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SBI and Saudi Aramco to explore digital asset business partnerships

Web3 & Enterprise·December 12, 2023, 1:31 AM

Japanese financial services conglomerate SBI and Saudi Arabia’s state-controlled energy giant Saudi Aramco have jointly announced their exploration of potential collaboration in the realms of digital assets and semiconductors.

Photo by Chris Liverani on Unsplash

 

Digital asset portfolio co-investing

The partnership, which was publicly disclosed last week, aims to delve into co-investing in each other’s digital asset portfolios. Such an arrangement will leverage SBI’s substantial holdings and the formidable position of Aramco as the world’s second-largest company by revenue, boasting a staggering $604 billion figure. The partnership will mark a strategic alliance that goes beyond geographical boundaries, underscoring the global impact of digital asset investments.

The collaboration between SBI and Aramco extends beyond mere investment, with SBI actively seeking to identify Japanese digital asset startups keen on expanding their operations into Saudi Arabia. The joint effort aims to provide comprehensive support to these startups, facilitating their integration into the Saudi market and contributing to the growth of the digital economy.

 

SBI Middle East

In addition to this venture, SBI is set to establish “SBI Middle East” in Riyadh, serving as a central hub for its operations in the Middle East. This move aligns with SBI’s recent announcement of a $100 million joint fund with Standard Chartered, based in Dubai, solidifying its commitment to fostering financial partnerships in the region.

When contemplating cryptocurrency activities in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia might not be the first destination that comes to mind, given Turkey’s significant crypto adoption rate and the UAE’s well-established crypto regulatory authorities, such as Dubai’s VARA and Abu Dhabi’s ADGM.

However, Chainalysis data reveals that Saudi crypto activity is steadily gaining ground, experiencing the most significant year-on-year growth (12%) to June 2023. Additionally, the country’s Vision 2030 initiative involves efforts to diversify its economy. With that, blockchain and Web3 are being embraced.

 

Tokenization

While lacking a formal crypto regulatory regime, recent reports suggest that Saudi regulators are warming up to the idea, indicating a shift in approach. A recent collaboration has emerged between the central banks of Saudi Arabia and Hong Kong which will explore tokenization and payments infrastructure.

It is noteworthy that both SBI and Aramco explicitly referred to “digital assets” in their collaboration, avoiding the mention of cryptocurrencies. This emphasis raises the possibility that the focus might extend to tokenization, an area where SBI has a robust presence, notably through the establishment of the Osaka Digital Exchange (ODX), set to commence trading tokenized securities later this month.

As part of its digital asset investments, Saudi Aramco has previously engaged in blockchain initiatives, including investments in VAKT, a post-trade solution for the oil sector. Additionally last year Aramco invested in blockchain startup Data Gumbo, which utilizes blockchain in order to bring about operational efficiencies. The collaboration extends to the approval of electronic bill of lading (eBL) providers like TradeGo.

In February, Aramco signed an agreement with droppGroup to build out a range of Web3 technologies. Furthermore, Aramco’s investments in companies like Red Date Technologies and IR4LAB underscore its interest in developing blockchain-based services, including document and supply chain solutions.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

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Cryptotax secures pre-series A funding from Hashed

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Policy & Regulation·

May 15, 2024

Falcon Labs fined in settlement with CFTC

U.S. regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has fined Seychelles-headquartered crypto prime brokerage Falcon Labs as part of an overall settlement with the company.  The CFTC had found that the company had operated as an unregistered futures commission merchant (FCM) and furthermore, that it had enabled access to digital asset exchanges without the requisite registration.Photo by Joshua Hoehne on UnsplashSettlement termsIn a press release published to its website on May 13, the CFTC set out the nature of its settlement with Falcon Labs. The parties have agreed that Falcon Labs must discontinue its activities in acting as an unregistered FCM, with particular emphasis on it having provided U.S. individuals with access to digital asset derivatives trading.  Furthermore a fine of $1,179,008 has been applied in disgorgement and in addition, Falcon will have to pay a civil monetary penalty of $589,504. These penalties have been significantly reduced by comparison with the CFTCs original ask, on the basis that Falcon Labs cooperated fully with the CFTC’s Division of Enforcement over the course of the regulator’s investigative process into the activities of the company. In its statement the regulator set out its intent relative to enforcement going forward. Ian McGinley, the CFTC’s Director of Enforcement, stated:”The CFTC is taking the fight one step further by, for the first time, charging an intermediary that inappropriately facilitated access to those exchanges. Today’s action highlights that the CFTC will not hesitate to charge any entities—exchanges or intermediaries—who are providing customers access to digital asset products and services that require registration but have failed to appropriately register.” McGinley added that “the CFTC’s enforcement program has made clear it will not tolerate digital asset exchanges that fail to register with the CFTC or comply with the agency’s rules that maintain integrity in the derivatives markets.” No admission of guiltIn responding to the CFTCs original complaint, Falcon Labs tried to up the ante in terms of compliance. It moved to improve customer identification controls. As a consequence of its market position as a trading intermediary Falcon Labs enabled customer trading on a number of digital asset exchange platforms.  That activity included facilitating U.S.-based institutional customers relative to crypto derivatives trading. It allowed its own account with various digital asset trading platforms to be used, through a system of sub-accounts, by its customers, oftentimes without adequate customer information having been sought. In reaching this settlement with the CFTC Falcon Labs has not made any admission of guilt relative to the regulator’s findings. Alongside paying the agreed upon fines, it will voluntarily agree to adhere to the implementation of improved controls and to withhold its services from user groups that are deemed to be restricted, including all U.S. nationals. Taking to the X social media platform to comment on the matter, Mike Sellig, a partner at New York-based law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher, claimed that the settlement demonstrated that the CFTC was following in the footsteps of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), establishing “a body of widely applicable precedent.”

