in an effort to foster innovation relative to the digital assets sector. The SEC allowed institutional investors in Thailand to access U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) products. In June, the regulator followed up by approving the country’s first spot Bitcoin ETF.