Hong Kong digital yuan pilot lacks P2P capabilities

Analysts expect crypto market cap to triple or more next yearThe Korbit Research Center, affiliated with South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Korbit, published a report last Friday that provides projections for the crypto market in 2024.The paper includes contributions from its team, notably head of research Peter Chung, as well as research analysts Choy Yoon-young, Kang Dong-hyun and Kim Min-seung.Peter Chung predicts that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies could soar to $5 trillion, more than three times greater than its current level of $1.6 trillion. He attributes this potential growth to three key factors: the possibility of the U.S. Federal Reserve easing its monetary policy, the potential approval of spot bitcoin and ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and the anticipated Bitcoin halving event expected in April 2024.Photo by Pierre Borthiry — Peiobty on UnsplashFactors driving crypto market growth in 2024Peter Chung suggests that the growth of the crypto market will be driven by the expanding utility of virtual assets. He believes that once ETFs for bitcoin and ether are approved, these cryptocurrencies will become more versatile as investment options. This, in turn, is expected to enhance their reputation and foster wider adoption, having a significant influence on the broader crypto ecosystem beyond the two most dominant cryptocurrencies.Real-world assets and financial firmsChoy anticipates that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve spot bitcoin and ether ETFs by the first half of next year. On a different note, Kang focuses on the importance of blockchain technology, particularly emphasizing real-world assets (RWAs) and roll-up solutions. Kang highlights that since RWAs are closely linked with traditional financial institutions, an influx of capital from these entities is likely to boost the RWA market. This interaction between traditional finance and blockchain technology could be a key driver of growth in the sector.Regulatory changes and landscape shiftKim Min-seung, another analyst from the team, forecasts that upcoming regulatory developments could alter the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. A notable development in this regard is the forthcoming implementation of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act in South Korea, set for July next year. According to Kim, these changes might result in a scenario where only competitive cryptocurrencies survive.Kim elaborates that the perception of virtual assets is poised for a shift. Currently, crypto investors tend to base their decisions on expectations of arbitrary cryptocurrency inflation. However, once new regulations are implemented, investors are likely to start assessing the actual value of virtual assets more critically. This shift in approach could lead to a more value-driven and stable cryptocurrency market, as speculative tendencies might decrease and a focus on intrinsic value increases.According to local news outlet website The Asia Business Daily, Peter Chung anticipates further growth in the cryptocurrency market next year, following its rebound this year. He suggests that this growth trajectory will not only continue but also attract increased attention from the public.

Com2uS USA CEO Highlights Importance of Transition from Web2 to Web3 GamingLee Kyu-chang, CEO of South Korean game developer Com2uS’ American branch, stressed the important role of Web3 games in encouraging gamers to embrace blockchain technology during a discussion at the Korea Blockchain Week (KBW) 2023 event held at the Shilla Hotel in Seoul on Tuesday.Photo by Fredrick Tendong on UnsplashLee shared various insights on the topic that Com2uS Group has gained through its experience in developing blockchain games. “We view blockchain not as a platform but as a tool,” he said.Nurturing Web3 adoption among gamersIn particular, the CEO emphasized the need for Web2 users to transition to Web3. Indeed, Com2uS is aiming to migrate to Web3, although it is still majorly involved in Web2 businesses.However, there stands a roadblock to achieving this widespread transition. “Gamers do not understand Web3. What they want is for good games to be released. And if they’re not good, they won’t play them regardless of whether they’re Web2 or Web3,” Lee explained, arguing that fun Web3 games will have gamers naturally learning about Web3.Due to these reasons, the conversion rate for gamers is currently quite low. To remedy this, Lee proposed that facilitating the transition for Web2 gamers to Web3 is a more sustainable method than directly targeting only Web3 users. The latter strategy is not ideal due to the fact that there aren’t many Web3 users yet in the first place, and more importantly, existing ones are not typically gamers.Balancing the shiftThe Com2uS Group has thus chosen to concentrate on Web2 while gradually transitioning to Web3. “We must remember that the transition is slow. We went through a similar process when shifting from PC to mobile gaming,” Lee cautioned.“Our company’s mission is to make people want to play games with ownership rights and make them want to own game assets.”

Korean Crypto Exchanges Struggle Despite Market RecoveryThe results of a recent study by the South Korean Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) released on Monday revealed that ten domestic cryptocurrency exchanges have reported zero revenue from transaction fees, with half of them struggling to achieve a daily average trading volume of KRW 1 million ($740).Photo by Maxim Hopman on UnsplashTrends of growth and declineThe study looked into data from 35 registered virtual asset service providers (VASPs) for the first half of this year. The findings showed that compared to the second half of last year, the crypto market capitalization and Korean won deposits increased, but exchanges faced growing challenges, illustrated by a widening gap between leading fiat-to-crypto exchanges and smaller crypto-only exchanges.In the first half of this year, the operating profit of won-based exchanges reached KRW 259.8 billion (approximately $193 million), a 46% increase compared to the second half of last year, which recorded KRW 177.9 billion. In contrast, crypto exchanges recorded an operating loss of KRW 32.5 billion. Notably, out of 21 crypto-only exchanges, 10 of them reported no revenue at all from transaction fees, and 18 were in a state of complete capital impairment. Meanwhile, the operating profit of won-based exchanges was concentrated among the country’s top two exchanges, Upbit and Bithumb.But from a broader perspective, as of the end of June, this year’s total capitalization of the crypto market reached KRW 28.4 trillion — a 46% increase compared to the end of the second half of last year. Korean won deposits also increased by KRW 400 billion, or 11%, compared to the previous half. The overall operating profit was KRW 227.3 billion, up 82% from KRW 124.9 billion at the end of the second half of last year.“The first half of this year saw a rise in prices of virtual assets and investor sentiment, leading to an increase in Korean won deposits, overall market capitalization, and operating profits for exchanges, compared to the second half of 2022,” the FIU remarked.The number of new listings and delistings on virtual asset exchanges also surged with 169 new listings and 115 new delistings. These represented a more than double increase and a 47% increase, respectively, compared to the second half of last year. 66% of the delisted crypto assets were coins that had been exclusively listed on a given exchange.Despite the market’s recovery, trading volume and the number of users have slightly decreased. The daily average trading volume in the domestic crypto market for the first half of this year was KRW 2.9 trillion, down 1.3% compared to the second half of 2022. In addition, the number of registered accounts with VASPs also dropped by 19% to 9.5 million compared to the end of last year. This can be attributed to a growing number of dormant accounts and the removal of duplicate accounts.The quantity of verified users has also declined. The number of individuals and corporations that had completed the mandatory Know Your Customer (KYC) procedures needed to engage in trading decreased by 210,000 to 6.06 million (including duplicates) compared to the end of 2022. The majority of users, or those who own less than KRW 1 million in virtual assets, dropped by 7%.On the other hand, the amount of virtual assets leaving the country increased. In the first half of this year, a total of KRW 22.1 trillion was transferred to whitelisted overseas operators or individual wallet addresses, marking a KRW 500 billion increase compared to the second half of last year. This trend could be accredited to futures trading and arbitrage trading influenced by the so-called “kimchi premium” — a term used to describe the difference between trading prices of cryptocurrencies in Korea and in other foreign exchanges.Age demographicsOther findings showed that the age group that traded the most virtual assets is in their 30s, accounting for 30% of all users. Within this group, men make up 70%, with 1.27 million men recorded as engaging in crypto trading. Following closely with 1.2 million, men in their 40s were the second-largest demographic.