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Markets·

May 17, 2023

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three Scenarios

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three ScenariosRecently, concerns over a potential US default have heightened due to the ongoing disagreement between Republicans and Democrats in the US Congress regarding the necessity of increasing the debt ceiling. Democrats, along with the Biden administration, advocate for authorizing additional debt, while Republicans propose spending cuts.Considering the historical patterns observed in the US and the inherently political nature of this matter, it is improbable that the uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling raise will endure for an extended period. In the past, when faced with a similar situation in 2011, the debt ceiling was ultimately approved despite significant political divisions. Particularly with upcoming elections next year and escalating concerns of an economic downturn, it is likely that a resolution to the debt ceiling issue will be reached soon.In light of these circumstances, the economic research institute at one of South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Bithumb released a report that outlines three distinct scenarios depicting the potential unfolding of the debt ceiling issue in the US. Additionally, it has offered insights into the potential implications for Bitcoin under each scenario.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashBipartisan agreement to increase the debt ceilingIn the scenario where the debt ceiling is promptly raised as a result of a significant bipartisan agreement, the US is anticipated to adopt an expansionary fiscal policy by issuing government bonds to prevent a default. If a debt ceiling deal is reached, it is projected that short-term bond issuance will reach a net amount of $1.4 trillion by the end of the year. There is also a growing consensus that medium- and long-term bond issuance may commence in the third quarter. Additionally, the possibility of interest rate cuts as early as the second half of this year entered the equation. In the long term, this could potentially lead to a depreciation of the dollar as market liquidity increases, thereby weakening the currency. It is worth noting that historically, the value of Bitcoin tended to go up when market liquidity rises.Debt ceiling disagreement and delayed negotiationsAnother scenario entails the failure of the two parties to reach an agreement and a subsequent delay in approving a raise to the debt ceiling. Should the debt ceiling not be raised in a timely manner, the US would potentially encounter an unparalleled default on its debt obligations. This default could trigger a severe credit crunch, resulting from international credit downgrades and a weakened global standing for the US. Such circumstances would further escalate the risk of an economic crisis.As the negotiations on the debt limit continue to be delayed, there will be a prolonged period of uncertainty in both Treasury issuance and secondary markets. This uncertainty poses risks to money market funds (MMFs) that hold a significant portion of short-term Treasuries, potentially resulting in losses. Consequently, there could be a shift towards reverse repo (RRP) transactions as investors seek alternative avenues. In fact, Treasury liquidity has recently exhibited signs of deterioration, with MMFs and RRPs garnering considerable attention in the market.Heightened concerns regarding short-term Treasuries could lead to a higher volume of reverse repo trades compared to repo trades. Repo transactions use Treasuries as collateral, whereas reverse repo transactions involve depositing funds with the Fed or lending money to the Fed in exchange for collateral, which often includes Treasuries, thereby earning interest. In such a scenario, market liquidity could become trapped in the Fed, potentially rekindling risks within the banking system.Given their sensitivity to liquidity conditions, crypto markets are anticipated to experience a temporary decline. However, Bitcoin has exhibited a historical pattern of appreciating in value as an alternative to the US banking system, especially during instances of small and medium-sized bank failures. In the event of prolonged negotiations and an escalating risk of a US default, the demand for safe-haven assets like Bitcoin might surge. As a result, Bitcoin could gain favorability as investors seek refuge in alternative assets amidst uncertain market conditions.Linking debt ceiling increase to spending reductionThe last scenario involves a conditional agreement accompanied by measures aimed at reducing the deficit, as proposed by Republicans. Given the longstanding concerns surrounding excessive US deficits, any agreement to raise the debt ceiling would likely be contingent upon fiscal consolidation and spending cuts. Notably, as of March 31, 2023, the US federal deficit is approximately 8% of GDP, a figure comparable to the 8.3% average observed in 2011 when the possibility of a US default reached its peak.While fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure fiscal sustainability, unless the US significantly increases tax revenues, an increase in the debt ceiling may be negotiated at the expense of significant cuts to the national budget. In such a case, the US economy would inevitably experience the adverse effects of reduced government spending.The Republican party has put forth a demand of $4.8 trillion in deficit reduction over the next ten years as a condition for raising the debt ceiling. This figure translates to an average of $480 billion per year or approximately 1.8% of the current year’s GDP (as of May). However, it is important to note that in the medium to long term, reductions in government spending without complementary expansionary monetary policies have the potential to accelerate GDP decline. If Congress agrees to cuts in government spending, it could increase the probability of the Fed swiftly reversing its tightening policy. Unless the Fed halts its tightening measures, the likelihood of a US recession may become more pronounced.If the Fed decides to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated in response to the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Bitcoin, which is known to be more responsive to long-term monetary policy, might be able to overcome the short-term downturn and experience an upward trend.The authors contend that at present, market attention is primarily directed towards the matter of raising the debt ceiling, taking into account the potential risks of a US default and the possibility of a bond rating downgrade. However, they believe it is unlikely that US politicians will make radical decisions in the run-up to next year’s presidential election.While the issue of raising the debt ceiling will have a short-term impact, the report argues that the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price in the medium to long term will be the Fed’s monetary policy and the occurrence of Bitcoin’s halving event.It is important to note that there is a time lag between the end of the Fed’s tightening measures and the halving of Bitcoin. In the short term, the price trajectory of Bitcoin will likely be influenced by factors such as the potential failure of additional small and medium-sized US banks (which is concerning given recent outflows of US bank deposits) and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the delay in raising the debt ceiling. These factors will play a greater role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term performance.

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